Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor Prediction

Bursaspor
2-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Esenler Erokspor
Timsah Park, Bursa 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.68
SignalGOODModel61%RiskMediumGap+3.7%
Bursaspor Rest
6 days
Esenler Erokspor Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%1.71
X
31%3.60
2
30%4.00
Double Chance
1X
70%1.18
X2
61%1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.70
No
51%2.01
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.19 + 1.16 = 2.35
Over 1.5
69%1.22
Over 2.5
43%1.75
Over 3.5
22%2.83
Under 1.5
31%3.80
Under 2.5
57%2.00
Under 3.5
78%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 3.6 = 8.7
Over 8.5
53%1.76
Over 9.5
43%2.26
Over 10.5
33%3.13
Under 8.5
47%2.00
Under 9.5
57%1.56
Under 10.5
67%1.27
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.3 = 4.5
Over 3.5
65%-
Over 4.5
46%-
Under 3.5
35%-
Under 4.5
54%-

Match Events

16'Kelechi IheanachoAssist: Ivan Saranic
18'Mikail Okyar
20'Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos
27'Guélor KangaFoul
45'Furkan Orak INNicolas Janvier out
45'Altin Zeqiri INBurak Coban out
50'Yusuf ErdoğanAssist: Guélor Kanga
54'Yusuf Erdoğan INYusuf Arda Özyurt out
63'B. Gök INTural Bayramov out
63'Halil Akbunar INAmine Boutrah out
69'H. KaramanDissent
72'Kelechi IheanachoFoul
75'Ivan Saranic INHüseyin Maldar out
75'Eyüp Akcan INSoner Aydoğdu out
77'Yusuf Arda Özyurt INMuhamed Buljubašić out
77'Braian Samudio INErkan Kaş out
83'Zeki Yavru INRahmetullah Berisbek out
90'Goal cancelledKelechi Iheanacho
90+1'Erdem·CanpolatTime wasting
90+6'Juergen ElitimFoul

Lineups

Bursaspor
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Er
Esenler Erokspor
4-2-3-1Coach: H. Karaman
K. Matisli98K. MatisliK. Matisli
Z. Yavru18Z. YavruZ. Yavru
A. Babacan24A. BabacanA. Babacan
B. Yayıkcı57B. YayıkcıB. Yayıkcı
B. Gök93B. GökB. Gök
E. Akcan34E. AkcanE. Akcan
J. Elitim6J. ElitimJ. Elitim
I. Šaranić80I. ŠaranićI. Šaranić
Lincoln10LincolnLincoln
H. Akbunar7H. AkbunarH. Akbunar
K. Ịheanachọ14K. ỊheanachọK. Ịheanachọ
E. Canpolat22E. CanpolatE. Canpolat
H. Bilazer77H. BilazerH. Bilazer
B. Öztürk21B. ÖztürkB. Öztürk
O. Ulaş14O. UlaşO. Ulaş
E. Alić33E. AlićE. Alić
G. Kanga8G. KangaG. Kanga
M. Okyar5M. OkyarM. Okyar
F. Orak70F. OrakF. Orak
A. Zeqiri88A. ZeqiriA. Zeqiri
Y. Erdoğan53Y. ErdoğanY. Erdoğan
B. Samudio18B. SamudioB. Samudio

Bursaspor Substitutes

5Emirhan BaşyiğitD
20B. BaşyiğitF
27T. BayramovD
42L. BakerM
8S. AydoğduM
77R. BerişbekD
73A. BoutrahF
4E. ErsoyD
39A. KıvançG
66H. MaldarD

Esenler Erokspor Substitutes

39E. KaşD
6T. KaçarM
4Luccas ClaroD
20M. BuljubašićM
10R. NiyazM
7N. JanvierM
27F. YazganM
34E. ÇetinG
17B. ÇobanF
52Y. Arda OzyurtF

Match Stats

BursasporEsenler Erokspor
57%Ball Possession43%
9Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots6
5Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal3
13Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots0
20Fouls9
6Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
441Total Passes341
362Passes Accurate252
9Free Kicks19

Team Comparison

BursasporBursaspor
Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor
1724Elo Rating 1650
2.25Attack 0.68
1.78Defense 1.47
59%Hit Rate 0%
12.7Shots per Game 10.7
4.2Shots on Target 3.3
6.9Corners per Game 4.1
2.2Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend81% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BursasporBursaspor
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 4 historical meetings

Bursaspor 0%Draw 49%51% Esenler Erokspor
3.9Avg Goals
81%BTTS Rate
73%Over 2.5

Recent Form

BursasporBursaspor
4W0D1L
07/09/2026
Manisa F.K.Bursaspor
12
W
03/09/2026
Bursasporİstanbulspor
40
W
29/08/2026
KayserisporBursaspor
12
W
21/08/2026
Fatih KaragümrükBursaspor
21
L
15/08/2026
BursasporIğdır FK
10
W
Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor
0W3D2L
07/09/2026
Esenler EroksporKayserispor
03
L
03/09/2026
Bodrum FKEsenler Erokspor
00
D
30/08/2026
Esenler EroksporIğdır FK
01
L
22/08/2026
ÜmraniyesporEsenler Erokspor
11
D
14/08/2026
Esenler EroksporSarıyer
11
D

League Table

1. Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KayserisporKayserispor751114:3+1116WWDLW
2BursasporBursaspor751114:6+816DWWWL
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK851212:7+516DWWWW
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor751114:11+316LWWWW
5SarıyerSarıyer842211:9+214WDLWW
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü834117:10+713DDWWD
7Mardin 1969Mardin 196973319:4+512LWDDW
8MuğlasporMuğlaspor82518:7+111DDDWW
9BandırmasporBandırmaspor824212:5+710LDWLD
10Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.723212:11+19DLLDD
11Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük723210:11-19DLDDW
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor730411:13-29WLWLL
13PendiksporPendikspor72329:12-39DWLDW
14SivassporSivasspor81529:11-28DDWDL
15Bodrum FKBodrum FK71426:5+17WLDDD
16ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor81346:9-36WLLLD
17Vanspor FKVanspor FK71338:14-66DDLDW
18Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor70524:8-45DLDLD
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor70256:19-132LLLDL
20BolusporBoluspor80173:20-171LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1KayserisporKayserispor714:316
2BursasporBursaspor714:616
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK812:716
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor714:1116
5SarıyerSarıyer811:914
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü817:1013
7Mardin 1969Mardin 196979:412
8MuğlasporMuğlaspor88:711
9BandırmasporBandırmaspor812:510
10Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.712:119
11Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük710:119
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor711:139
13PendiksporPendikspor79:129
14SivassporSivasspor89:118
15Bodrum FKBodrum FK76:57
16ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor86:96
17Vanspor FKVanspor FK78:146
18Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor74:85
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor76:192
20BolusporBoluspor83:201
PromotionRelegation

Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this 1. Lig fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About 1. Lig

ScorePredicts covers Turkey football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Bursaspor and Esenler Erokspor have met 4 times recently, averaging 3.9 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.