llanelli AFC vs Baglan Dragons Prediction
Wales · South - 10
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
llanelli AFC vs Baglan Dragons: the result in context
Baglan Dragons beat llanelli AFC 2-1 in the FAW Championship on 2 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Baglan Dragons had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for llanelli AFC.
llanelli AFC have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match
Goal forecasts not available for this match
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
llanelli AFC
Baglan DragonsAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
llanelli AFC- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
Baglan Dragons- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
llanelli AFC3Wins · 75%0Wins · 0%Previous meetings
30/12/2024llanelli AFCBaglan Dragons23/08/2024Baglan Dragonsllanelli AFC02/03/2024Baglan Dragonsllanelli AFC08/09/2023llanelli AFCBaglan DragonsRecent Form
llanelli AFC
Llantwit Majorllanelli AFC
Caerau (Ely)llanelli AFCllanelli AFC
Treowen Stars
Aberystwyth Townllanelli AFCllanelli AFC
Carmarthen Town
Cardiff Draconiansllanelli AFC
Swansea Universityllanelli AFCllanelli AFC
Trethomas Bluebirdsllanelli AFC
Newport City
Haverfordwest County AFCllanelli AFCBaglan DragonsBaglan DragonsCarmarthen TownCardiff DraconiansBaglan DragonsBaglan Dragons
Afan LidoBaglan Dragons
Caerphilly AthleticBaglan DragonsCaerau (Ely)Newport CityBaglan DragonsLlantwit MajorBaglan DragonsBaglan DragonsSwansea UniversityTrethomas BluebirdsBaglan DragonsBaglan DragonsTrethomas BluebirdsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pontypridd Town | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35:22 | +13 | 27 | WWDDW |
| 2 | Aberystwyth Town | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | +18 | 25 | WWLWD |
| 3 | Swansea University | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 34:15 | +19 | 24 | WLDWD |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24:23 | +1 | 22 | LWLWW |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 20 | WLDWL |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:13 | +7 | 19 | LWWWD |
| 7 | Afan Lido | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 24:26 | -2 | 18 | WLWDL |
| 8 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 26:23 | +3 | 17 | DLWWL |
| 9 | Treowen Stars | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22:23 | -1 | 17 | DWLLL |
| 10 | Carmarthen Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 24:30 | -6 | 15 | LLLDL |
| 11 |  Pontardawe Town | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 20:21 | -1 | 14 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Caerphilly Athletic | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 | LLWWL |
| 13 | Newport City | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 21:17 | +4 | 13 | DWDLD |
| 14 | Cardiff Draconians | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | 12 | LWLDD |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:26 | -12 | 12 | DLWDL |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12:43 | -31 | 3 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pontypridd Town | 13 | 35:22 | 27 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth Town | 11 | 28:10 | 25 |
| 3 | Swansea University | 11 | 34:15 | 24 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 13 | 24:23 | 22 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 13 | 14:14 | 20 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 11 | 20:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Afan Lido | 14 | 24:26 | 18 |
| 8 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 13 | 26:23 | 17 |
| 9 | Treowen Stars | 12 | 22:23 | 17 |
| 10 | Carmarthen Town | 13 | 24:30 | 15 |
| 11 | Pontardawe Town | 11 | 20:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Caerphilly Athletic | 13 | 17:24 | 14 |
| 13 | Newport City | 11 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 14 | Cardiff Draconians | 11 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 12 | 14:26 | 12 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 14 | 12:43 | 3 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More FAW Championship matches
- Gresford Athletic vs Mold Alexandra 06/09/26
- Pontypridd Town vs Afan Lido 11/09/26
- Cardiff Draconians vs Caerau (Ely) 26/09/26
- Llantwit Major vs llanelli AFC 26/09/26
- Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido 02/10/26
- Buckley Town vs Ruthin Town 03/10/26
- Guilsfield vs Llanuwchllyn 03/10/26
- Rhyl vs Brickfield Rangers 03/10/26
About the llanelli AFC vs Baglan Dragons forecast
The forecasts for this FAW Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
llanelli AFC and Baglan Dragons in the FAW Championship table
In the FAW Championship table, Baglan Dragons are 5th and llanelli AFC 16th, 17 points apart. League goal record so far: llanelli AFC 12-43, Baglan Dragons 14-14. The full standings are on the FAW Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.