Haverfordwest County AFC vs Caernarfon Town Prediction

Bridge Meadow Stadium, Haverfordwest·A. Jones 09/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.12
SignalGOODModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-14.7%
Haverfordwest County AFC Rest
6 days
Caernarfon Town Rest
6 days

Haverfordwest County AFC vs Caernarfon Town: the result in context

Caernarfon Town beat Haverfordwest County AFC 2-1 in the Premier League on 9 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 8 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
23%4.61
X
23%3.78
2
54%1.59
Double Chance
1X
46%2.13
X2
77%1.12
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'Z. Clarke(Penalty)
35'C. Twose
38'J. Owen
52'
54'G. Walters
67'R. Abbruzzese INL. Rees out
67'H. Thomas INB. Ahmun out
71'
80'J. Canavan INP. Mendes out
80'Z. Clarke INS. Bradley out
83'B. Ahmun
85'S. Bradley
86'
88'C. Twose INO. Jones out
90+1'A. Cieslewicz IND. Smith out

Team Comparison

Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC
Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town
1504Elo Rating 1649
1.92Attack 2.17
2.03Defense 1.86
50%Hit Rate 69%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC3Wins · 30%
Draws770%
Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town0Wins · 0%
2.4Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League08/11/2025
Caernarfon TownHaverfordwest County AFC
22
Premier League30/08/2025
Haverfordwest County AFCCaernarfon Town
11
Premier League18/05/2025
Haverfordwest County AFCCaernarfon Town
31
Premier League29/03/2025
Haverfordwest County AFCCaernarfon Town
11
Premier League08/02/2025
Caernarfon TownHaverfordwest County AFC
11
Premier League26/10/2024
Haverfordwest County AFCCaernarfon Town
00
Premier League17/08/2024
Caernarfon TownHaverfordwest County AFC
12
Premier League16/12/2023
Caernarfon TownHaverfordwest County AFC
01
Premier League26/08/2023
Haverfordwest County AFCCaernarfon Town
11
Premier League25/03/2023
Haverfordwest County AFCCaernarfon Town
22

Recent Form

Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC
3W1D6L
03/10/2026
Haverfordwest County AFCFlint Town United
01
L
29/09/2026
Cardiff METHaverfordwest County AFC
10
L
26/09/2026
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County AFC
10
L
18/09/2026
Haverfordwest County AFCHolywell
10
W
11/09/2026
Haverfordwest County AFCBriton Ferry
31
W
04/09/2026
GAP Connah S Quay FCHaverfordwest County AFC
11
D
31/08/2026
Haverfordwest County AFCTrefelin
21
W
28/08/2026
LlandudnoHaverfordwest County AFC
20
L
21/08/2026
Haverfordwest County AFCCambrian & Clydach
03
L
14/08/2026
Haverfordwest County AFCPenybont
03
L
Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town
6W2D2L
03/10/2026
Caernarfon TownBarry Town
01
L
26/09/2026
Cardiff METCaernarfon Town
22
D
18/09/2026
Caernarfon TownCambrian & Clydach
91
W
15/09/2026
LlandudnoCaernarfon Town
11
D
11/09/2026
Ammanford AFCCaernarfon Town
05
W
04/09/2026
Caernarfon TownFlint Town United
30
W
31/08/2026
Caernarfon TownThe New Saints
23
L
28/08/2026
HolywellCaernarfon Town
35
W
21/08/2026
TrefelinCaernarfon Town
02
W
15/08/2026
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
30
W

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1The New SaintsThe New Saints14131053:6+4740WWWWW
2GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC14111232:9+2334WWWWW
3PenybontPenybont1393125:11+1430WLWWW
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town1492340:16+2429WWLDW
5Colwyn BayColwyn Bay1482424:17+726DWLWW
6Barry TownBarry Town1481529:26+325LLWLL
7Airbus UKAirbus UK1480628:20+824WWWLW
8Cardiff METCardiff MET1464426:18+822DLWWD
9Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach1453623:36-1318LLLWL
10LlandudnoLlandudno1451822:25-316LLLLL
11Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC1441911:20-913WLLLL
12Briton FerryBriton Ferry1433813:25-1212LLWDD
13Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United1432914:25-1111WLWWL
14Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC1423910:41-319LWWLL
15TrefelinTrefelin1413108:33-256LWLLD
16HolywellHolywell13021114:44-302LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1The New SaintsThe New Saints1453:640
2GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC1432:934
3PenybontPenybont1325:1130
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town1440:1629
5Colwyn BayColwyn Bay1424:1726
6Barry TownBarry Town1429:2625
7Airbus UKAirbus UK1428:2024
8Cardiff METCardiff MET1426:1822
9Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach1423:3618
10LlandudnoLlandudno1422:2516
11Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC1411:2013
12Briton FerryBriton Ferry1413:2512
13Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United1414:2511
14Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC1410:419
15TrefelinTrefelin148:336
16HolywellHolywell1314:442
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Haverfordwest County AFC vs Caernarfon Town forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Haverfordwest County AFC and Caernarfon Town in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Caernarfon Town are 4th and Haverfordwest County AFC 11th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Haverfordwest County AFC 11-20, Caernarfon Town 40-16. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.