Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia Prediction

Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv· Georgi Nikolov Nikolov, Bulgaria 21/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.36
SignalGOODModel37%RiskHighGap+6.5%
Botev Plovdiv Rest
9 days
Lokomotiv Sofia Rest
10 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.72
X
29%3.60
2
22%4.47
Double Chance
1X
78%1.17
X2
51%2.01
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.72
No
51%1.99
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 1.04 = 2.53
Over 1.5
70%1.23
Over 2.5
47%1.78
Over 3.5
25%2.91
Under 1.5
30%3.73
Under 2.5
53%1.96
Under 3.5
75%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

43'D. Kostadinov
46'M. Papazov INN. Penev out
46'B. Katsarov INK. Kostov out
49'D. KostadinovAssist: A. Lyaskov
53'V. Vidolov INE. Silva out
53'D. Tonev ING. Milanov out
67'K. Kostov INK. Miloshev out
67'A. Chandarov INC. Meotti out
78'C. Algarra INMascote out
79'C. MeottiAssist: S. Kalu
85'B. Hein
86'G. Minchev
86'G. Minchev INA. Taoui out
86'K. Stanoev INK. Chachev out
89'N. Penev
90+5'Goal Disallowed - offside

Lineups

Botev Plovdiv
4-2-3-1Coach: Stanislav Genchev
Lokomotiv Sofia
4-2-3-1Coach: Lyuboslav Penev
Daniel Naumov29D. NaumovDaniel Naumov
Veliyan Vidolov41V. VidolovVeliyan Vidolov
Timothy Awany20T. AwanyTimothy Awany
Nikola Soldo4N. SoldoNikola Soldo
Bryan-Anthony Chibuike Hein27B. Chibuike HeinBryan-Anthony Chibuike Hein
Carlos Algarra López14C. Algarra LópezCarlos Algarra López
Asen Chandarov10A. ChandarovAsen Chandarov
Williams Chimezie Oluebube88W. Chimezie OluebubeWilliams Chimezie Oluebube
Dimitar Tonev19D. TonevDimitar Tonev
Samuel Kalu90S. KaluSamuel Kalu
Chidera Micheal Okoh9C. Micheal OkohChidera Micheal Okoh
Martin Velichkov99M. VelichkovMartin Velichkov
Reyan Daskalov22R. DaskalovReyan Daskalov
Bozhidar Katsarov44B. KatsarovBozhidar Katsarov
Ryan Bidounga91R. BidoungaRyan Bidounga
Angel Lyaskov14A. LyaskovAngel Lyaskov
Erol Dost5E. DostErol Dost
Krasimir Stanoev31K. StanoevKrasimir Stanoev
Spas Delev7S. DelevSpas Delev
Dimitar Kostadinov20D. KostadinovDimitar Kostadinov
Mark Emilio Papazov17M. Emilio PapazovMark Emilio Papazov
Georgi Minchev10G. MinchevGeorgi Minchev

Botev Plovdiv Substitutes

1Hristiyan SlavkovG
82Vladimir MendesD
15Bogdan KostovD
6Ivaylo VidevD
87Simeon PetrovD
17Georgi MilanovM
77Lucas AraujoM
7Nikola IlievM
44Carlos MeottiM
45Edson SilvaM
30Franklin MascoteF

Lokomotiv Sofia Substitutes

3Kaloyan KostovD
71Nikolas PenevM
24Aleksandar LyubenovG
19Mitko MitkovD
21Kristian ChachevM
11Adil TaouiM
26Krasimir MiloshevM
45Gerov EmilF
77Caue Caruzo AlvesF

Team Comparison

Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
1542Elo Rating 1461
1.42Attack 1.46
1.51Defense 0.69
50%Hit Rate 0%
7.4Shots per Game 7.1
5.0Shots on Target 3.0
2.0Corners per Game 3.6
2.3Cards per Game 3.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Botev Plovdiv 31%Draw 19%50% Lokomotiv Sofia
3.24Avg Goals
63%BTTS Rate
44%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
4W0D1L
12/07/2026
Botev PlovdivBeroe
40
W
04/07/2026
Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
10
W
04/07/2026
Botev PlovdivEtar Veliko Tarnovo
12
L
01/07/2026
Botev PlovdivChernomorets 1919 Burgas
40
W
26/06/2026
Botev PlovdivArda Kardzhali
21
W
Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
1W3D1L
11/07/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaTeuta Durrës
00
D
04/07/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaDukagjini
33
D
22/05/2026
Spartak VarnaLokomotiv Sofia
30
L
18/05/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaSlavia Sofia
20
W
14/05/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaBeroe
11
D

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia981021:4+1725DWWWW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia972023:6+1723WWDWW
3LudogoretsLudogorets972016:7+923WWDDW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 1948961217:9+819WLWLW
5Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali951314:11+316LLWWW
6Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv941413:14-113WWLLL
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia92528:6+211DWLDD
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna924310:14-410DDDLL
9Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa92257:17-108DWLWL
10Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia92258:15-78LLDWW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv92074:12-86LWLLL
12Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna912610:19-95DLLWL
13Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia904510:18-84LDLDL
14Dunav RuseDunav Ruse91178:17-94LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia921:425
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia923:623
3LudogoretsLudogorets916:723
4CSKA 1948CSKA 1948917:919
5Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali914:1116
6Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv913:1413
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia98:611
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna910:1410
9Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa97:178
10Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia98:158
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv94:126
12Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna910:195
13Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia910:184
14Dunav RuseDunav Ruse98:174
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this First League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About First League

ScorePredicts covers Bulgaria football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Botev Plovdiv and Lokomotiv Sofia have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.24 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.