Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry Prediction

The Oval, Caernarfon·I. A. Griffith 23/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.33
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-4.6%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.33
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Caernarfon Town Rest
6 days
Briton Ferry Rest
7 days

Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry: result, form and history

Caernarfon Town beat Briton Ferry 3-1 in the Premier League on 23 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Caernarfon Town have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 4.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
70%1.33
X
18%4.80
2
12%6.50
Double Chance
1X
88%1.06
X2
31%2.81
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

27'S. Bradley
31'H. Charsley
66'J. Piggott IND. Smith out
66'M. Bates
71'H. Charsley
75'M. Bates INM. Nicholls out
75'C. Hurford INL. Herdman out
75'O. Anderson INL. Bowen out
76'O. Evans INO. Zanzala out
78'D. Packer INJ. Jones out
84'S. Bradley INS. Nyamwanza out
90+5'L. Bowen

Team Comparison

Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town
Briton FerryBriton Ferry
1649Elo Rating 1484
2.17Attack 1.92
1.86Defense 1.66
69%Hit Rate 39%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+165 Elo
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Briton FerryBriton Ferry
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.8 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town4Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Briton FerryBriton Ferry0Wins · 0%
4.5Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

Premier League01/11/2025
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
41
Premier League13/09/2025
Briton FerryCaernarfon Town
25
Premier League09/11/2024
Briton FerryCaernarfon Town
01
Premier League14/09/2024
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
32

Recent Form

Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town
6W2D2L
17/10/2026
Flint Town UnitedCaernarfon Town
13
W
09/10/2026
Haverfordwest County AFCCaernarfon Town
12
W
03/10/2026
Caernarfon TownBarry Town
01
L
26/09/2026
Cardiff METCaernarfon Town
22
D
18/09/2026
Caernarfon TownCambrian & Clydach
91
W
15/09/2026
LlandudnoCaernarfon Town
11
D
11/09/2026
Ammanford AFCCaernarfon Town
05
W
04/09/2026
Caernarfon TownFlint Town United
30
W
31/08/2026
Caernarfon TownThe New Saints
23
L
28/08/2026
HolywellCaernarfon Town
35
W
Briton FerryBriton Ferry
2W2D6L
16/10/2026
Briton FerryAfan United
50
W
09/10/2026
Briton FerryGAP Connah S Quay FC
12
L
03/10/2026
Briton FerryColwyn Bay
10
W
26/09/2026
HolywellBriton Ferry
11
D
18/09/2026
Briton FerryTrefelin
11
D
15/09/2026
PenybontBriton Ferry
32
L
11/09/2026
Haverfordwest County AFCBriton Ferry
31
L
04/09/2026
Briton FerryAirbus UK
02
L
31/08/2026
Briton FerryBarry Town
14
L
28/08/2026
Cardiff METBriton Ferry
30
L

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1The New SaintsThe New Saints14131053:6+4740WWWWW
2GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC14111232:9+2334WWWWW
3PenybontPenybont1393125:11+1430WLWWW
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town1492340:16+2429WWLDW
5Colwyn BayColwyn Bay1482424:17+726DWLWW
6Barry TownBarry Town1481529:26+325LLWLL
7Airbus UKAirbus UK1480628:20+824WWWLW
8Cardiff METCardiff MET1464426:18+822DLWWD
9Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach1453623:36-1318LLLWL
10LlandudnoLlandudno1451822:25-316LLLLL
11Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC1441911:20-913WLLLL
12Briton FerryBriton Ferry1433813:25-1212LLWDD
13Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United1432914:25-1111WLWWL
14Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC1423910:41-319LWWLL
15TrefelinTrefelin1413108:33-256LWLLD
16HolywellHolywell13021114:44-302LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1The New SaintsThe New Saints1453:640
2GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC1432:934
3PenybontPenybont1325:1130
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town1440:1629
5Colwyn BayColwyn Bay1424:1726
6Barry TownBarry Town1429:2625
7Airbus UKAirbus UK1428:2024
8Cardiff METCardiff MET1426:1822
9Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach1423:3618
10LlandudnoLlandudno1422:2516
11Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC1411:2013
12Briton FerryBriton Ferry1413:2512
13Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United1414:2511
14Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC1410:419
15TrefelinTrefelin148:336
16HolywellHolywell1314:442
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Caernarfon Town and Briton Ferry in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Caernarfon Town are 4th and Briton Ferry 12th, 17 points apart. League goal record so far: Caernarfon Town 40-16, Briton Ferry 13-25. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Briton Ferry have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.