CA River Plate vs La Luz Prediction

CA River Plate
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
La Luz
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi, Montevideo 28/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+4.0%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalHIGHModel35%SurpriseHighGap+11.3%
CA River Plate Rest
8 days
La Luz Rest
6 days

CA River Plate vs La Luz: the result in context

CA River Plate and La Luz drew 0-0 in the Segunda División on 28 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%2.75
X
23%3.00
2
26%2.50
Double Chance
1X
73%1.44
X2
49%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.91
No
49%1.76
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.78 + 1.32 = 3.10
Over 1.5
83%1.40
Over 2.5
61%2.27
Over 3.5
40%4.24
Under 1.5
17%2.62
Under 2.5
39%1.55
Under 3.5
60%1.18
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Team Comparison

CA River PlateCA River Plate
La LuzLa Luz
1475Elo Rating 1479
1.28Attack 2.01
1.41Defense 2.33
17%Hit Rate 81%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.1 goals

Game State Tendencies

CA River PlateCA River Plate
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
La LuzLa Luz
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

CA River PlateCA River Plate0Wins · 0%
Draws2100%
La LuzLa Luz0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Primera División - Apertura16/07/2023
CA River PlateLa Luz
00
Primera División - Apertura22/04/2023
La LuzCA River Plate
22

Recent Form

CA River PlateCA River Plate
4W1D5L
20/06/2026
ColónCA River Plate
21
L
14/06/2026
CA River PlateCerrito
64
W
06/06/2026
FenixCA River Plate
31
L
31/05/2026
CA River PlateAtenas
02
L
23/05/2026
RentistasCA River Plate
12
W
16/05/2026
CA River PlatePaysandu
10
W
10/05/2026
MiramarCA River Plate
11
D
26/04/2026
CA River PlatePaysandu
21
W
12/04/2026
ColónCA River Plate
42
L
07/04/2026
MiramarCA River Plate
10
L
La LuzLa Luz
3W4D3L
21/06/2026
La LuzCerrito
20
W
14/06/2026
AtenasLa Luz
40
L
06/06/2026
La LuzPaysandu
12
L
31/05/2026
Sportivo HuracanLa Luz
11
D
24/05/2026
La LuzUruguay Montevideo
20
W
18/05/2026
OrientalLa Luz
00
D
09/05/2026
La LuzColón
00
D
19/04/2026
CerritoLa Luz
00
D
11/04/2026
La LuzUruguay Montevideo
02
L
04/04/2026
La LuzAtenas
21
W

League Table

Segunda División 2026

1st Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrientalOriental64118:5+313WLWWW
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia63309:2+712WWLDW
3FenixFenix632113:7+611DWLDW
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan62409:6+310DLWWD
5ColónColón62318:5+39DLWWD
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo62317:5+29LDLDL
7RentistasRentistas62316:5+19LWWDD
8CerritoCerrito62318:809DDLLW
9La LuzLa Luz61415:6-17LWLDL
10MiramarMiramar61233:7-45WLDDL
11PaysanduPaysandu61144:7-34DLWWD
12AtenasAtenas61145:11-64WDWLD
13CA River PlateCA River Plate61146:13-74DLLDD
14TacuaremboTacuarembo60335:9-43DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1OrientalOriental68:513
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia69:212
3FenixFenix613:711
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan69:610
5ColónColón68:59
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo67:59
7RentistasRentistas66:59
8CerritoCerrito68:89
9La LuzLa Luz65:67
10MiramarMiramar63:75
11PaysanduPaysandu64:74
12AtenasAtenas65:114
13CA River PlateCA River Plate66:134
14TacuaremboTacuarembo65:93

2nd Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AtenasAtenas25135735:23+1244WDWLD
2RentistasRentistas25117734:27+740LWWDD
3ColónColón25116829:27+239DLWWD
4Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia24107730:24+637WWLDW
5PaysanduPaysandu251051033:32+135DLWWD
6CA River PlateCA River Plate2597937:32+534DLLDD
7OrientalOriental25810734:30+434WLWWW
8CerritoCerrito25810732:29+334DDLLW
9La LuzLa Luz2597924:27-334LWLDL
10FenixFenix25710828:30-231DWLDW
11Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan25871025:33-831DLWWD
12MiramarMiramar2478925:30-529WLDDL
13TacuaremboTacuarembo25681119:28-926DDLLL
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo25571323:36-1322LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1AtenasAtenas2535:2344
2RentistasRentistas2534:2740
3ColónColón2529:2739
4Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia2430:2437
5PaysanduPaysandu2533:3235
6CA River PlateCA River Plate2537:3234
7OrientalOriental2534:3034
8CerritoCerrito2532:2934
9La LuzLa Luz2524:2734
10FenixFenix2528:3031
11Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan2525:3331
12MiramarMiramar2425:3029
13TacuaremboTacuarembo2519:2826
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo2523:3622

About the CA River Plate vs La Luz forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

CA River Plate and La Luz in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, La Luz are 9th and CA River Plate 13th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: CA River Plate 6-13, La Luz 5-6. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

CA River Plate and La Luz have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.