Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969 Prediction

Bursaspor
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Mardin 1969
Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu, Bursa·Fatih Tokail 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
56%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.56
SignalNEUTRALModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-7.5%
Bursaspor Rest
21 days
Mardin 1969 Rest
20 days

Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969: result, form and history

Mardin 1969 beat Bursaspor 2-1 in the 1. Lig on 11 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Bursaspor had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Mardin 1969.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.56
X
25%3.80
2
20%5.11
Double Chance
1X
80%1.14
X2
46%2.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.83
No
47%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.66 + 1.08 = 2.74
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
52%1.82
Over 3.5
32%3.06
Under 1.5
25%3.60
Under 2.5
48%1.90
Under 3.5
68%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 3.4 = 8.5
Over 8.5
53%1.50
Over 9.5
28%1.84
Over 10.5
20%2.34
Under 8.5
47%2.39
Under 9.5
72%1.86
Under 10.5
80%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.5 = 4.6
Over 3.5
68%-
Over 4.5
49%-
Under 3.5
32%-
Under 4.5
51%-

Match Events

20'Kerim AlıcıFoul
21'Tonio Teklić
25'Zeki YavruFoul
38'Ivan SaranicFoul
45'Lewis Baker INEyüp Akcan out
45'Emir Kaan Gultekin INBaran Başyiğit out
45'Ivan Saranic INHüseyin Maldar out
47'Alperen BabacanFoul
49'Uğur Adem GezerFoul
62'Tonio TeklićFoul
64'Kerim Alıcı INEray Korkmaz out
72'M. Şengül INBerkay Dogan out
72'Olarenwaju Kayode INO. Yıldırım out
80'B. Gök INErtuğrul Ersoy out
81'Kelechi Iheanacho
85'Tonio Teklić INEmre Taşdemir out
85'Đorđe Denić INMallik Wilks out
87'M. ErAbusive Language
90+3'Baba AlhassanFoul
90+4'Zdravko DimitrovAssist: Emre Taşdemir
90+5'Zdravko DimitrovFoul
90+7'Baba Alhassan
90+9'Kerem MatışlıFoul

Lineups

Bursaspor
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Er
Mardin 1969
4-4-2Coach: Ivaylo Petev
Avg rating6.50
Avg rating6.53
K. Matisli5.798K. Matisli
Z. Yavru6.418Z. Yavru
A. Babacan6.424A. Babacan
Emirhan Başyiğit6.95E. Başyiğit
B. Gök6.793B. Gök
L. Baker6.142L. Baker
J. Elitim7.26J. Elitim
I. Šaranić5.980I. Šaranić
E. Gültekin6.59E. Gültekin
A. Boutrah6.673A. Boutrah
K. Ịheanachọ8.114K. Ịheanachọ
E. Kardeşler7.01E. Kardeşler
K. Alıcı6.127K. Alıcı
M. Şengül6.725M. Şengül
U. Gezer6.415U. Gezer
N. Yardımcı6.83N. Yardımcı
T. Teklić7.091T. Teklić
A. Kabak6.316A. Kabak
B. Alhassan5.642B. Alhassan
Z. Dimitrov7.510Z. Dimitrov
O. Kayode5.99O. Kayode
Đ. Denić6.38Đ. Denić

Bursaspor Substitutes

34E. Akcan45'for Lewis Baker6.0
52T. Aydoğan
27T. Bayramov
20B. Başyiğit45'for Emir Kaan Gultekin6.7
77R. Berişbek
4E. Ersoy80'for B. Gök6.3
81A. Geldi
39A. Kıvanç
66H. Maldar45'for Ivan Saranic6.1
57B. Yayıkcı

Mardin 1969 Substitutes

29Ö. Kahveci
33E. Taşdemir85'for Tonio Teklić6.7
77D. Taşkan
47M. Wilks85'for Đorđe Denić6.4
45O. Yıldırım72'replaced by Olarenwaju Kayode
7Ş. Çetin
19A. Ülük
64B. Doğan72'for M. Şengül6.6
11B. Balat
17E. Korkmaz64'for Kerim Alıcı6.6

Match Stats

BursasporMardin 1969
76%Ball Possession24%
7Corner Kicks2
4Yellow Cards6
0Red Cards1
28Total Shots4
7Shots on Goal2
15Shots off Goal2
16Shots Inside Box3
12Shots Outside Box1
6Blocked Shots0
9Fouls17
3Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves6
618Total Passes203
537Passes Accurate119
87%Pass Accuracy59%

Team Comparison

BursasporBursaspor
Mardin 1969Mardin 1969
1746Elo Rating 1638
2.03Attack 1.16
2.16Defense 1.42
66%Hit Rate 42%
16.5Shots per Game 8.1
5.9Shots on Target 2.0
5.2Corners per Game 3.6
2.0Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+108 Elo
📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BursasporBursaspor
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.6 in first half)
Mardin 1969Mardin 1969
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

BursasporBursaspor2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Mardin 1969Mardin 19690Wins · 0%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

2. Lig04/04/2026
BursasporMardin 1969
20
2. Lig06/12/2025
Mardin 1969Bursaspor
12

Recent Form

BursasporBursaspor
7W2D1L
19/09/2026
Batman PetrolsporBursaspor
12
W
13/09/2026
BursasporEsenler Erokspor
22
D
07/09/2026
Manisa F.K.Bursaspor
12
W
03/09/2026
Bursasporİstanbulspor
40
W
29/08/2026
KayserisporBursaspor
12
W
21/08/2026
Fatih KaragümrükBursaspor
21
L
15/08/2026
BursasporIğdır FK
10
W
09/08/2026
Bodrum FKBursaspor
02
W
26/07/2026
BursasporShakhtar Donetsk
00
D
25/04/2026
Aliağa FAŞBursaspor
05
W
Mardin 1969Mardin 1969
5W3D2L
20/09/2026
Mardin 1969Kayserispor
01
L
13/09/2026
Iğdır FKMardin 1969
10
L
07/09/2026
Mardin 1969Bodrum FK
10
W
02/09/2026
SivassporMardin 1969
22
D
29/08/2026
Mardin 1969Vanspor FK
11
D
23/08/2026
BolusporMardin 1969
03
W
16/08/2026
Mardin 1969Antalyaspor
20
W
08/08/2026
ÜmraniyesporMardin 1969
00
D
09/05/2026
Mardin 1969Muş Sport Klübü
21
W
04/05/2026
Mardin 1969 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
6050
W

Referee Profile

Fatih Tokail87 matches

4.72Cards per match
4.47Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
25.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Fatih Tokail4.72
Other referees4.68

4.72 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.68).

Cards come from 43 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

1. Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KayserisporKayserispor1182124:7+1726DWWWW
2BursasporBursaspor1181222:9+1325WWLWD
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1172215:8+723WDWDW
4KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1155121:11+1020WDWDD
5Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1162322:19+320DWLLL
6Mardin 1969Mardin 19691153314:10+418LWWLL
7AntalyasporAntalyaspor1160517:17018WLWWW
8SarıyerSarıyer1144314:15-116DLDWD
9MuğlasporMuğlaspor1136213:14-115WLDDD
10BandırmasporBandırmaspor1135316:8+814LDWLD
11Bodrum FKBodrum FK1135313:10+314WWLDW
12SivassporSivasspor1127215:14+113DDWDD
13Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1134414:15-113LLDWD
14Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1126310:13-312WDWLD
15ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor102449:10-110LDWLL
16Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1124518:20-210LDLLD
17PendiksporPendikspor1124512:21-910LLLDD
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1123610:22-127LWLLD
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor111289:26-175LLLWL
20BolusporBoluspor100193:22-191WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1KayserisporKayserispor1124:726
2BursasporBursaspor1122:925
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1115:823
4KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1121:1120
5Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1122:1920
6Mardin 1969Mardin 19691114:1018
7AntalyasporAntalyaspor1117:1718
8SarıyerSarıyer1114:1516
9MuğlasporMuğlaspor1113:1415
10BandırmasporBandırmaspor1116:814
11Bodrum FKBodrum FK1113:1014
12SivassporSivasspor1115:1413
13Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1114:1513
14Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1110:1312
15ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor109:1010
16Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1118:2010
17PendiksporPendikspor1112:2110
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1110:227
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor119:265
20BolusporBoluspor103:221
PromotionRelegation

About the Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969 forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bursaspor and Mardin 1969 in the 1. Lig table

In the 1. Lig table, Bursaspor are 2nd and Mardin 1969 6th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Bursaspor 22-9, Mardin 1969 14-10. The full standings are on the 1. Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Bursaspor and Mardin 1969 have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.