Celje vs Ararat-Armenia Prediction

Celje
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Ararat-Armenia
Arena Z’dezele, Celje·M. Guida 11/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+8.2%
Celje Rest
3 days
Ararat-Armenia Rest
4 days

Celje vs Ararat-Armenia: result, form and history

Celje beat Ararat-Armenia 2-0 in the UEFA Champions League on 11 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Ararat-Armenia had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Celje.

Ararat-Armenia tend to win more corners, 5.7 a game to 2.0 for Celje.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.41
X
22%4.70
2
21%6.78
Double Chance
1X
79%1.10
X2
43%2.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.77
No
50%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 1.45 = 3.00
Over 1.5
77%1.18
Over 2.5
55%1.60
Over 3.5
31%2.45
Under 1.5
23%4.50
Under 2.5
45%2.30
Under 3.5
69%1.50
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'A. TeraFoul
19'H. OliveiraUnsportsmanlike conduct
32'L. KoutrisTripping
46'L. Koutris INB. Verbic out
55'A. Tera INBenny out
64'A. TutyskinasTripping
66'M. AvdyliHolding
69'P. Sirvys INY. Dukuly out
69'A. Kucys INM. Poplatnik out
73'H. Oliveira INM. Carlier out
73'A. Serobyan INFranca Carlos out
78'M. ZabukovnikFoul
83'Y. DukulyAssist: M. Avdyli
84'Z. BanjaquiFoul
85'B. Verbic
86'B. VerbicUnsportsmanlike conduct
89'Z. Banjaqui INA. Ndour out
90'K. Muradyan INJ. A. Balanta out
90+1'S. Seslar INI. Calusic out

Lineups

Celje
4-3-3Coach: Vitor Campelos
Ararat-Armenia
4-3-3Coach: Tulipa
Žan-Luk Leban1Ž. Leban
Pijus Širvys2P. Širvys
Darko Hrka4D. Hrka
Artemijus Tutyškinas6A. Tutyškinas
Leonardo Koutris33L. Koutris
Mario Kvesić8M. Kvesić
Mark Zabukovnik19M. Zabukovnik
Svit Sešlar10S. Sešlar
Matic Ivanšek77M. Ivanšek
Armandas Kučys47A. Kučys
Milot Avdyli11M. Avdyli
João Bravim98J. Bravim
Junior Julio3J. Julio
Bruno Wilson43B. Wilson
Alexandros Malis47A. Malis
Edgar Grigoryan16E. Grigoryan
Hugo Oliveira2H. Oliveira
Karen Muradyan19K. Muradyan
Alwyn Tera20A. Tera
Artur Serobyan77A. Serobyan
Sandro Lima91S. Lima
Zidane Banjaqui11Z. Banjaqui

Celje Substitutes

7Benjamin Verbič46'for L. Koutris85'86'
91Yaya Dukuly69'for P. Sirvys83'
99Matej Poplatnik
27Ivan Ćalušić90+1'for S. Seslar
12Luka Kolar
23Žiga Frelih
3Damjan Vuklišević
20Alpha Diounkou
25Veton Tusha
94Rudi Požeg Vancaš
17Andrej Kotnik

Ararat-Armenia Substitutes

70Bernardo Dias55'for A. Tera
95Carlos França73'for A. Serobyan
17Maxence Carlier73'for H. Oliveira
8Juan Balanta90'for K. Muradyan
25Alioune Ndour89'for Z. Banjaqui
1Arman Nersesyan
5Luís Felipe
14Bruno Pereira
6Michel Ayvazyan
7Zhirayr Shaghoyan
9Arayik Eloyan
90Paul Ayongo

Match Stats

CeljeArarat-Armenia
50%Ball Possession50%
12Corner Kicks9
5Yellow Cards3
8Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal1
7Blocked Shots4
16Fouls13
3Offsides1

Team Comparison

CeljeCelje
Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia
1666Elo Rating 1616
2.53Attack 1.75
1.98Defense 1.27
66%Hit Rate 39%
8.3Shots per Game 15.6
5.6Shots on Target 6.6
2.0Corners per Game 5.7
2.0Cards per Game 4.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

CeljeCelje
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 1.1 in second half)
Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

CeljeCelje0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia1Wins · 50%
1.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

UEFA Champions League04/08/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaCelje
21
UEFA Europa League24/09/2020
Ararat-ArmeniaCelje
1000

Recent Form

CeljeCelje
4W4D2L
08/08/2026
CeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
10
W
04/08/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaCelje
21
L
01/08/2026
CeljeMaribor
11
D
28/07/2026
CeljeEgnatia Rrogozhinë
4111
W
22/07/2026
Egnatia RrogozhinëCelje
33
D
17/07/2026
CeljeMura
22
D
08/07/2026
CeljeMTK Budapest
43
W
04/07/2026
CeljeCukaricki
11
D
01/07/2026
CeljeHNK Hajduk Split
01
L
27/06/2026
CeljeShkendija
10
W
Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia
7W1D2L
07/08/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaFC Urartu
21
W
04/08/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaCelje
21
W
01/08/2026
GandzasarArarat-Armenia
34
W
28/07/2026
Shamrock RoversArarat-Armenia
21
L
21/07/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaShamrock Rovers
20
W
14/07/2026
RigaArarat-Armenia
32
L
07/07/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaRiga
20
W
27/06/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaVojvodina
11
D
27/05/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaGandzasar
10
W
17/05/2026
BKMAArarat-Armenia
23
W

Referee Profile

M. Guida165 matches

3.97Cards per match
3.85Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

M. Guida3.97
Other referees4.43

3.97 cards a match, 0.46 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.43).

Cards come from 155 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Slovan Bratislava
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
Fenerbahçe
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Dinamo Zagreb
Seeded
Sturm Graz
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Celje
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded

About the Celje vs Ararat-Armenia forecast

This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

About UEFA Champions League

More UEFA Champions League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Champions League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Celje and Ararat-Armenia have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.