Uruguay Montevideo vs Oriental Prediction

12/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.36
SignalGOODModel32%RiskHighGap+10.2%
Uruguay Montevideo Rest
6 days
Oriental Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%3.00
X
25%3.08
2
44%2.30
Double Chance
1X
56%1.52
X2
69%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.90
No
42%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.19 + 1.62 = 2.81
Over 1.5
76%1.36
Over 2.5
56%2.21
Over 3.5
33%4.20
Under 1.5
24%2.75
Under 2.5
44%1.58
Under 3.5
67%1.19
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

40'M. Viera
90+1'

Team Comparison

Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo
OrientalOriental
1394Elo Rating 1479
0.46Attack 1.14
1.65Defense 1.71
0%Hit Rate 34%

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals

Game State Tendencies

Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
OrientalOriental
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Uruguay Montevideo 36%Draw 23%41% Oriental
3.13Avg Goals
54%BTTS Rate
58%Over 2.5

Recent Form

League Table

Segunda División 2026

1st Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrientalOriental64118:5+313LWDLD
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia63309:2+712DWWLW
3FenixFenix632113:7+611DDWLW
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan62409:6+310LLLLL
5ColónColón62318:5+39WLLWW
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo62317:5+29WWDDL
7RentistasRentistas62316:5+19WDWLW
8CerritoCerrito62318:809DDWDW
9La LuzLa Luz61415:6-17LWWLD
10MiramarMiramar61233:7-45DLLLD
11PaysanduPaysandu61144:7-34LWWWW
12AtenasAtenas61145:11-64WLLDW
13CA River PlateCA River Plate61146:13-74LDWWD
14TacuaremboTacuarembo60335:9-43WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1OrientalOriental68:513
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia69:212
3FenixFenix613:711
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan69:610
5ColónColón68:59
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo67:59
7RentistasRentistas66:59
8CerritoCerrito68:89
9La LuzLa Luz65:67
10MiramarMiramar63:75
11PaysanduPaysandu64:74
12AtenasAtenas65:114
13CA River PlateCA River Plate66:134
14TacuaremboTacuarembo65:93

2nd Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AtenasAtenas18103528:18+1033WLLDW
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia1994625:18+731DWWLW
3ColónColón1985620:20029WLLWW
4RentistasRentistas1876521:19+227WDWLW
5CA River PlateCA River Plate1875625:22+326LDWWD
6FenixFenix1968523:21+226DDWLW
7OrientalOriental1867524:20+425LWDLD
8CerritoCerrito1867522:20+225DDWDW
9PaysanduPaysandu1973924:25-124LWWWW
10MiramarMiramar1957721:24-322DLLLD
11Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan1864818:24-622LLLLL
12TacuaremboTacuarembo1864813:19-622WLLDL
13La LuzLa Luz1856714:20-621LWWLD
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo19451018:26-817WWDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1AtenasAtenas1828:1833
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia1925:1831
3ColónColón1920:2029
4RentistasRentistas1821:1927
5CA River PlateCA River Plate1825:2226
6FenixFenix1923:2126
7OrientalOriental1824:2025
8CerritoCerrito1822:2025
9PaysanduPaysandu1924:2524
10MiramarMiramar1921:2422
11Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan1818:2422
12TacuaremboTacuarembo1813:1922
13La LuzLa Luz1814:2021
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo1918:2617

Uruguay Montevideo vs Oriental Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Segunda División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Segunda División

ScorePredicts covers Uruguay football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Uruguay Montevideo and Oriental have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.13 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.