Celje vs Aluminij Prediction

Celje
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Aluminij
A. Jeric 10/10/2026
CeljeCelje
1-0
Finished
AluminijAluminij

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
60%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.51
SignalNEUTRALModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-5.9%
Celje Rest
20 days
Aluminij Rest
20 days

Celje vs Aluminij: result, form and history

Celje beat Aluminij 1-0 in the 1. SNL on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Celje have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.51
X
24%4.15
2
17%5.00
Double Chance
1X
83%1.12
X2
41%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.57
No
42%2.21
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.83 + 1.18 = 3.01
Over 1.5
80%1.14
Over 2.5
63%1.51
Over 3.5
40%2.25
Under 1.5
20%4.85
Under 2.5
37%2.38
Under 3.5
60%1.57
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'M. Avdyli
19'P. Petrisko
55'A. Bekavac
62'L. Ticic INM. Zabukovnik out
63'M. Ivansek INZ. Zuzek out
63'B. Susso INR. Ramsak out
63'A. Bekavac IND. Zajsek out
71'M. Kvesic INV. Tusha out
71'A. Kucys INB. Kramer out
77'P. Petrisko INM. Mladenovic out
80'M. Avdyli
81'I. Calusic INP. Daniel out
83'A. Tutyskinas
86'B. Osuji INA. Bloudek out
87'M. Vrbanec INI. Svrznjak out
90+2'R. Schaubach

Team Comparison

CeljeCelje
AluminijAluminij
1635Elo Rating 1488
0.70Attack 1.72
1.88Defense 1.56
17%Hit Rate 14%
10.3Shots per Game -
2.6Shots on Target -
2.4Corners per Game -
2.8Cards per Game -

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+147 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.01 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

CeljeCelje
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
AluminijAluminij
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CeljeCelje6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
AluminijAluminij2Wins · 20%
4.0Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10

Previous meetings

1. SNL02/09/2026
AluminijCelje
02
1. SNL26/04/2026
CeljeAluminij
50
1. SNL05/03/2026
AluminijCelje
21
1. SNL01/11/2025
CeljeAluminij
21
1. SNL17/08/2025
AluminijCelje
23
1. SNL30/03/2024
CeljeAluminij
22
1. SNL09/12/2023
AluminijCelje
13
1. SNL27/09/2023
CeljeAluminij
13
1. SNL23/07/2023
AluminijCelje
22
1. SNL25/04/2022
AluminijCelje
06

League Table

1. SNL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MariborMaribor1266021:9+1224DWDWD
2KoperKoper1264219:11+822WDWLW
3BravoBravo1254314:13+119DLWWD
4Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana1253414:11+318WDLWW
5NaftaNafta1252518:16+217DWLWW
6CeljeCelje1144312:11+116DWDLL
7AluminijAluminij1234516:13+313LLDWD
8Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje1232715:25-1011LLWLL
9MuraMura1225513:24-1111DDDLD
10RadomljeRadomlje1114614:23-97DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1MariborMaribor1221:924
2KoperKoper1219:1122
3BravoBravo1214:1319
4Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana1214:1118
5NaftaNafta1218:1617
6CeljeCelje1112:1116
7AluminijAluminij1216:1313
8Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje1215:2511
9MuraMura1213:2411
10RadomljeRadomlje1114:237
Relegation

About the Celje vs Aluminij forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Celje and Aluminij in the 1. SNL table

Celje and Aluminij are close in the 1. SNL table, 6th and 7th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Celje 12-11, Aluminij 16-13. The full standings are on the 1. SNL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.