Leicester vs Burton Albion Prediction

Leicester
1-2
Finished
HT 1-2
Burton Albion
King Power Stadium, Leicester·B. Toner 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.44
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+5.8%
Leicester Rest
7 days
Burton Albion Rest
7 days

Leicester vs Burton Albion: the result in context

Burton Albion beat Leicester 2-1 in the League One on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.53
X
27%4.22
2
21%5.45
Double Chance
1X
79%1.13
X2
48%2.39
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.75
No
49%1.98
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 0.97 = 2.54
Over 1.5
70%1.20
Over 2.5
49%1.67
Over 3.5
30%2.60
Under 1.5
30%4.20
Under 2.5
51%2.15
Under 3.5
70%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.5 + 4.2 = 11.7
Over 8.5
95%1.45
Over 9.5
95%1.80
Over 10.5
50%2.27
Under 8.5
5%2.46
Under 9.5
5%1.91
Under 10.5
50%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.5
57%-
Over 4.5
45%-
Under 3.5
43%-
Under 4.5
55%-

Match Events

5'M. DennisAssist: K. Lofthouse
17'C. TiltFoul
25'K. Chauke
29'O. SkippSerious foul
34'L. Cullen INH. Choudhury out
42'W. Burns
54'W. Burns INH. Howell out
55'A. Bristric INB. De Cordova-Reid out
55'W. Alves INT. Watson out
63'S. KruballyFoul
64'S. Krubally INW. Collar out
70'M. Dennis INE. Adiele out
74'K. LofthouseFoul
77'L. Thomas INL. Page out
81'G. BowyerUnsportsmanlike conduct
83'B. De Cordova-ReidUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Leicester
4-1-4-1Coach: Russell Martin
Burton Albion
3-4-2-1Coach: Gary Bowyer
Avg rating6.54
Avg rating6.89
Alex McCarthy6.929A. McCarthy
Olabade Aluko6.232O. Aluko
Caleb Okoli6.65C. Okoli
Harry SouttarC7.215H. Souttar
Luke Thomas6.333L. Thomas
Oliver Skipp5.022O. Skipp
Wes Burns7.57W. Burns
Sammy Braybrooke6.736S. Braybrooke
Liam Cullen6.011L. Cullen
William Alves6.337W. Alves
Admir Bristrić6.59A. Bristrić
Corey Addai7.034C. Addai
Toby Sibbick7.26T. Sibbick
Finn Delap7.526F. Delap
Curtis TiltC6.616C. Tilt
Kyran Lofthouse6.315K. Lofthouse
George Evans6.712G. Evans
Sulyman Krubally6.241S. Krubally
Jack Armer6.93J. Armer
Kgagelo Chauke8.24K. Chauke
Charlie Webster6.38C. Webster
Matthew Dennis7.619M. Dennis

Leicester Substitutes

17Hamza Choudhury34'for L. Cullen6.9
20Harry Howell54'for W. Burns7.2
23Tom Watson55'for W. Alves6.2
14Bobby De Cordova-Reid55'for A. Bristric83'6.3
25Louis Page77'for L. Thomas6.9
1Jakub Stolarczyk
18Christian McFarlane

Burton Albion Substitutes

14Will Collar64'for S. Krubally6.2
23Emeka Adeile70'for M. Dennis6.9
27Kamil Dudek
24Harvey Araujo
20Jason Sraha
40Zac Scutt
28Millar Matthews-Lewis

Match Stats

LeicesterBurton Albion
74%Ball Possession26%
5Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
13Total Shots13
3Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal4
5Shots Inside Box7
8Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots3
13Fouls19
0Offsides4
4Goalkeeper Saves2
588Total Passes215
502Passes Accurate146
85%Pass Accuracy68%

Team Comparison

LeicesterLeicester
Burton AlbionBurton Albion
1613Elo Rating 1557
2.29Attack 0.93
1.95Defense 2.18
63%Hit Rate 27%
14.3Shots per Game 15.4
6.0Shots on Target 4.7
6.6Corners per Game 6.3
2.1Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

LeicesterLeicester
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Burton AlbionBurton Albion
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

LeicesterLeicester2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Burton AlbionBurton Albion0Wins · 0%
2.5Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs18/07/2026
Burton AlbionLeicester
03
League Cup09/08/2023
Burton AlbionLeicester
02

Recent Form

LeicesterLeicester
6W3D1L
15/08/2026
Notts CountyLeicester
11
D
08/08/2026
LeicesterNorthampton
10
W
01/08/2026
LeicesterGenoa
01
L
25/07/2026
MalagaLeicester
33
D
22/07/2026
CadizLeicester
01
W
18/07/2026
Burton AlbionLeicester
03
W
14/07/2026
Bristol RoversLeicester
12
W
11/07/2026
LeicesterNorthampton
30
W
02/05/2026
BlackburnLeicester
01
W
24/04/2026
LeicesterMillwall
11
D
Burton AlbionBurton Albion
1W6D3L
15/08/2026
Burton AlbionStevenage
11
D
08/08/2026
Burton AlbionBlackburn
12
L
01/08/2026
Burton AlbionDerby
10
W
28/07/2026
Solihull MoorsBurton Albion
11
D
22/07/2026
Burton AlbionBirmingham
01
L
18/07/2026
Burton AlbionLeicester
03
L
11/07/2026
Alfreton TownBurton Albion
00
D
02/05/2026
Leyton OrientBurton Albion
22
D
25/04/2026
Burton AlbionExeter City
11
D
19/04/2026
PeterboroughBurton Albion
11
D

Referee Profile

B. Toner194 matches

3.99Cards per match
3.86Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

B. Toner3.99
Other referees3.78

3.99 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.78).

Cards come from 187 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1384127:11+1628WWWWD
2Stockport CountyStockport County1482426:14+1226WLDWW
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1265120:11+923DWDWD
4LutonLuton1372426:20+623WWWWL
5PlymouthPlymouth1472521:19+223DWLLW
6ReadingReading1364325:13+1222DWWLW
7BradfordBradford1364310:8+222LDDWD
8Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1456321:21021LDLDW
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1355322:14+820DDLLW
10LeicesterLeicester1354422:19+319DWLWW
11Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1346322:20+218WWWLW
12Mansfield TownMansfield Town1253420:18+218LWWDW
13WycombeWycombe1346321:23-218WDDWL
14Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1352619:14+517WLLWD
15Burton AlbionBurton Albion1445518:21-317LWDDL
16StevenageStevenage1244417:13+416DLWLW
17Notts CountyNotts County1235413:14-114WDWLL
18AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon133469:21-1213LDLLL
19BlackpoolBlackpool1233617:21-412DLWLL
20DoncasterDoncaster1333714:22-812LLWLL
21WiganWigan1331911:22-1110WLLLW
22PeterboroughPeterborough1324711:23-1210LDLDW
23BarnsleyBarnsley1223712:22-109DLLLL
24BromleyBromley1323813:33-209LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1327:1128
2Stockport CountyStockport County1426:1426
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1220:1123
4LutonLuton1326:2023
5PlymouthPlymouth1421:1923
6ReadingReading1325:1322
7BradfordBradford1310:822
8Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1421:2121
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1322:1420
10LeicesterLeicester1322:1919
11Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1322:2018
12Mansfield TownMansfield Town1220:1818
13WycombeWycombe1321:2318
14Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1319:1417
15Burton AlbionBurton Albion1418:2117
16StevenageStevenage1217:1316
17Notts CountyNotts County1213:1414
18AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon139:2113
19BlackpoolBlackpool1217:2112
20DoncasterDoncaster1314:2212
21WiganWigan1311:2210
22PeterboroughPeterborough1311:2310
23BarnsleyBarnsley1212:229
24BromleyBromley1313:339
PromotionRelegation

About the Leicester vs Burton Albion forecast

The forecasts for this League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Leicester and Burton Albion in the League One table

In the League One table, Leicester are 10th and Burton Albion 15th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Leicester 22-19, Burton Albion 18-21. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Leicester have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Leicester and Burton Albion have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.