Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido Prediction

Caerau (Ely)
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Afan Lido
02/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.38
SignalSOLIDModel70%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
Caerau (Ely) Rest
6 days
Afan Lido Rest
7 days

Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido: result, form and history

Caerau (Ely) beat Afan Lido 2-0 in the FAW Championship on 2 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Caerau (Ely) had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Afan Lido.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 9 previous meetings averaged 4.0 goals, and both sides scored in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.38
X
18%4.60
2
15%5.75
Double Chance
1X
85%1.09
X2
33%2.67
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

48'L. Harling
67'Z. Maher

Team Comparison

Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)
Afan LidoAfan Lido
1539Elo Rating 1385
1.89Attack 2.43
2.54Defense 0.80
77%Hit Rate 46%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+154 Elo
📈BTTS Trend78% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Afan LidoAfan Lido
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 0.8 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)4Wins · 45%
Draws111%
Afan LidoAfan Lido4Wins · 44%
4.0Avg Goals
78%Both teams scored7 of 9
89%3+ goals8 of 9

Previous meetings

FAW Championship07/03/2026
Caerau (Ely)Afan Lido
41
FAW Championship31/10/2025
Afan LidoCaerau (Ely)
32
FAW Championship22/11/2024
Caerau (Ely)Afan Lido
30
FAW Championship07/09/2024
Afan LidoCaerau (Ely)
22
FAW Championship01/04/2024
Caerau (Ely)Afan Lido
32
Welsh Cup17/10/2023
Caerau (Ely)Afan Lido
41
FAW Championship08/08/2023
Afan LidoCaerau (Ely)
31
FAW Championship14/12/2019
Afan LidoCaerau (Ely)
21
FAW Championship24/08/2019
Caerau (Ely)Afan Lido
02

Recent Form

Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)
4W2D4L
26/09/2026
Cardiff DraconiansCaerau (Ely)
13
W
11/09/2026
Caerau (Ely)llanelli AFC
30
W
31/08/2026
Caerau (Ely)Treowen Stars
32
W
28/08/2026
Baglan DragonsCaerau (Ely)
31
L
21/08/2026
Caerau (Ely)Swansea University
15
L
14/08/2026
Trethomas BluebirdsCaerau (Ely)
24
W
07/08/2026
Caerau (Ely)Ynyshir Albions
11
D
01/08/2026
Carmarthen TownCaerau (Ely)
43
L
25/07/2026
Caerau (Ely)Barnstaple Town
44
D
21/07/2026
Haverfordwest County AFCCaerau (Ely)
21
L
Afan LidoAfan Lido
3W2D5L
25/09/2026
Afan LidoNewport City
00
D
11/09/2026
Pontypridd TownAfan Lido
01
W
04/09/2026
Baglan DragonsAfan Lido
21
L
31/08/2026
Afan LidoYnyshir Albions
00
D
28/08/2026
Trethomas BluebirdsAfan Lido
52
L
21/08/2026
Afan LidoPontardawe Town
10
W
14/08/2026
Carmarthen TownAfan Lido
31
L
07/08/2026
Afan LidoLlantwit Major
50
W
01/08/2026
Afan LidoAberystwyth Town
25
L
18/04/2026
Cardiff DraconiansAfan Lido
41
L

League Table

FAW Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town1383235:22+1327WWDDW
2Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town1181228:10+1825WWLWD
3Swansea UniversitySwansea University1173134:15+1924WLDWD
4Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)1371524:23+122LWLWW
5Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons1362514:14020WLDWL
6Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions1154220:13+719LWWWD
7Afan LidoAfan Lido1453624:26-218WLWDL
8Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds1345426:23+317DLWWL
9Treowen StarsTreowen Stars1252522:23-117DWLLL
10Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town1343624:30-615LLLDL
11Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town1142520:21-114DWDWW
12Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic1342717:24-714LLWWL
13Newport CityNewport City1134421:17+413DWDLD
14Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians1133514:19-512LWLDD
15Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major1233614:26-1212DLWDL
16llanelli AFCllanelli AFC14031112:43-313DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town1335:2227
2Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town1128:1025
3Swansea UniversitySwansea University1134:1524
4Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)1324:2322
5Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons1314:1420
6Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions1120:1319
7Afan LidoAfan Lido1424:2618
8Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds1326:2317
9Treowen StarsTreowen Stars1222:2317
10Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town1324:3015
11Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town1120:2114
12Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic1317:2414
13Newport CityNewport City1121:1713
14Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians1114:1912
15Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major1214:2612
16llanelli AFCllanelli AFC1412:433

About the Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Caerau (Ely) and Afan Lido in the FAW Championship table

In the FAW Championship table, Caerau (Ely) are 4th and Afan Lido 7th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Caerau (Ely) 24-23, Afan Lido 24-26. The full standings are on the FAW Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Afan Lido have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.