Uruguay Montevideo vs Oriental Prediction
Uruguay · 2nd Phase - 10
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Uruguay Montevideo vs Oriental: the result in context
Uruguay Montevideo and Oriental drew 1-1 in the Segunda División on 12 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Uruguay Montevideo
OrientalAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Uruguay Montevideo- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.2 in second half)
Oriental- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Uruguay Montevideo3Wins · 38%3Wins · 37%Previous meetings
14/09/2025Uruguay MontevideoOriental22/06/2025OrientalUruguay Montevideo14/09/2024OrientalUruguay Montevideo02/06/2024Uruguay MontevideoOriental21/04/2024OrientalUruguay Montevideo25/10/2023Uruguay MontevideoOriental10/06/2023OrientalUruguay Montevideo26/03/2023OrientalUruguay MontevideoRecent Form
Uruguay Montevideo
ColónUruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo
Fenix
RentistasUruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo
Miramar
TacuaremboUruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo
Plaza Colonia
La LuzUruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo
Cerrito
AtenasUruguay MontevideoUruguay MontevideoTacuaremboOrientalOriental
CA River PlateOrientalColónFenixOrientalOrientalRentistasMiramarOrientalOrientalTacuaremboPlaza ColoniaOrientalOrientalLa LuzOrientalCerritoFenixOrientalLeague Table
1st Phase
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 13 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | +7 | 12 | DWWLD |
| 3 | Fenix | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | +6 | 11 | DWLDW |
| 4 |  Sportivo Huracan | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 | WDLWW |
| 5 | Colón | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 9 | DLWWD |
| 6 | Uruguay Montevideo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | 9 | LDLDL |
| 7 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 9 | LWWDD |
| 8 | Cerrito | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 | DDLLW |
| 9 | La Luz | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 | LWLDL |
| 10 | Miramar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 | WWLDD |
| 11 |  Paysandu | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 | DLWWD |
| 12 | Atenas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 | WDWLD |
| 13 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 | WDLLD |
| 14 | Tacuarembo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 | DDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oriental | 6 | 8:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 9:2 | 12 |
| 3 | Fenix | 6 | 13:7 | 11 |
| 4 | Sportivo Huracan | 6 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 5 | Colón | 6 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Uruguay Montevideo | 6 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 7 | Rentistas | 6 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 8 | Cerrito | 6 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 9 | La Luz | 6 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 10 | Miramar | 6 | 3:7 | 5 |
| 11 | Paysandu | 6 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 12 | Atenas | 6 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 13 | CA River Plate | 6 | 6:13 | 4 |
| 14 | Tacuarembo | 6 | 5:9 | 3 |
2nd Phase
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atenas | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 35:23 | +12 | 44 | WDWLD |
| 2 | Rentistas | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 34:27 | +7 | 40 | LWWDD |
| 3 | Colón | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 29:27 | +2 | 39 | DLWWD |
| 4 | Plaza Colonia | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 31:25 | +6 | 38 | DWWLD |
| 5 | Paysandu | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 33:32 | +1 | 35 | DLWWD |
| 6 | Oriental | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:30 | +4 | 34 | WLWWW |
| 7 | CA River Plate | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:34 | +3 | 34 | WDLLD |
| 8 | Cerrito | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 32:29 | +3 | 34 | DDLLW |
| 9 | La Luz | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 34 | LWLDL |
| 10 | Sportivo Huracan | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 34 | WDLWW |
| 11 | Fenix | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 | DWLDW |
| 12 | Miramar | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 26:31 | -5 | 30 | WWLDD |
| 13 | Tacuarembo | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 19:28 | -9 | 26 | DDLLL |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 23:36 | -13 | 22 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atenas | 25 | 35:23 | 44 |
| 2 | Rentistas | 25 | 34:27 | 40 |
| 3 | Colón | 25 | 29:27 | 39 |
| 4 | Plaza Colonia | 25 | 31:25 | 38 |
| 5 | Paysandu | 25 | 33:32 | 35 |
| 6 | Oriental | 25 | 34:30 | 34 |
| 7 | CA River Plate | 26 | 37:34 | 34 |
| 8 | Cerrito | 25 | 32:29 | 34 |
| 9 | La Luz | 25 | 24:27 | 34 |
| 10 | Sportivo Huracan | 26 | 27:33 | 34 |
| 11 | Fenix | 25 | 28:30 | 31 |
| 12 | Miramar | 25 | 26:31 | 30 |
| 13 | Tacuarembo | 25 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo | 25 | 23:36 | 22 |
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This match
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About the Uruguay Montevideo vs Oriental forecast
The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Uruguay Montevideo and Oriental in the Segunda División table
In the Segunda División table, Oriental are 1st and Uruguay Montevideo 6th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Uruguay Montevideo 7-5, Oriental 8-5. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.