Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo Prediction

Cerrito
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Uruguay Montevideo
22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel32%SurpriseHighGap+7.8%
Cerrito Rest
7 days
Uruguay Montevideo Rest
7 days

Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo: the result in context

Cerrito beat Uruguay Montevideo 3-0 in the Segunda División on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.5 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.04
X
30%3.20
2
28%3.39
Double Chance
1X
72%1.25
X2
58%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.82
No
52%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 0.93 = 2.18
Over 1.5
62%1.32
Over 2.5
37%2.06
Over 3.5
17%3.54
Under 1.5
38%2.92
Under 2.5
63%1.67
Under 3.5
83%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'Rocha
28'Rocha
36'L. Rodriguez
69'

Team Comparison

CerritoCerrito
Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo
1494Elo Rating 1379
1.34Attack 0.82
1.63Defense 1.80
17%Hit Rate 23%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+115 Elo
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

CerritoCerrito
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.2 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CerritoCerrito2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo5Wins · 50%
3.5Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Segunda División16/05/2026
Uruguay MontevideoCerrito
22
Segunda División06/04/2026
CerritoUruguay Montevideo
21
Segunda División05/10/2025
CerritoUruguay Montevideo
21
Segunda División12/07/2025
Uruguay MontevideoCerrito
00
Segunda División06/04/2025
CerritoUruguay Montevideo
13
Segunda División04/12/2024
Uruguay MontevideoCerrito
31
Segunda División30/11/2024
CerritoUruguay Montevideo
22
Segunda División08/09/2024
Uruguay MontevideoCerrito
30
Segunda División27/05/2024
CerritoUruguay Montevideo
02
Segunda División21/10/2023
CerritoUruguay Montevideo
26

League Table

Segunda División 2026

1st Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrientalOriental64118:5+313WWLWW
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia63309:2+712DDWWL
3FenixFenix632113:7+611LDWLD
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan62409:6+310WDLWW
5ColónColón62318:5+39LDLWW
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo62317:5+29LDLDL
7RentistasRentistas62316:5+19WLWWD
8CerritoCerrito62318:809LDDLL
9La LuzLa Luz61415:6-17WLWLD
10MiramarMiramar61233:7-45LWWLD
11PaysanduPaysandu61144:7-34DLWWD
12AtenasAtenas61145:11-64DWDWL
13CA River PlateCA River Plate61146:13-74WDLLD
14TacuaremboTacuarembo60335:9-43DDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1OrientalOriental68:513
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia69:212
3FenixFenix613:711
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan69:610
5ColónColón68:59
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo67:59
7RentistasRentistas66:59
8CerritoCerrito68:89
9La LuzLa Luz65:67
10MiramarMiramar63:75
11PaysanduPaysandu64:74
12AtenasAtenas65:114
13CA River PlateCA River Plate66:134
14TacuaremboTacuarembo65:93

2nd Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AtenasAtenas26145736:23+1347DWDWL
2RentistasRentistas26127735:27+843WLWWD
3ColónColón26126830:27+342LDLWW
4Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia26108831:26+538DDWWL
5La LuzLa Luz26107925:27-237WLWLD
6PaysanduPaysandu251051033:32+135DLWWD
7CA River PlateCA River Plate26971037:34+334WDLLD
8OrientalOriental26810834:31+334WWLWW
9CerritoCerrito26810832:30+234LDDLL
10Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan26971027:33-634WDLWW
11MiramarMiramar2689929:32-333LWWLD
12FenixFenix26710928:31-331LDWLD
13TacuaremboTacuarembo26681220:31-1126DDDLL
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo25571323:36-1322LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1AtenasAtenas2636:2347
2RentistasRentistas2635:2743
3ColónColón2630:2742
4Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia2631:2638
5La LuzLa Luz2625:2737
6PaysanduPaysandu2533:3235
7CA River PlateCA River Plate2637:3434
8OrientalOriental2634:3134
9CerritoCerrito2632:3034
10Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan2627:3334
11MiramarMiramar2629:3233
12FenixFenix2628:3131
13TacuaremboTacuarembo2620:3126
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo2523:3622

About the Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Cerrito and Uruguay Montevideo in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Cerrito (8th) and Uruguay Montevideo (6th) are level on 9 points. League goal record so far: Cerrito 8-8, Uruguay Montevideo 7-5. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cerrito have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.