Neftchi vs Buxoro Prediction

Super LeagueUzbekistan Uzbekistan · Regular Season - 12
Neftchi
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Buxoro
Istiqlol Stadium, Fergana 16/07/2026
NeftchiNeftchi
2-1
Finished
BuxoroBuxoro

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.26
SignalGOODModel70%RiskMediumGap-1.6%
Neftchi Rest
7 days
Buxoro Rest
75 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
77%1.26
X
15%4.90
2
8%9.25
Double Chance
1X
92%1.03
X2
23%3.27
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.20
No
56%1.59
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.20
Over 2.5
39%1.70
Over 3.5
19%2.69
Under 1.5
37%3.74
Under 2.5
61%2.02
Under 3.5
81%1.39
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'M. Ubaydullaev
8'K. Mukhtorov(Penalty)
33'I. Alibaev
46'A. Odilov INRatinho out
46'I. Pulatov INF. Sayfiev out
46'M. Ubaydullaev INJ. Iskanderov out
49'J. Djokic
66'V. Rodic INI. Baratov out
66'A. Joraboev INS. Ubaydullaev out
66'V. Jovovic INK. Giyosov out
74'Z. Marusic INS. Perica out
78'T. Mamasidikov INS. Esanov out
83'S. PericaAssist: F. Sayfiev
85'F. Sayfiev
86'J. IskanderovAssist: J. Djokic
90'S. Jurabekov INN. Akhmadjonov out
90'J. Ruziev INA. Kayumov out
90+2'J. Iskanderov
90+2'K. Mukhtorov

Lineups

Neftchi
4-2-3-1Coach: Islom Ismoilov
Buxoro
4-4-2Coach: Aleksandr Khomyakov
B. Ergashev1B. ErgashevB. Ergashev
B. Ciger4B. CigerB. Ciger
M. Ubaydullayev21M. UbaydullayevM. Ubaydullayev
I. Pulatov2I. PulatovI. Pulatov
J. Đokić23J. ĐokićJ. Đokić
I. Alibaev5I. AlibaevI. Alibaev
Alisher Odilov22A. OdilovAlisher Odilov
V. Jovović8V. JovovićV. Jovović
Z. Marušić32Z. MarušićZ. Marušić
K. Todorov42K. TodorovK. Todorov
K. Mukhtarov7K. MukhtarovK. Mukhtarov
B. Mlađović30B. MlađovićB. Mlađović
S. Djurabekov97S. DjurabekovS. Djurabekov
J. Ruziev17J. RuzievJ. Ruziev
R. Hayrullayev6R. HayrullayevR. Hayrullayev
V. Rodić78V. RodićV. Rodić
Temur Mamasidiqov11T. MamasidiqovTemur Mamasidiqov
A. Joraboev22A. JoraboevA. Joraboev

Neftchi Substitutes

9K. GiyosovF
10J. IskanderovM
11A. JumayevM
18S. PericaF
77RatinhoM
34F. SayfievD
45A. TuraevG

Buxoro Substitutes

25S. EsanovM
8A. JuraevM
77A. KayumovF

Team Comparison

NeftchiNeftchi
BuxoroBuxoro
1679Elo Rating 1519
1.71Attack 1.87
1.60Defense 0.87
81%Hit Rate 31%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+159 Elo
📈BTTS Trend51% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

NeftchiNeftchi
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
BuxoroBuxoro
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 4 historical meetings

Neftchi 49%Draw 51%0% Buxoro
2.35Avg Goals
51%BTTS Rate
42%Over 2.5

Recent Form

NeftchiNeftchi
3W1D1L
08/07/2026
ZenitNeftchi
41
L
03/05/2026
OlmaliqNeftchi
00
D
29/04/2026
NeftchiKokand-1912
40
W
24/04/2026
XorazmNeftchi
02
W
18/04/2026
NeftchiNasaf
21
W
BuxoroBuxoro
2W1D2L
02/05/2026
BuxoroSogdiana
21
W
27/04/2026
Mash'alBuxoro
01
W
22/04/2026
BuxoroPakhtakor
01
L
17/04/2026
OlmaliqBuxoro
32
L
13/04/2026
NasafBuxoro
11
D

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NeftchiNeftchi21153349:17+3248WLWLW
2PakhtakorPakhtakor21137137:19+1846WWDDW
3NavbahorNavbahor21125436:19+1741WDWWW
4LokomotivLokomotiv21105636:27+935WDWWL
5BuxoroBuxoro21104731:27+434LLDWW
6OlmaliqOlmaliq2195729:28+132LWDLL
7NasafNasaf2187629:20+931WWLLL
8AndijanAndijan2193926:24+230WLWWL
9Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand2186731:31030WDDWD
10SogdianaSogdiana2184937:41-428DWLWW
11QizilqumQizilqum21821120:29-926LWWLW
12SurkhonSurkhon21651018:28-1023LWDDL
13XorazmXorazm21561017:29-1221DLLLD
14Kokand-1912Kokand-19122148919:29-1020LDDWW
15BunyodkorBunyodkor21611420:35-1519LLLLL
16Mash'alMash'al21111910:42-324LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NeftchiNeftchi2149:1748
2PakhtakorPakhtakor2137:1946
3NavbahorNavbahor2136:1941
4LokomotivLokomotiv2136:2735
5BuxoroBuxoro2131:2734
6OlmaliqOlmaliq2129:2832
7NasafNasaf2129:2031
8AndijanAndijan2126:2430
9Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand2131:3130
10SogdianaSogdiana2137:4128
11QizilqumQizilqum2120:2926
12SurkhonSurkhon2118:2823
13XorazmXorazm2117:2921
14Kokand-1912Kokand-19122119:2920
15BunyodkorBunyodkor2120:3519
16Mash'alMash'al2110:424
Champions LeagueRelegation

Neftchi vs Buxoro Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Super League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Super League

ScorePredicts covers Uzbekistan football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Neftchi and Buxoro have met 4 times recently, averaging 2.35 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.