Malaga vs Las Palmas Prediction

Segunda DivisiónSpain Spain · Semi-finals
Knockout
Malaga
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Las Palmas
La Rosaleda, Malaga· Rafael Sanchez Lopez, Spain 10/06/2026
MalagaMalaga
1-1
Finished
Las PalmasLas Palmas

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalSOLIDModel52%RiskMediumGap+0.8%
Malaga Rest
3 days
Las Palmas Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%2.14
X
26%3.30
2
22%3.50
Double Chance
1X
78%1.30
X2
48%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.80
No
44%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.66 + 1.08 = 2.74
Over 1.5
80%1.33
Over 2.5
54%2.05
Over 3.5
32%3.58
Under 1.5
20%3.25
Under 2.5
46%1.75
Under 3.5
68%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.1 = 9.7
Over 8.5
63%1.77
Over 9.5
51%2.18
Over 10.5
39%2.92
Under 8.5
37%1.95
Under 9.5
49%1.59
Under 10.5
61%1.36
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.8 = 5.1
Over 3.5
74%-
Over 4.5
57%1.47
Under 3.5
26%-
Under 4.5
43%2.42

Match Events

3'JeseAssist: Marvin
59'JeseRoughing
61'J. Viera INM. Fuster out
61'Jese INI. Bravo out
67'I. Merino INR. Rodriguez out
67'D. Lorenzo INA. Nino out
69'J. Munoz
72'E. Pedrola INPejino out
72'Marvin INV. Pezzolesi out
75'Chupe INR. Enriquez out
86'L. Amatucci INI. Medina out
87'C. Dotor IND. Brasanac out
87'J. Munoz INA. Ochoa out
87'A. HerreroDelay of game

Lineups

Malaga
4-2-3-1Coach: Juan Funes
Las Palmas
4-4-2Coach: Luis Garcia
Alfonso Herrero1A. HerreroAlfonso Herrero
Carlos Puga3C. PugaCarlos Puga
Diego Murillo16D. MurilloDiego Murillo
Javi Montero20J. MonteroJavi Montero
Rafa Garrido31R. GarridoRafa Garrido
Izan Merino23I. MerinoIzan Merino
Dani Lorenzo22D. LorenzoDani Lorenzo
David Larrubia10D. LarrubiaDavid Larrubia
Carlos Dotor12C. DotorCarlos Dotor
Joaquín Muñoz11J. MuñozJoaquín Muñoz
Chupete9ChupeteChupete
Dinko Horkaš1D. HorkašDinko Horkaš
Marvin Park2M. ParkMarvin Park
Alex Suárez4A. SuárezAlex Suárez
Mika Mármol3M. MármolMika Mármol
Enrique Clemente5E. ClementeEnrique Clemente
Taisei Miyashiro18T. MiyashiroTaisei Miyashiro
Lorenzo Amatucci16L. AmatucciLorenzo Amatucci
Kirian Rodríguez20K. RodríguezKirian Rodríguez
Estanis Pedrola39E. PedrolaEstanis Pedrola
Jonathan Viera21J. VieraJonathan Viera
Jesé Rodríguez10J. RodríguezJesé Rodríguez

Malaga Substitutes

37Rafa RodriguezM
21Adrián NiñoF
13Carlos LopezG
2Jokin GabilondoD
36Ángel RecioD
14Victor GarciaD
18Daniel SánchezD
35Aarón OchoaM
5Darko BrašanacM
6Ramón EnríquezM
24Julen LobeteF
17Eneko JauregiF

Las Palmas Substitutes

14Manuel FusterM
49Iker BravoF
27Valentin PezzolesiD
24PejiñoF
35Adrián SuárezG
13José Antonio CaroG
15Juanma HerzogD
23Cristian GutiérrezD
26Iñaki GonzálezM
8Iván GilM
7Nicolás BenedettiM
38Iván MedinaF

Match Stats

MalagaLas Palmas
49%Ball Possession51%
7Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots4
12Fouls9
4Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves3
442Total Passes461
386Passes Accurate398
87%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

MalagaMalaga
Las PalmasLas Palmas
1691Elo Rating 1671
0.44Attack 1.27
1.50Defense 1.89
0%Hit Rate 58%
10.8Shots per Game 9.9
1.9Shots on Target 3.8
4.8Corners per Game 4.4
2.0Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MalagaMalaga
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Las PalmasLas Palmas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Malaga 69%Draw 17%14% Las Palmas
2.15Avg Goals
17%BTTS Rate
31%Over 2.5

Recent Form

MalagaMalaga
4W1D0L
07/06/2026
Las PalmasMalaga
01
W
31/05/2026
ZaragozaMalaga
02
W
24/05/2026
MalagaRacing Santander
11
D
16/05/2026
AD Ceuta FCMalaga
14
W
09/05/2026
MalagaSporting Gijon
21
W
Las PalmasLas Palmas
2W1D2L
07/06/2026
Las PalmasMalaga
01
L
31/05/2026
Deportivo La CorunaLas Palmas
12
W
24/05/2026
Las PalmasZaragoza
11
D
16/05/2026
AlmeriaLas Palmas
12
W
10/05/2026
FC AndorraLas Palmas
51
L

Referee Profile

Rafael Sanchez Lopez, Spain · 14 matches analysed

4.5Avg Yellows
4.7Avg Cards
23.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 68% of referees analysed

League Table

Segunda División 2025
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Racing SantanderRacing Santander422571090:61+2982WDWWW
2Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna422211965:44+2177LWWWW
3AlmeriaAlmeria422281281:63+1874WLLDW
4MalagaMalaga4221101175:52+2373WDWWW
5Las PalmasLas Palmas422013957:40+1773WDWLW
6CastellónCastellón4220121070:51+1972WWDDL
7BurgosBurgos4220121048:33+1572WWWDD
8EibarEibar4219101352:40+1267LWLWL
9Sporting GijonSporting Gijon421871760:54+661WWWLL
10CordobaCordoba4217101557:61-461DLLWW
11AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC4217101551:63-1261WWLDW
12AlbaceteAlbacete4216111556:55+159LWWWW
13FC AndorraFC Andorra4216101662:54+858LLLWL
14Granada CFGranada CF4212121850:56-648LLLLW
15Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II4212111952:61-947DLDWD
16LeganesLeganes4211131843:51-846WLDLL
17ValladolidValladolid4212102044:57-1346LLLWL
18CadizCadiz4211102141:61-2043LWDLD
19MirandesMirandes4210102247:69-2240LWDLL
20HuescaHuesca429112241:63-2238DLDLL
21Cultural LeonesaCultural Leonesa429102339:68-2937DLWLD
22ZaragozaZaragoza428122235:59-2436LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Racing SantanderRacing Santander4290:6182
2Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna4265:4477
3AlmeriaAlmeria4281:6374
4MalagaMalaga4275:5273
5Las PalmasLas Palmas4257:4073
6CastellónCastellón4270:5172
7BurgosBurgos4248:3372
8EibarEibar4252:4067
9Sporting GijonSporting Gijon4260:5461
10CordobaCordoba4257:6161
11AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC4251:6361
12AlbaceteAlbacete4256:5559
13FC AndorraFC Andorra4262:5458
14Granada CFGranada CF4250:5648
15Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II4252:6147
16LeganesLeganes4243:5146
17ValladolidValladolid4244:5746
18CadizCadiz4241:6143
19MirandesMirandes4247:6940
20HuescaHuesca4241:6338
21Cultural LeonesaCultural Leonesa4239:6837
22ZaragozaZaragoza4235:5936
PromotionRelegation

Bracket

Semi-finals
Final

Malaga vs Las Palmas Prediction

As a knockout-stage Segunda División fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Segunda División

ScorePredicts covers Segunda División across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Malaga and Las Palmas have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.15 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.