Buriram United vs Rayong FC Prediction

Buriram United
3-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Rayong FC
Chang Arena, Buriram 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.21
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap-10.0%
Buriram United Rest
2 days
Rayong FC Rest
20 days

Buriram United vs Rayong FC: result, form and history

Buriram United beat Rayong FC 3-2 in the Thai League 1 on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Buriram United have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 7 previous meetings, which averaged 3.4 goals a game. Buriram United tend to win more corners, 9.5 a game to 3.5 for Rayong FC.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
71%1.21
X
17%5.90
2
12%10.00
Double Chance
1X
88%1.03
X2
29%3.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.91
No
50%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.04 + 0.87 = 2.91
Over 1.5
81%1.10
Over 2.5
62%1.43
Over 3.5
41%2.10
Under 1.5
19%5.30
Under 2.5
38%2.56
Under 3.5
59%1.65
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'João Vitor Coutinho MaiaFoul
13'João Felipe Proscinski GiaccomoniAssist: João Vitor Coutinho Maia
26'Sebas MoyanoFoul
30'João Felipe Proscinski GiaccomoniFoul
35'Uroš Radaković INPhitiwat Sookjitthammakul out
45'Stefan Schimmer
45'João Vitor Coutinho Maia INYeo Hong-Gyu out
49'Goal cancelledCristian·Magerusan
53'Kenneth William DougallFoul
56'João Felipe Proscinski GiaccomoniAssist: Cristian·Magerusan
65'Jakkaphan Praisuwan INPaulinho out
66'Stefan Schimmer INSupachai Chaided out
74'Cristian·Magerusan INRenan Gorne out
74'Thanawat Pimyotha INPharadon Phatthaphon out
78'João Felipe Proscinski Giaccomoni
83'Supachai ChaidedAssist: Paulinho
86'Goal confirmedSupachai Chaided
86'Sebas Moyano INThanakrit Chotmuangpak out
88'Thanaset Sujarit INSupawit Romphopak out
90'Goal cancelledPaulinho
90+4'Thanakrit ChotmuangpakAssist: Paulinho
90+4'Bruno Leite INHiromichi Katano out

Lineups

Buriram United
3-5-2Coach: Mário Silva
Rayong FC
4-3-3Coach: A. Chalitaporn
Avg rating6.84
Avg rating6.27
N. Etheridge6.113N. Etheridge
J. Praisuwan6.939J. Praisuwan
U. Radaković6.726U. Radaković
Nathan6.85Nathan
K. Schindler6.419K. Schindler
K. Dougall6.316K. Dougall
Sebas Moyano6.410S. Moyano
T. Bunmathan6.755T. Bunmathan
S. Haiprakhon6.92S. Haiprakhon
Bissoli6.27Bissoli
S. Schimmer8.130S. Schimmer
W. Ganthong6.730W. Ganthong
1515T. Sujarit
Mayron Marques5.937M. Marques
9494A. Abreu Lara
33T. Pimyotha
Bruno Leite5.817B. Leite
João Afonso5.76J. Afonso
Natcha Promsomboon5.78N. Promsomboon
9898J. Felipe Proscinski Giaccomoni
C. Măgerușan6.599C. Măgerușan
1010J. Vitor Coutinho Maia

Buriram United Substitutes

9S. Chaided66'for Stefan Schimmer83'8.2
33T. Chotmuangpak86'for Sebas Moyano90+4'7.2
34C. Bootprom
3P. Hemviboon
75S. Leeaoh
8Paulinho65'replaced by Jakkaphan Praisuwan
27P. Sookjitthammakul35'for Uroš Radaković6.6
15N. Weerawatnodom
11A. Yodsangwal

Rayong FC Substitutes

26Renan Gorne74'replaced by Cristian·Magerusan
4H. Katano90+4'for Bruno Leite
2Noppol Kerdkaew
18P. Ngernprasert
5P. Phatthaphon74'replaced by Thanawat Pimyotha5.9
79P. Phothep
22C. Pombubpha
19S. Romphopak88'replaced by Thanaset Sujarit6.4
7M. Sarakum
36Worawut Srisupha
77Yeo Hong-Gyu45'replaced by João Vitor Coutinho Maia6.1

Match Stats

Buriram UnitedRayong FC
70%Ball Possession30%
10Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
27Total Shots6
9Shots on Goal3
11Shots off Goal2
18Shots Inside Box2
9Shots Outside Box4
7Blocked Shots1
4Fouls19
2Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves6
442Total Passes188
371Passes Accurate122
18Free Kicks4

Team Comparison

Buriram UnitedBuriram United
Rayong FCRayong FC
1672Elo Rating 1508
2.99Attack 1.39
1.74Defense 0.86
56%Hit Rate 23%
18.8Shots per Game 12.9
5.8Shots on Target 4.0
9.5Corners per Game 3.5
1.7Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+164 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals
📈BTTS Trend57% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Buriram UnitedBuriram United
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.3 in first half)
Rayong FCRayong FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Buriram UnitedBuriram United5Wins · 72%
Draws114%
Rayong FCRayong FC1Wins · 14%
3.4Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
71%3+ goals5 of 7

Previous meetings

Thai League 129/04/2026
Rayong FCBuriram United
30
Thai League 126/10/2025
Buriram UnitedRayong FC
21
Thai League 129/03/2025
Buriram UnitedRayong FC
21
Thai League 110/11/2024
Rayong FCBuriram United
11
League Cup12/01/2022
Rayong FCBuriram United
02
Thai League 116/02/2021
Rayong FCBuriram United
05
Thai League 111/11/2020
Buriram UnitedRayong FC
51

Recent Form

Buriram UnitedBuriram United
6W4D0L
07/10/2026
Buriram UnitedPusamania Borneo
00
D
20/09/2026
Chonburi FCBuriram United
01
W
15/09/2026
Johor Darul Takzim FCBuriram United
11
D
11/09/2026
Buriram UnitedChiangrai United
11
D
06/09/2026
Sukhothai FCBuriram United
13
W
31/05/2026
Buriram UnitedPrachuap
1000
W
27/05/2026
Buriram UnitedSelangor
21
W
20/05/2026
SelangorBuriram United
01
W
17/05/2026
Buriram UnitedAyutthaya FC
50
W
10/05/2026
Buriram UnitedLamphun Warrior
11
D
Rayong FCRayong FC
4W3D3L
20/09/2026
Rayong FCRatchaburi
11
D
13/09/2026
Chonburi FCRayong FC
23
W
05/09/2026
Rayong FCPrachuap
10
W
10/05/2026
Rayong FCBangkok United
11
D
03/05/2026
RatchaburiRayong FC
61
L
29/04/2026
Rayong FCBuriram United
30
W
26/04/2026
Rayong FCLamphun Warrior
11
D
18/04/2026
Uthai ThaniRayong FC
41
L
05/04/2026
Chonburi FCRayong FC
41
L
21/03/2026
Rayong FCKanchanaburi
21
W

League Table

Thai League 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Port FCPort FC650114:7+715WWWLW
2PrachuapPrachuap64118:3+513DWWWW
3Buriram UnitedBuriram United641111:7+413LWWWD
4RatchaburiRatchaburi631212:6+610LWWDW
5Uthai ThaniUthai Thani631213:9+410LDWWL
6Ayutthaya FCAyutthaya FC63129:7+210WLDLW
7Bangkok UnitedBangkok United63128:6+210DLWWL
8Sisaket UnitedSisaket United63128:8010WDWWL
9BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United62319:7+29WDDLW
10Sukhothai FCSukhothai FC630310:13-39WWLWL
11Rayong FCRayong FC62229:11-28LDLDW
12Lamphun WarriorLamphun Warrior62138:10-27WWLDL
13Chiangrai UnitedChiangrai United61144:8-44LLLLD
14PattaniPattani61145:11-64LLLLW
15Chonburi FCChonburi FC61056:10-43WLLLL
16Rasi Salai UnitedRasi Salai United60158:19-111LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Port FCPort FC614:715
2PrachuapPrachuap68:313
3Buriram UnitedBuriram United611:713
4RatchaburiRatchaburi612:610
5Uthai ThaniUthai Thani613:910
6Ayutthaya FCAyutthaya FC69:710
7Bangkok UnitedBangkok United68:610
8Sisaket UnitedSisaket United68:810
9BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United69:79
10Sukhothai FCSukhothai FC610:139
11Rayong FCRayong FC69:118
12Lamphun WarriorLamphun Warrior68:107
13Chiangrai UnitedChiangrai United64:84
14PattaniPattani65:114
15Chonburi FCChonburi FC66:103
16Rasi Salai UnitedRasi Salai United68:191
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Buriram United vs Rayong FC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Buriram United and Rayong FC in the Thai League 1 table

In the Thai League 1 table, Buriram United are 3rd and Rayong FC 11th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Buriram United 11-7, Rayong FC 9-11. The full standings are on the Thai League 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.