Bolton vs Cardiff Prediction

Bolton
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Cardiff
Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton 12/09/2026
BoltonBolton
1-0
Finished
CardiffCardiff

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.47
SignalNEUTRALModel44%RiskHighGap-2.7%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.47
SignalHIGHModel71%RiskMediumGap+5.9%
Bolton Rest
3 days
Cardiff Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%2.55
X
32%3.55
2
41%2.55
Double Chance
1X
59%1.48
X2
72%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.46
No
51%2.54
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1.19 = 2.39
Over 1.5
70%1.17
Over 2.5
44%1.57
Over 3.5
24%2.42
Under 1.5
30%4.65
Under 2.5
56%2.26
Under 3.5
76%1.56
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.9 = 10.3
Over 8.5
67%1.23
Over 9.5
56%1.44
Over 10.5
46%1.76
Under 8.5
33%3.60
Under 9.5
44%2.58
Under 10.5
54%2.00
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2 = 3.6
Over 3.5
49%1.91
Over 4.5
30%2.75
Under 3.5
51%1.80
Under 4.5
70%1.43

Match Events

31'Ben DaviesFoul
32'Kyliane Dong
37'Samuel IlingFoul
42'Joel ColwillFoul
45'Sam Dalby INThelonius Bair out
45'Samuel Iling INThierry Gale out
54'Perry Tian Hee Ng
59'Joel Colwill INDavid Turnbull out
64'Ruben Rodrigues INAtsuki Ito out
74'Christopher Willock INC. Ashford out
75'Yousef Salech INCallum Robinson out
75'Kyliane Dong INJayden Nelson out
78'Jayden NelsonFoul
83'Ethan Erhahon INRyan Hardie out
90+2'Joel Bagan INCalum Scanlon out
90+1'Thierry Gale
90'Thierry GaleAssist: Thelonius Bair
90+2'Alexander Sean Pablo Robertson INRonan Kpakio out

Lineups

Bolton
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Schumacher
Cardiff
4-2-3-1Coach: B. Barry-Murphy
G. Bazunu31G. BazunuG. Bazunu
Gaizka Larrazabal22G. LarrazabalGaizka Larrazabal
E. Toal18E. ToalE. Toal
B. Davies6B. DaviesB. Davies
M. Conway25M. ConwayM. Conway
J. Sheehan8J. SheehanJ. Sheehan
E. Erhahon21E. ErhahonE. Erhahon
S. Iling-Junior16S. Iling-JuniorS. Iling-Junior
Ruben Rodrigues20R. RodriguesRuben Rodrigues
K. Dong7K. DongK. Dong
S. Dalby10S. DalbyS. Dalby
N. Trott1N. TrottN. Trott
P. Ng38P. NgP. Ng
K. Bielik5K. BielikK. Bielik
G. Osho4G. OshoG. Osho
J. Bagan3J. BaganJ. Bagan
A. Robertson18A. RobertsonA. Robertson
J. Colwill27J. ColwillJ. Colwill
O. Tanner11O. TannerO. Tanner
J. Moylan8J. MoylanJ. Moylan
C. Willock16C. WillockC. Willock
Y. Salech9Y. SalechY. Salech

Bolton Substitutes

1J. BonhamG
14A. FamewoD
17A. ItoM
45J. McAteeF
26J. NelsonF
39R. HardieF
11T. GaleF
4X. SimonsM
9T. BairF

Cardiff Substitutes

44R. KpakioD
43P. MorenoM
23C. ScanlonD
33R. TankiewiczM
14D. TurnbullM
41M. TurnerG
30H. TyrerG
45Cian AshfordF
47C. RobinsonF

Match Stats

BoltonCardiff
41%Ball Possession59%
2Corner Kicks10
5Yellow Cards2
7Total Shots17
5Shots on Goal10
1Shots off Goal2
4Shots Inside Box13
3Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots5
16Fouls13
3Offsides7
10Goalkeeper Saves4
338Total Passes483
250Passes Accurate400
12Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

BoltonBolton
CardiffCardiff
1604Elo Rating 1619
1.06Attack 0.68
0.90Defense 1.50
27%Hit Rate 0%
11.9Shots per Game 21.1
4.9Shots on Target 7.7
6.2Corners per Game 8.8
2.1Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BoltonBolton
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CardiffCardiff
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 2 historical meetings

Bolton 46%Draw 0%54% Cardiff
1.54Avg Goals
0%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

BoltonBolton
0W1D4L
08/09/2026
BoltonWest Ham
23
L
05/09/2026
MillwallBolton
40
L
01/09/2026
Sheffield UtdBolton
32
L
29/08/2026
BoltonLincoln
01
L
22/08/2026
QPRBolton
00
D
CardiffCardiff
0W2D3L
08/09/2026
CardiffStoke City
11
D
05/09/2026
PortsmouthCardiff
20
L
02/09/2026
QPRCardiff
21
L
29/08/2026
CardiffSheffield Utd
22
D
25/08/2026
CardiffNorwich
12
L

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1West HamWest Ham742120:9+1114WWWWD
2SwanseaSwansea742111:5+614WLDWW
3MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough742114:10+414DWWDW
4West BromWest Brom742110:7+314DWWDL
5QPRQPR73318:5+312DDLWW
6CharltonCharlton73316:7-112DDLDW
7WolvesWolves632114:10+411WDLWW
8LincolnLincoln73226:6011WWDDW
9SouthamptonSouthampton742118:8+1010WWDDW
10BirminghamBirmingham724110:9+110WLDDW
11MillwallMillwall731313:13010DLWLL
12Stoke CityStoke City731311:11010WDWWL
13Bristol CityBristol City731310:12-210LLWWW
14NorwichNorwich730413:1309LWWLW
15Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd72328:9-19LWLWD
16BlackburnBlackburn722310:1008WLLDL
17WatfordWatford72237:9-28LWLLD
18PortsmouthPortsmouth62137:8-17DWLLW
19WrexhamWrexham71427:11-47LDDWL
20BoltonBolton72147:12-57WLLLL
21CardiffCardiff70437:11-44LDLLD
22DerbyDerby71156:13-74LLLWL
23PrestonPreston71066:13-73LLWLL
24BurnleyBurnley70348:16-83LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1West HamWest Ham720:914
2SwanseaSwansea711:514
3MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough714:1014
4West BromWest Brom710:714
5QPRQPR78:512
6CharltonCharlton76:712
7WolvesWolves614:1011
8LincolnLincoln76:611
9SouthamptonSouthampton718:810
10BirminghamBirmingham710:910
11MillwallMillwall713:1310
12Stoke CityStoke City711:1110
13Bristol CityBristol City710:1210
14NorwichNorwich713:139
15Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd78:99
16BlackburnBlackburn710:108
17WatfordWatford77:98
18PortsmouthPortsmouth67:87
19WrexhamWrexham77:117
20BoltonBolton77:127
21CardiffCardiff77:114
22DerbyDerby76:134
23PrestonPreston76:133
24BurnleyBurnley78:163
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Bolton vs Cardiff Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Championship fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Championship

ScorePredicts covers England football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Bolton and Cardiff have met 2 times recently, averaging 1.54 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.