Bunyodkor vs Nasaf Prediction

Bunyodkor
1-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Nasaf
Milliy Stadium, Tashkent 16/07/2026
BunyodkorBunyodkor
1-3
Finished
NasafNasaf

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap-0.4%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.50
SignalGOODModel27%SurpriseHighGap+6.7%
Bunyodkor Rest
74 days
Nasaf Rest
73 days

Bunyodkor vs Nasaf: the result in context

Nasaf beat Bunyodkor 3-1 in the Super League on 16 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Bunyodkor had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Nasaf.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.88
X
31%3.10
2
34%2.32
Double Chance
1X
66%1.50
X2
65%1.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.75
No
56%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.31
Over 2.5
38%2.00
Over 3.5
18%3.34
Under 1.5
36%3.08
Under 2.5
62%1.73
Under 3.5
82%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'B. ToshmirzaevAssist: D. Pletnev
15'B. AbdikholikovAssist: Y. Otubanjo
46'M. Krivokapic INS. Rakhmanov out
57'Y. Otubanjo
59'N. Akhmadjonov INS. Mavlonkulov out
61'B. Abdikholikov
64'Y. OtubanjoAssist: M. Rakhmatov
67'S. Tursunmahammadov INA. Bobomurodov out
67'A. Tulkinbekov INA. Turakulov out
76'M. Olimzhonov
80'O. Rustamov INS. Bakhromov out
80'A. Shala IND. Abdunazarov out
83'S. Mavlonkulov INS. Abdunabiev out
85'Y. Otubanjo
85'Y. Otubanjo
90+4'S. Mukhitdinov INZ. Sadullayev out
90+4'B. Abdikholikov INY. Berdirahmonov out
90+4'A. Komilov INA. Davronov out

Team Comparison

BunyodkorBunyodkor
NasafNasaf
1416Elo Rating 1572
1.29Attack 0.91
1.61Defense 2.03
44%Hit Rate 37%
-Shots per Game 20.3
-Shots on Target 4.8
-Corners per Game 6.0
-Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

BunyodkorBunyodkor
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
NasafNasaf
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BunyodkorBunyodkor2Wins · 20%
Draws660%
NasafNasaf2Wins · 20%
2.9Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Super League04/10/2025
BunyodkorNasaf
22
Super League10/05/2025
NasafBunyodkor
22
Super League28/09/2024
BunyodkorNasaf
22
Super League13/05/2024
NasafBunyodkor
00
Super League24/09/2023
NasafBunyodkor
01
Super League17/04/2023
BunyodkorNasaf
11
Super League25/10/2022
NasafBunyodkor
11
Super League24/05/2022
BunyodkorNasaf
14
Super League27/09/2021
NasafBunyodkor
50
Super League04/05/2021
BunyodkorNasaf
20

Recent Form

BunyodkorBunyodkor
5W1D4L
03/05/2026
Kokand-1912Bunyodkor
10
L
29/04/2026
BunyodkorNavbahor
21
W
24/04/2026
BunyodkorAndijan
13
L
19/04/2026
SogdianaBunyodkor
23
W
14/04/2026
BunyodkorNeftchi
01
L
07/04/2026
Mash'alBunyodkor
01
W
02/04/2026
BunyodkorLokomotiv
20
W
18/03/2026
XorazmBunyodkor
12
W
11/03/2026
SurkhonBunyodkor
00
D
06/03/2026
BunyodkorDinamo Samarqand
12
L
NasafNasaf
2W5D3L
04/05/2026
NasafNavbahor
00
D
28/04/2026
PakhtakorNasaf
22
D
23/04/2026
NasafLokomotiv
23
L
18/04/2026
NeftchiNasaf
21
L
13/04/2026
NasafBuxoro
11
D
08/04/2026
Kokand-1912Nasaf
11
D
03/04/2026
NasafAndijan
10
W
20/03/2026
NasafSurkhon
01
L
12/03/2026
Dinamo SamarqandNasaf
11
D
06/03/2026
SogdianaNasaf
02
W

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NeftchiNeftchi25184359:22+3758WWDWW
2PakhtakorPakhtakor26168245:25+2056WLDWW
3NavbahorNavbahor26157445:25+2052WWDDW
4NasafNasaf26119638:24+1442DWDWW
5BuxoroBuxoro26126838:33+542DDWWL
6OlmaliqOlmaliq25126736:32+442WWDWL
7LokomotivLokomotiv25117740:31+940DDWLW
8QizilqumQizilqum261051125:31-635DDWDW
9Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand26971039:39034WDLLL
10AndijanAndijan26941330:34-431LDLLL
11SogdianaSogdiana26861243:50-730DLDLL
12SurkhonSurkhon26791020:29-930DDDDW
13BunyodkorBunyodkor25821526:41-1526WDLWL
14Kokand-1912Kokand-191226591225:36-1124DLLWL
15XorazmXorazm26581321:37-1623LLDDL
16Mash'alMash'al26112412:53-414LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NeftchiNeftchi2559:2258
2PakhtakorPakhtakor2645:2556
3NavbahorNavbahor2645:2552
4NasafNasaf2638:2442
5BuxoroBuxoro2638:3342
6OlmaliqOlmaliq2536:3242
7LokomotivLokomotiv2540:3140
8QizilqumQizilqum2625:3135
9Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand2639:3934
10AndijanAndijan2630:3431
11SogdianaSogdiana2643:5030
12SurkhonSurkhon2620:2930
13BunyodkorBunyodkor2526:4126
14Kokand-1912Kokand-19122625:3624
15XorazmXorazm2621:3723
16Mash'alMash'al2612:534
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Bunyodkor vs Nasaf forecast

The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bunyodkor and Nasaf in the Super League table

The table shows a wide gap: Nasaf are 4th in the Super League, while Bunyodkor sit 13th, 16 points behind. League goal record so far: Bunyodkor 26-41, Nasaf 38-24. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.