BG Pathum United vs Ayutthaya FC Prediction

True BG Stadium, Patum Thani 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.38
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-8.7%
BG Pathum United Rest
19 days
Ayutthaya FC Rest
21 days

BG Pathum United vs Ayutthaya FC: the result in context

BG Pathum United and Ayutthaya FC drew 1-1 in the Thai League 1 on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.38
X
22%4.40
2
16%6.50
Double Chance
1X
84%1.06
X2
38%2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.82
No
48%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.99 + 1.02 = 3.01
Over 1.5
78%1.18
Over 2.5
57%1.61
Over 3.5
35%2.55
Under 1.5
22%4.05
Under 2.5
43%2.15
Under 3.5
65%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

14'Marko NikolićFoul
23'Willen MotaAssist: Ewerton da Silva Pereira
26'Anthony BelmonteFoul
34'Lucas Dias do Nascimento SerafimFoul
45'Waris Chuthong INKritsada Kaman out
45'Leon Pitchaya James INSarach Yooyen out
45'Matheus Costa INJoao Magno out
54'Patrik Gustavsson
58'Diogo·Araujo Brito
62'Red card confirmedDiogo·Araujo Brito
64'Hyun-Soo HwangDissent
65'Yuki KusanoFoul
70'Ashley Mark Coffey INSurachat Sareepim out
73'Yuki Kusano INChanukun Karin out
73'Guntapon Keereeleang INChakkit Laptrakul out
73'Willen Mota INCaique out
84'Bhumchanok KamklaFoul
86'Passakorn BiaothungoiFoul
86'Marko Nikolić INAkarapong Pumwisat out
90+3'Fabio KaufmannFoul

Lineups

BG Pathum United
4-3-3Coach: Vladimir Vujović
Ayutthaya FC
4-3-3Coach: J. Siriwattanasart
Avg rating6.60
Avg rating6.50
S. Anuin6.328S. Anuin
W. Choolthong6.248W. Choolthong
4444M. Nikolić
E. Osmanović7.150E. Osmanović
F. Kaufmann6.637F. Kaufmann
A. Belmonte6.426A. Belmonte
L. James6.04L. James
2222M. Costa
P. Gustavsson8.111P. Gustavsson
A. Coffey6.419A. Coffey
1010L. Andersen
11W. Mekmusik
2323P. Biaothungoi
Diogo Brito5.736D. Brito
Hwang Hyun-Soo6.42H. Hyun-Soo
Bhumchanok  Kamkla6.047B. Kamkla
Ewerton7.26Ewerton
K. Palić6.94K. Palić
Y. Kusano6.625Y. Kusano
Lucas Dias6.47L. Dias
Willen Mota7.99W. Mota
Guntapon Keereeleang6.297G. Keereeleang

BG Pathum United Substitutes

49N. Ineachaeoen
5K. Kaman45'for Waris Chuthong7.0
45João Magno45'replaced by Matheus Costa6.9
24S. Pongsuwan
8A. Pumwisat86'replaced by Marko Nikolić6.2
9S. Sareepim70'for Ashley Mark Coffey6.5
39T. Siripala
2C. Tamma
25P. Tanthatemee
13I. Waewdee
6S. Yooyen45'for Leon Pitchaya James6.9
17E. Dolah

Ayutthaya FC Substitutes

15D. Kerkez
10C. Karin73'for Yuki Kusano6.5
13S. Ingkaew
29Sanrawat Dechmitr
5Atsadawut Changthong
17C. Laptrakul73'for Guntapon Keereeleang6.1
22S. Nichkram
21Thananat Rungrampan
55S. Sompim
77Caique73'replaced by Willen Mota
19Chukid Wanpraphao
8N. Worasut

Match Stats

BG Pathum UnitedAyutthaya FC
57%Ball Possession43%
8Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards1
18Total Shots7
2Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box2
9Shots Outside Box5
7Blocked Shots1
16Fouls14
4Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
330Total Passes252
278Passes Accurate197
14Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United
Ayutthaya FCAyutthaya FC
1571Elo Rating 1484
1.04Attack 1.04
2.10Defense 1.75
27%Hit Rate 41%
13.4Shots per Game 9.2
4.0Shots on Target 2.5
4.3Corners per Game 2.6
1.9Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.01 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Ayutthaya FCAyutthaya FC
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Ayutthaya FCAyutthaya FC0Wins · 0%
1.5Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

Thai League 122/02/2026
Ayutthaya FCBG Pathum United
02
Thai League 118/10/2025
BG Pathum UnitedAyutthaya FC
10

Recent Form

BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United
4W3D3L
20/09/2026
Bangkok UnitedBG Pathum United
32
L
17/09/2026
Home UnitedBG Pathum United
11
D
12/09/2026
BG Pathum UnitedRasi Salai United
32
W
04/09/2026
PattaniBG Pathum United
00
D
04/08/2026
BG Pathum UnitedAston Villa
13
L
12/07/2026
Roi EtBG Pathum United
05
W
24/05/2026
BG Pathum UnitedPort FC
01
L
10/05/2026
BG Pathum UnitedPrachuap
30
W
01/05/2026
Muangthong UnitedBG Pathum United
11
D
25/04/2026
BG Pathum UnitedNakhon Ratchasima FC
10
W
Ayutthaya FCAyutthaya FC
2W0D8L
18/09/2026
Ayutthaya FCUthai Thani
12
L
12/09/2026
Sisaket UnitedAyutthaya FC
01
W
06/09/2026
Ayutthaya FCRatchaburi
21
W
17/05/2026
Buriram UnitedAyutthaya FC
50
L
10/05/2026
Ayutthaya FCPort FC
14
L
02/05/2026
Bangkok UnitedAyutthaya FC
41
L
26/04/2026
Ayutthaya FCPrachuap
13
L
12/04/2026
Buriram UnitedAyutthaya FC
20
L
05/04/2026
Lamphun WarriorAyutthaya FC
20
L
21/03/2026
Ayutthaya FCNakhon Ratchasima FC
01
L

League Table

Thai League 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Port FCPort FC650114:7+715WWWLW
2PrachuapPrachuap64118:3+513DWWWW
3Buriram UnitedBuriram United641111:7+413LWWWD
4RatchaburiRatchaburi631212:6+610LWWDW
5Uthai ThaniUthai Thani631213:9+410LDWWL
6Ayutthaya FCAyutthaya FC63129:7+210WLDLW
7Bangkok UnitedBangkok United63128:6+210DLWWL
8Sisaket UnitedSisaket United63128:8010WDWWL
9BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United62319:7+29WDDLW
10Sukhothai FCSukhothai FC630310:13-39WWLWL
11Rayong FCRayong FC62229:11-28LDLDW
12Lamphun WarriorLamphun Warrior62138:10-27WWLDL
13Chiangrai UnitedChiangrai United61144:8-44LLLLD
14PattaniPattani61145:11-64LLLLW
15Chonburi FCChonburi FC61056:10-43WLLLL
16Rasi Salai UnitedRasi Salai United60158:19-111LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Port FCPort FC614:715
2PrachuapPrachuap68:313
3Buriram UnitedBuriram United611:713
4RatchaburiRatchaburi612:610
5Uthai ThaniUthai Thani613:910
6Ayutthaya FCAyutthaya FC69:710
7Bangkok UnitedBangkok United68:610
8Sisaket UnitedSisaket United68:810
9BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United69:79
10Sukhothai FCSukhothai FC610:139
11Rayong FCRayong FC69:118
12Lamphun WarriorLamphun Warrior68:107
13Chiangrai UnitedChiangrai United64:84
14PattaniPattani65:114
15Chonburi FCChonburi FC66:103
16Rasi Salai UnitedRasi Salai United68:191
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the BG Pathum United vs Ayutthaya FC forecast

The forecasts for this Thai League 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

BG Pathum United and Ayutthaya FC in the Thai League 1 table

In the Thai League 1 table, Ayutthaya FC are 6th and BG Pathum United 9th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: BG Pathum United 9-7, Ayutthaya FC 9-7. The full standings are on the Thai League 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

BG Pathum United and Ayutthaya FC have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.