Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town Prediction

Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+5.3%
Burton Albion Rest
6 days
Mansfield Town Rest
6 days

Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town: result, form and history

Burton Albion and Mansfield Town drew 2-2 in the League One on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Mansfield Town tend to win more corners, 6.7 a game to 4.6 for Burton Albion.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.38
X
29%3.35
2
36%2.84
Double Chance
1X
63%1.39
X2
65%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.67
No
44%2.09
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.19 = 2.48
Over 1.5
71%1.27
Over 2.5
46%1.86
Over 3.5
26%3.05
Under 1.5
29%3.40
Under 2.5
54%1.90
Under 3.5
74%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.7 = 10
Over 8.5
63%1.51
Over 9.5
54%1.87
Over 10.5
41%2.40
Under 8.5
37%2.36
Under 9.5
46%1.83
Under 10.5
59%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%-
Over 4.5
40%-
Under 3.5
41%-
Under 4.5
60%-

Match Events

16'Adedeji OshilajaOG
21'Elliott HewittFoul
23'Ryan SweeneyFoul
28'Jack ArmerAssist: Caylon Vickers
39'Will CollarFoul
40'Michael SmithAssist: Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh
45'Elliott Hewitt INKyle Knoyle out
49'Louis ReedFoul
53'Liam Thompson INRhys Oates out
59'Michael SmithFoul
62'Michael Smith INLuke Bolton out
62'Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh INLucas Akins out
62'Will Collar INSulyman Krubally out
63'Caylon Vickers INMatthew Dennis out
63'H. Araujo INKain Adom out
70'Lucas Akins
75'Stephen McLaughlin INFrazer Blake-Tracy out
82'Raphael Borges Rodrigues INEmeka Adeile out
90+3'Frazer Blake-TracyFoul

Lineups

Burton Albion
3-4-2-1Coach: G. Bowyer
Mansfield Town
3-1-4-2Coach: N. Clough
Avg rating6.27
Avg rating6.40
C. Addai6.134C. Addai
T. Sibbick6.06T. Sibbick
C. Tilt6.216C. Tilt
Harvey Araujo6.324H. Araujo
K. Lofthouse6.115K. Lofthouse
K. Chauke6.64K. Chauke
W. Collar6.314W. Collar
J. Armer6.83J. Armer
R. Borges Rodrigues6.217R. Borges Rodrigues
C. Webster6.18C. Webster
1818C. Vickers
L. Roberts6.11L. Roberts
E. Hewitt5.74E. Hewitt
A. Oshilaja5.823A. Oshilaja
R. Sweeney6.05R. Sweeney
L. Reed6.325L. Reed
N. Moriah-Welsh6.622N. Moriah-Welsh
L. Thompson6.016L. Thompson
R. Hendry6.524R. Hendry
S. McLaughlin6.73S. McLaughlin
M. Smith7.614M. Smith
D. McGoldrick6.217D. McGoldrick

Burton Albion Substitutes

19M. Dennis63'replaced by Caylon Vickers6.7
27K. Dudek
40Zac Scutt
20J. Sraha
41Sulyman Krubally62'for Will Collar5.7
23Emeka Adeile82'for Raphael Borges Rodrigues5.6
29Kain Adom63'replaced by H. Araujo

Mansfield Town Substitutes

18R. Oates53'for Liam Thompson6.6
2K. Knoyle45'for Elliott Hewitt6.1
9J. Bowery
8L. Bolton62'for Michael Smith6.3
20F. Blake-Tracy75'for Stephen McLaughlin90+3'5.7
7L. Akins62'for Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh70'8.2
21H. Lewis

Match Stats

Burton AlbionMansfield Town
51%Ball Possession49%
4Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards5
10Total Shots12
3Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal5
4Shots Inside Box9
6Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots2
12Fouls14
1Offsides5
3Goalkeeper Saves2
370Total Passes352
268Passes Accurate271
14Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Burton AlbionBurton Albion
Mansfield TownMansfield Town
1548Elo Rating 1571
0.60Attack 1.71
1.92Defense 1.96
0%Hit Rate 46%
13.0Shots per Game 16.4
3.6Shots on Target 4.5
4.6Corners per Game 6.7
2.0Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Burton AlbionBurton Albion
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Mansfield TownMansfield Town
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Burton AlbionBurton Albion1Wins · 25%
Draws375%
Mansfield TownMansfield Town0Wins · 0%
2.8Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

League One06/04/2026
Mansfield TownBurton Albion
00
League One02/08/2025
Burton AlbionMansfield Town
21
League One01/03/2025
Burton AlbionMansfield Town
11
League One17/08/2024
Mansfield TownBurton Albion
33

Recent Form

Burton AlbionBurton Albion
3W3D4L
12/09/2026
Oxford UnitedBurton Albion
30
L
05/09/2026
Burton AlbionCambridge United
22
D
02/09/2026
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
41
W
29/08/2026
Notts CountyBurton Albion
21
L
22/08/2026
LeicesterBurton Albion
12
W
15/08/2026
Burton AlbionStevenage
11
D
08/08/2026
Burton AlbionBlackburn
12
L
01/08/2026
Burton AlbionDerby
10
W
28/07/2026
Solihull MoorsBurton Albion
11
D
22/07/2026
Burton AlbionBirmingham
01
L
Mansfield TownMansfield Town
3W1D6L
12/09/2026
Mansfield TownHuddersfield
00
D
05/09/2026
BradfordMansfield Town
10
L
02/09/2026
ReadingMansfield Town
50
L
30/08/2026
Mansfield TownLuton
52
W
22/08/2026
PeterboroughMansfield Town
21
L
19/08/2026
Mansfield TownManchester City U21
14
L
15/08/2026
Mansfield TownDoncaster
21
W
09/08/2026
Mansfield TownSheffield Utd
03
L
31/07/2026
Mansfield TownDerby
13
L
28/07/2026
Alfreton TownMansfield Town
04
W

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Stockport CountyStockport County1171323:11+1222WWWWD
2HuddersfieldHuddersfield1164122:10+1222WWDWL
3BradfordBradford1163210:5+521DWDDW
4Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1155118:14+420DWWDD
5PlymouthPlymouth1261518:17+119LLWWL
6ReadingReading1153323:12+1118WLWDD
7Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1053220:10+1018LWDDD
8Oxford UnitedOxford United953118:10+818WDWDW
9StevenageStevenage1043315:10+515WLWLW
10LeicesterLeicester1043316:15+115WWLDW
11Mansfield TownMansfield Town1043316:15+115WDWDD
12Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1142515:12+314LWDLW
13LutonLuton1042419:18+114WLWLL
14Burton AlbionBurton Albion1235416:18-214DDLLW
15WycombeWycombe1135318:22-414DWLDW
16AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon113357:18-1112LLLDD
17BlackpoolBlackpool1032515:16-111WLLLD
18Notts CountyNotts County1024410:13-310WLLLL
19DoncasterDoncaster1023510:13-39LLWWL
20Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1016311:18-79LWLDD
21PeterboroughPeterborough1123610:20-109LDWLL
22BarnsleyBarnsley1022610:19-98LLLDL
23BromleyBromley102269:25-168LLLWD
24WiganWigan102177:15-87LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Stockport CountyStockport County1123:1122
2HuddersfieldHuddersfield1122:1022
3BradfordBradford1110:521
4Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1118:1420
5PlymouthPlymouth1218:1719
6ReadingReading1123:1218
7Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1020:1018
8Oxford UnitedOxford United918:1018
9StevenageStevenage1015:1015
10LeicesterLeicester1016:1515
11Mansfield TownMansfield Town1016:1515
12Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1115:1214
13LutonLuton1019:1814
14Burton AlbionBurton Albion1216:1814
15WycombeWycombe1118:2214
16AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon117:1812
17BlackpoolBlackpool1015:1611
18Notts CountyNotts County1010:1310
19DoncasterDoncaster1010:139
20Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1011:189
21PeterboroughPeterborough1110:209
22BarnsleyBarnsley1010:198
23BromleyBromley109:258
24WiganWigan107:157
PromotionRelegation

About the Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Burton Albion and Mansfield Town in the League One table

In the League One table, Mansfield Town are 11th and Burton Albion 14th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Burton Albion 16-18, Mansfield Town 16-15. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.