Malaga vs Las Palmas Prediction

Malaga
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Las Palmas
La Rosaleda, Malaga·Rafael Sanchez Lopez, Spain 10/06/2026
MalagaMalaga
1-1
Finished
Las PalmasLas Palmas

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalHIGHModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+0.8%
Malaga Rest
3 days
Las Palmas Rest
3 days

Malaga vs Las Palmas: result, form and history

Malaga and Las Palmas drew 1-1 in the Segunda División on 10 Jun 2026. Malaga had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Las Palmas.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%2.14
X
26%3.30
2
22%3.50
Double Chance
1X
78%1.30
X2
48%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.80
No
44%1.94
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.66 + 1.08 = 2.74
Over 1.5
80%1.33
Over 2.5
54%2.05
Over 3.5
32%3.60
Under 1.5
20%3.25
Under 2.5
46%1.75
Under 3.5
68%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.1 = 9.7
Over 8.5
63%1.73
Over 9.5
51%2.16
Over 10.5
39%2.79
Under 8.5
37%1.99
Under 9.5
49%1.61
Under 10.5
61%1.38
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.8 = 5.1
Over 3.5
74%-
Over 4.5
57%1.47
Under 3.5
26%-
Under 4.5
43%2.42

Match Events

3'JeseAssist: Marvin
59'JeseRoughing
61'J. Viera INM. Fuster out
61'Jese INI. Bravo out
67'I. Merino INR. Rodriguez out
67'D. Lorenzo INA. Nino out
69'J. Munoz
72'E. Pedrola INPejino out
72'Marvin INV. Pezzolesi out
75'Chupe INR. Enriquez out
86'L. Amatucci INI. Medina out
87'C. Dotor IND. Brasanac out
87'J. Munoz INA. Ochoa out
87'A. HerreroDelay of game

Lineups

Malaga
4-2-3-1Coach: Juan Funes
Las Palmas
4-4-2Coach: Luis Garcia
Avg rating6.76
Avg rating6.83
Alfonso HerreroC6.51A. Herrero
Carlos Puga7.33C. Puga
Diego Murillo7.216D. Murillo
Javi Montero7.220J. Montero
Rafa Garrido6.931R. Garrido
Izan Merino6.323I. Merino
Dani Lorenzo6.522D. Lorenzo
David Larrubia6.610D. Larrubia
Carlos Dotor6.612C. Dotor
Joaquín Muñoz7.711J. Muñoz
Chupete7.39Chupete
Dinko Horkaš7.21D. Horkaš
Marvin Park6.92M. Park
Alex Suárez7.24A. Suárez
Mika Mármol6.93M. Mármol
Enrique Clemente6.35E. Clemente
Taisei Miyashiro6.718T. Miyashiro
Lorenzo Amatucci7.316L. Amatucci
Kirian Rodríguez7.020K. Rodríguez
Estanis Pedrola6.739E. Pedrola
Jonathan VieraC6.921J. Viera
Jesé Rodríguez7.310J. Rodríguez

Malaga Substitutes

37Rafa Rodriguez67'for I. Merino6.7
21Adrián Niño67'for D. Lorenzo6.2
13Carlos Lopez
2Jokin Gabilondo
36Ángel Recio
14Victor Garcia
18Daniel Sánchez
35Aarón Ochoa87'for J. Munoz6.6
5Darko Brašanac87'for C. Dotor6.3
6Ramón Enríquez75'for Chupe6.3
24Julen Lobete
17Eneko Jauregi

Las Palmas Substitutes

14Manuel Fuster61'for J. Viera6.3
49Iker Bravo61'for Jese6.7
27Valentin Pezzolesi72'for Marvin6.6
24Pejiño72'for E. Pedrola6.6
35Adrián Suárez
13José Antonio Caro
15Juanma Herzog
23Cristian Gutiérrez
26Iñaki González
8Iván Gil
7Nicolás Benedetti
38Iván Medina86'for L. Amatucci6.7

Match Stats

MalagaLas Palmas
49%Ball Possession51%
7Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots5
13Fouls9
4Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves4
448Total Passes470
390Passes Accurate404
87%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

MalagaMalaga
Las PalmasLas Palmas
1653Elo Rating 1617
1.59Attack 0.95
1.49Defense 1.37
27%Hit Rate 23%
12.3Shots per Game 8.6
4.9Shots on Target 2.7
5.2Corners per Game 4.0
1.9Cards per Game 4.1

Game State Tendencies

MalagaMalaga
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Las PalmasLas Palmas
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

MalagaMalaga4Wins · 45%
Draws333%
Las PalmasLas Palmas2Wins · 22%
2.2Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

Segunda División07/06/2026
Las PalmasMalaga
01
Segunda División11/04/2026
MalagaLas Palmas
20
Segunda División31/08/2025
Las PalmasMalaga
01
Segunda División11/03/2023
Las PalmasMalaga
22
Segunda División22/08/2022
MalagaLas Palmas
04
Segunda División29/04/2022
Las PalmasMalaga
21
Segunda División20/11/2021
MalagaLas Palmas
21
Segunda División17/04/2021
Las PalmasMalaga
11
Segunda División11/10/2020
MalagaLas Palmas
00

Recent Form

MalagaMalaga
6W2D2L
07/06/2026
Las PalmasMalaga
01
W
31/05/2026
ZaragozaMalaga
02
W
24/05/2026
MalagaRacing Santander
11
D
16/05/2026
AD Ceuta FCMalaga
14
W
09/05/2026
MalagaSporting Gijon
21
W
02/05/2026
EibarMalaga
24
W
25/04/2026
MalagaCastellón
23
L
19/04/2026
AlmeriaMalaga
32
L
11/04/2026
MalagaLas Palmas
20
W
04/04/2026
Deportivo La CorunaMalaga
11
D
Las PalmasLas Palmas
6W1D3L
07/06/2026
Las PalmasMalaga
01
L
31/05/2026
Deportivo La CorunaLas Palmas
12
W
24/05/2026
Las PalmasZaragoza
11
D
16/05/2026
AlmeriaLas Palmas
12
W
10/05/2026
FC AndorraLas Palmas
51
L
03/05/2026
Las PalmasValladolid
21
W
27/04/2026
CadizLas Palmas
12
W
17/04/2026
Las PalmasLeganes
20
W
11/04/2026
MalagaLas Palmas
20
L
05/04/2026
Las PalmasHuesca
21
W

Referee Profile

Rafael Sanchez Lopez201 matches

4.97Cards per match
4.70Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rafael Sanchez Lopez4.97
Other referees5.14

4.97 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.14).

Cards come from 121 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Semi-finals
Final

League Table

Segunda División 2025
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Racing SantanderRacing Santander422571090:61+2982WDWWW
2Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna422211965:44+2177LWWWW
3AlmeriaAlmeria422281281:63+1874WLLDW
4MalagaMalaga4221101175:52+2373WDWWW
5Las PalmasLas Palmas422013957:40+1773WDWLW
6CastellónCastellón4220121070:51+1972WWDDL
7BurgosBurgos4220121048:33+1572WWWDD
8EibarEibar4219101352:40+1267LWLWL
9Sporting GijonSporting Gijon421871760:54+661WWWLL
10CordobaCordoba4217101557:61-461DLLWW
11AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC4217101551:63-1261WWLDW
12AlbaceteAlbacete4216111556:55+159LWWWW
13FC AndorraFC Andorra4216101662:54+858LLLWL
14Granada CFGranada CF4212121850:56-648LLLLW
15Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II4212111952:61-947DLDWD
16LeganesLeganes4211131843:51-846WLDLL
17ValladolidValladolid4212102044:57-1346LLLWL
18CadizCadiz4211102141:61-2043LWDLD
19MirandesMirandes4210102247:69-2240LWDLL
20HuescaHuesca429112241:63-2238DLDLL
21Cultural LeonesaCultural Leonesa429102339:68-2937DLWLD
22ZaragozaZaragoza428122235:59-2436LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Racing SantanderRacing Santander4290:6182
2Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna4265:4477
3AlmeriaAlmeria4281:6374
4MalagaMalaga4275:5273
5Las PalmasLas Palmas4257:4073
6CastellónCastellón4270:5172
7BurgosBurgos4248:3372
8EibarEibar4252:4067
9Sporting GijonSporting Gijon4260:5461
10CordobaCordoba4257:6161
11AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC4251:6361
12AlbaceteAlbacete4256:5559
13FC AndorraFC Andorra4262:5458
14Granada CFGranada CF4250:5648
15Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II4252:6147
16LeganesLeganes4243:5146
17ValladolidValladolid4244:5746
18CadizCadiz4241:6143
19MirandesMirandes4247:6940
20HuescaHuesca4241:6338
21Cultural LeonesaCultural Leonesa4239:6837
22ZaragozaZaragoza4235:5936
PromotionRelegation

About the Malaga vs Las Palmas forecast

As a knockout tie in the Segunda División, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Malaga and Las Palmas in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Malaga (4th) and Las Palmas (5th) are level on 73 points. League goal record so far: Malaga 75-52, Las Palmas 57-40. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2025 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.