Celje vs Ararat-Armenia Prediction

UEFA Champions LeagueWorld World · Qualifying Round 3
Cup
Celje
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Ararat-Armenia
Arena Z’dezele, Celje· M. Guida 11/08/2026
CeljeCelje
2-0
Finished
Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel50%RiskMediumGap+8.2%
Celje Rest
3 days
Ararat-Armenia Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.41
X
22%4.70
2
21%6.78
Double Chance
1X
79%1.10
X2
43%2.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.77
No
50%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 1.45 = 3.00
Over 1.5
77%1.18
Over 2.5
55%1.60
Over 3.5
31%2.45
Under 1.5
23%4.50
Under 2.5
45%2.30
Under 3.5
69%1.50
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'A. TeraFoul
19'H. OliveiraUnsportsmanlike conduct
32'L. KoutrisTripping
46'L. Koutris INB. Verbic out
55'A. Tera INBenny out
64'A. TutyskinasTripping
66'M. AvdyliHolding
69'P. Sirvys INY. Dukuly out
69'A. Kucys INM. Poplatnik out
73'H. Oliveira INM. Carlier out
73'A. Serobyan INFranca Carlos out
78'M. ZabukovnikFoul
83'Y. DukulyAssist: M. Avdyli
84'Z. BanjaquiFoul
85'B. Verbic
86'B. VerbicUnsportsmanlike conduct
89'Z. Banjaqui INA. Ndour out
90'K. Muradyan INJ. A. Balanta out
90+1'S. Seslar INI. Calusic out

Lineups

Celje
4-3-3Coach: Vitor Campelos
Ararat-Armenia
4-3-3Coach: Tulipa
Žan-Luk Leban1Ž. LebanŽan-Luk Leban
Pijus Širvys2P. ŠirvysPijus Širvys
Darko Hrka4D. HrkaDarko Hrka
Artemijus Tutyškinas6A. TutyškinasArtemijus Tutyškinas
Leonardo Koutris33L. KoutrisLeonardo Koutris
Mario Kvesić8M. KvesićMario Kvesić
Mark Zabukovnik19M. ZabukovnikMark Zabukovnik
Svit Sešlar10S. SešlarSvit Sešlar
Matic Ivanšek77M. IvanšekMatic Ivanšek
Armandas Kučys47A. KučysArmandas Kučys
Milot Avdyli11M. AvdyliMilot Avdyli
João Bravim98J. BravimJoão Bravim
Junior Julio3J. JulioJunior Julio
Bruno Wilson43B. WilsonBruno Wilson
Alexandros Malis47A. MalisAlexandros Malis
Edgar Grigoryan16E. GrigoryanEdgar Grigoryan
Hugo Oliveira2H. OliveiraHugo Oliveira
Karen Muradyan19K. MuradyanKaren Muradyan
Alwyn Tera20A. TeraAlwyn Tera
Artur Serobyan77A. SerobyanArtur Serobyan
Sandro Lima91S. LimaSandro Lima
Zidane Banjaqui11Z. BanjaquiZidane Banjaqui

Celje Substitutes

7Benjamin VerbičM
91Yaya DukulyM
99Matej PoplatnikF
27Ivan ĆalušićD
12Luka KolarG
23Žiga FrelihG
3Damjan VukliševićD
20Alpha DiounkouD
25Veton TushaM
94Rudi Požeg VancašM
17Andrej KotnikF

Ararat-Armenia Substitutes

70Bernardo DiasM
95Carlos FrançaM
17Maxence CarlierM
8Juan BalantaM
25Alioune NdourF
1Arman NersesyanG
5Luís FelipeD
14Bruno PereiraD
6Michel AyvazyanM
7Zhirayr ShaghoyanM
9Arayik EloyanF
90Paul AyongoF

Match Stats

CeljeArarat-Armenia
50%Ball Possession50%
12Corner Kicks9
5Yellow Cards3
8Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal1
7Blocked Shots4
16Fouls13
3Offsides1

Team Comparison

CeljeCelje
Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia
1654Elo Rating 1675
0.97Attack 1.54
1.43Defense 2.47
19%Hit Rate 66%
19.0Shots per Game -
7.0Shots on Target 0.0
5.0Corners per Game 0.0
6.0Cards per Game -

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3 goals

Game State Tendencies

CeljeCelje
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 2 historical meetings

Celje 0%Draw 46%54% Ararat-Armenia
1.62Avg Goals
54%BTTS Rate
54%Over 2.5

Recent Form

CeljeCelje
2W2D1L
08/08/2026
CeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
10
W04/08/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaCelje
21
L
01/08/2026
CeljeMaribor
11
D
28/07/2026
CeljeEgnatia Rrogozhinë
4111
W22/07/2026
Egnatia RrogozhinëCelje
33
D
Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia
4W0D1L
07/08/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaFC Urartu
21
W
04/08/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaCelje
21
W
01/08/2026
GandzasarArarat-Armenia
34
W
28/07/2026
Shamrock RoversArarat-Armenia
21
L21/07/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaShamrock Rovers
20
W

Referee Profile

M. Guida · 28 matches analysed

3.5Avg Yellows
3.6Avg Cards
22.5Avg Fouls
Stricter than 2% of referees analysed

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
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Celje
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AEK Athens FC
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Viking
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Celtic
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Lask Linz
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Sparta Praha
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Lyon
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Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Viking
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Celtic
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Lask Linz
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AEK Athens FC
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Viking
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Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
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Celje vs Ararat-Armenia Prediction

As a knockout-stage UEFA Champions League fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Champions League

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Key Factors for This Match

Celje and Ararat-Armenia have met 2 times recently, averaging 1.62 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.