Castellón vs Almeria Prediction
Spain · Semi-finals
Estadio Municipal Castalia, Castellon· Luis Bestard Servera, Spain 06/06/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17SignalNEUTRALModel36%RiskMediumGap-4.8%
Castellón Rest
6 days
Almeria Rest
6 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
146%1.82
X26%3.85
228%4.00
Double Chance
1X72%1.22
X254%1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes63%1.55
No37%2.29
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.71 + 1.29 = 3.00
Over 1.581%1.17
Over 2.558%1.57
Over 3.538%2.45
Under 1.519%4.80
Under 2.542%2.33
Under 3.562%1.52
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.8 = 9.4
Over 8.558%1.52
Over 9.547%1.91
Over 10.535%2.42
Under 8.542%2.33
Under 9.553%1.81
Under 10.565%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 3.4 = 5.8
Over 3.587%-
Over 4.570%1.34
Under 3.513%-
Under 4.530%2.92
Match Events
5'J. MorcilloRoughing
24'S. ArribasElbowing
32'M. de la FuenteFoul
37'BarriTripping
41'A. JakobsenUnsportsmanlike conduct
44'F. Brignani
60'Ronaldo INM. Doue out
62'M. de la Fuente INThalys out
62'J. Morcillo INN. Melamed out
66'S. ArribasAssist: A. Embarba
72'P. Santiago INR. Sanchez out
72'A. Jakobsen INI. Suero out
75'A. Embarba INA. Puigmal out
75'D. Chirino INChumi out
83'S. Arribas INLeo Baptistao out
88'L. Alcazar IND. Aurelio out
88'O. Camara INTincho out
90+2'A. MunozTripping
Lineups
CastellónAlmeria
4-2-3-1Coach: Joan Rubi
13R. MatthysRomain Matthys
15B. GerenabarrenaBeñat Gerenabarrena
3F. BrignaniFabrizio Brignani
5A. JiménezAlberto Jiménez
12L. AlcazarLucas Alcazar
18P. SantiagoPablo Santiago
25RonaldoRonaldo
8D. BarriDiego Barri
19A. JakobsenAdam Jakobsen
21Á. CalatravaÁlex Calatrava
9O. CamaraOusmane Camara
1A. FernándezAndrés Fernández
22D. ChirinoDaijiro Chirino
5R. ElyRodrigo Ely
18F. BoniniFederico Bonini
3Á. MuñozÁlex Muñoz
29S. DžodićStefan Džodić
17D. LopyDion Lopy
23A. EmbarbaAdrián Embarba
11S. ArribasSergio Arribas
7J. MorcilloJon Morcillo
24M. de la FuenteMiguel de la FuenteCastellón Substitutes
6Marc-Olivier DouéM
10Israel SueroM
14Raúl SánchezF
1Amir AbedzadehG
2Tincho CondeD
17Salva RuizD
4Agustín SienraD
55Michał WillmannD
29Tommaso De NipotiF
37Carlos Segura ClausellM
11Douglas AurélioF
23Alvaro GarciaF
Almeria Substitutes
10Nicolás MelamedM
9ThalysF
13Fernando MartínezG
20Álex CentellesD
21ChumiD
4Nélson MonteD
16Marcos LunaD
14Iddrisu BabaM
8GuiM
2Arnau PuigmalM
12Léo BaptistãoF
19Patrick SokoF
Match Stats
CastellónAlmeria 61%Ball Possession39%
8Corner Kicks0
2Yellow Cards4
14Total Shots4
2Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal2
13Shots Inside Box3
1Shots Outside Box1
6Blocked Shots0
15Fouls18
2Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves1
418Total Passes279
337Passes Accurate200
81%Pass Accuracy72%
Team Comparison
CastellónAlmeria1699Elo Rating 1676
1.53Attack 1.65
2.54Defense 2.18
83%Hit Rate 64%
16.0Shots per Game 10.0
5.9Shots on Target 3.2
7.1Corners per Game 3.4
2.2Cards per Game 2.3
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Castellón- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
Almeria- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.5 in second half)
Head to Head
Based on 5 historical meetings
Castellón 63%Draw 0%37% Almeria
3.46Avg Goals
50%BTTS Rate
50%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Castellón2W2D1L
31/05/2026Castellón
Eibar
CastellónEibar21
W24/05/2026
HuescaCastellón
HuescaCastellón01
W15/05/2026Castellón
Cadiz
CastellónCadiz11
D09/05/2026
AD Ceuta FCCastellón
AD Ceuta FCCastellón11
D02/05/2026Castellón
Cordoba
CastellónCordoba12
LAlmeria2W1D2L
31/05/2026Almeria
Valladolid
AlmeriaValladolid10
W24/05/2026
Sporting GijonAlmeria
Sporting GijonAlmeria31
L16/05/2026Almeria
Las Palmas
AlmeriaLas Palmas12
L09/05/2026
BurgosAlmeria
BurgosAlmeria00
D04/05/2026Almeria
Mirandes
AlmeriaMirandes42
WReferee Profile
Luis Bestard Servera, Spain · 12 matches analysed
5.0Avg Yellows
5.2Avg Cards
26.8Avg Fouls
Stricter than 92% of referees analysed
League Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Racing Santander | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 90:61 | +29 | 82 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 65:44 | +21 | 77 | LWWWW |
| 3 | Almeria | 42 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 81:63 | +18 | 74 | WLLDW |
| 4 |  Malaga | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 75:52 | +23 | 73 | WDWWW |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 42 | 20 | 13 | 9 | 57:40 | +17 | 73 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Castellón | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 70:51 | +19 | 72 | WWDDL |
| 7 | Burgos | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 48:33 | +15 | 72 | WWWDD |
| 8 | Eibar | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 52:40 | +12 | 67 | LWLWL |
| 9 | Sporting Gijon | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 60:54 | +6 | 61 | WWWLL |
| 10 | Cordoba | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 57:61 | -4 | 61 | DLLWW |
| 11 | AD Ceuta FC | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 51:63 | -12 | 61 | WWLDW |
| 12 |  Albacete | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 56:55 | +1 | 59 | LWWWW |
| 13 |  FC Andorra | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 62:54 | +8 | 58 | LLLWL |
| 14 |  Granada CF | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 50:56 | -6 | 48 | LLLLW |
| 15 |  Real Sociedad II | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 52:61 | -9 | 47 | DLDWD |
| 16 |  Leganes | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 43:51 | -8 | 46 | WLDLL |
| 17 | Valladolid | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 44:57 | -13 | 46 | LLLWL |
| 18 | Cadiz | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 41:61 | -20 | 43 | LWDLD |
| 19 | Mirandes | 42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 47:69 | -22 | 40 | LWDLL |
| 20 | Huesca | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 41:63 | -22 | 38 | DLDLL |
| 21 |  Cultural Leonesa | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 39:68 | -29 | 37 | DLWLD |
| 22 |  Zaragoza | 42 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 35:59 | -24 | 36 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Santander | 42 | 90:61 | 82 |
| 2 | Deportivo La Coruna | 42 | 65:44 | 77 |
| 3 | Almeria | 42 | 81:63 | 74 |
| 4 | Malaga | 42 | 75:52 | 73 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 42 | 57:40 | 73 |
| 6 | Castellón | 42 | 70:51 | 72 |
| 7 | Burgos | 42 | 48:33 | 72 |
| 8 | Eibar | 42 | 52:40 | 67 |
| 9 | Sporting Gijon | 42 | 60:54 | 61 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 42 | 57:61 | 61 |
| 11 | AD Ceuta FC | 42 | 51:63 | 61 |
| 12 | Albacete | 42 | 56:55 | 59 |
| 13 | FC Andorra | 42 | 62:54 | 58 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 42 | 50:56 | 48 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad II | 42 | 52:61 | 47 |
| 16 | Leganes | 42 | 43:51 | 46 |
| 17 | Valladolid | 42 | 44:57 | 46 |
| 18 | Cadiz | 42 | 41:61 | 43 |
| 19 | Mirandes | 42 | 47:69 | 40 |
| 20 | Huesca | 42 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 42 | 39:68 | 37 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 42 | 35:59 | 36 |
PromotionRelegation
Bracket
Semi-finals
Final
Castellón vs Almeria Prediction
As a knockout-stage Segunda División fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Segunda División
ScorePredicts covers Segunda División across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Castellón and Almeria have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.46 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.