Caerau (Ely) vs Pontypridd Town Prediction

06/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.26
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-6.5%
Caerau (Ely) Rest
7 days
Pontypridd Town Rest
7 days

Caerau (Ely) vs Pontypridd Town: result, form and history

Pontypridd Town beat Caerau (Ely) 3-1 in the FAW Championship on 6 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Caerau (Ely) had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Pontypridd Town.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.83
X
22%3.84
2
29%3.36
Double Chance
1X
71%1.26
X2
51%1.78
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Team Comparison

Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)
Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town
1539Elo Rating 1477
1.89Attack 2.99
2.54Defense 1.30
77%Hit Rate 44%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)1Wins · 17%
Draws233%
Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town3Wins · 50%
2.7Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

FAW Championship18/04/2026
Pontypridd TownCaerau (Ely)
00
FAW Championship25/08/2025
Caerau (Ely)Pontypridd Town
20
FAW Championship04/02/2025
Caerau (Ely)Pontypridd Town
01
FAW Championship23/08/2024
Pontypridd TownCaerau (Ely)
10
FAW Championship25/01/2020
Pontypridd TownCaerau (Ely)
44
Welsh Cup19/10/2019
Pontypridd TownCaerau (Ely)
31

Recent Form

Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)
7W0D3L
30/10/2026
Caerphilly AthleticCaerau (Ely)
01
W
23/10/2026
Caerau (Ely)Llantwit Major
02
L
16/10/2026
Caerau (Ely)llanelli AFC
60
W
10/10/2026
Aberystwyth TownCaerau (Ely)
01
W
02/10/2026
Caerau (Ely)Afan Lido
20
W
26/09/2026
Cardiff DraconiansCaerau (Ely)
13
W
11/09/2026
Caerau (Ely)llanelli AFC
30
W
31/08/2026
Caerau (Ely)Treowen Stars
32
W
28/08/2026
Baglan DragonsCaerau (Ely)
31
L
21/08/2026
Caerau (Ely)Swansea University
15
L
Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town
5W3D2L
30/10/2026
Pontypridd Townllanelli AFC
40
W
23/10/2026
Newport CityPontypridd Town
44
D
10/10/2026
Baglan DragonsPontypridd Town
11
D
06/10/2026
Pontypridd TownLlantwit Major
41
W
03/10/2026
Pontypridd TownAberystwyth Town
13
L
25/09/2026
Caerphilly AthleticPontypridd Town
12
W
11/09/2026
Pontypridd TownAfan Lido
01
L
28/08/2026
Swansea UniversityPontypridd Town
44
D
21/08/2026
Pontypridd TownTrethomas Bluebirds
21
W
15/08/2026
Cardiff DraconiansPontypridd Town
14
W

League Table

FAW Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town1383235:22+1327WWDDW
2Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town1181228:10+1825WWLWD
3Swansea UniversitySwansea University1173134:15+1924WLDWD
4Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)1371524:23+122LWLWW
5Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons1362514:14020WLDWL
6Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions1154220:13+719LWWWD
7Afan LidoAfan Lido1453624:26-218WLWDL
8Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds1345426:23+317DLWWL
9Treowen StarsTreowen Stars1252522:23-117DWLLL
10Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town1343624:30-615LLLDL
11Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town1142520:21-114DWDWW
12Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic1342717:24-714LLWWL
13Newport CityNewport City1134421:17+413DWDLD
14Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians1133514:19-512LWLDD
15Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major1233614:26-1212DLWDL
16llanelli AFCllanelli AFC14031112:43-313DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town1335:2227
2Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town1128:1025
3Swansea UniversitySwansea University1134:1524
4Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)1324:2322
5Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons1314:1420
6Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions1120:1319
7Afan LidoAfan Lido1424:2618
8Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds1326:2317
9Treowen StarsTreowen Stars1222:2317
10Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town1324:3015
11Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town1120:2114
12Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic1317:2414
13Newport CityNewport City1121:1713
14Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians1114:1912
15Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major1214:2612
16llanelli AFCllanelli AFC1412:433

About the Caerau (Ely) vs Pontypridd Town forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Caerau (Ely) and Pontypridd Town in the FAW Championship table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Pontypridd Town are 1st in the FAW Championship, 5 points ahead of Caerau (Ely) in 4th. League goal record so far: Caerau (Ely) 24-23, Pontypridd Town 35-22. The full standings are on the FAW Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Pontypridd Town have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.