CF Os Belenenses vs SC Covilha Prediction

25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.38
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-2.0%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.38
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
CF Os Belenenses Rest
6 days
SC Covilha Rest
14 days

CF Os Belenenses vs SC Covilha: the result in context

CF Os Belenenses and SC Covilha drew 1-1 in the Liga 3 on 25 Oct 2026. CF Os Belenenses had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for SC Covilha.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.8 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 2.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
69%1.38
X
21%4.13
2
10%7.50
Double Chance
1X
90%1.07
X2
31%2.77
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

36'A. Afonso
59'A. Afonso INE. Souza out
59'J. Herrera INDiego out
67'G. Cascalheira INT. Silva out
67'F. Cruz INDanny out
79'J. Pacheco INJailson out
80'Danny
90+3'

Team Comparison

CF Os BelenensesCF Os Belenenses
SC CovilhaSC Covilha
1666Elo Rating 1450
2.24Attack 0.46
1.59Defense 1.76
50%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+216 Elo

Game State Tendencies

CF Os BelenensesCF Os Belenenses
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SC CovilhaSC Covilha
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

CF Os BelenensesCF Os Belenenses2Wins · 50%
Draws250%
SC CovilhaSC Covilha0Wins · 0%
3.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
100%3+ goals4 of 4

Previous meetings

Liga 321/12/2025
SC CovilhaCF Os Belenenses
04
Liga 311/10/2025
CF Os BelenensesSC Covilha
30
Liga 313/12/2024
CF Os BelenensesSC Covilha
22
Liga 301/09/2024
SC CovilhaCF Os Belenenses
22

Recent Form

CF Os BelenensesCF Os Belenenses
7W2D1L
18/10/2026
CF Os BelenensesArouca
3343
L
11/10/2026
MafraCF Os Belenenses
22
D
19/09/2026
Beira-MarCF Os Belenenses
02
W
13/09/2026
CF Os BelenensesAtlético CP
10
W
06/09/2026
Vitória de SernacheCF Os Belenenses
13
W
30/08/2026
Lusitano Évora 1911CF Os Belenenses
12
W
22/08/2026
CF Os BelenensesUnião Santarém
50
W
15/08/2026
LouletanoCF Os Belenenses
13
W
08/08/2026
CF Os BelenensesCaldas
10
W
31/07/2026
CF Os BelenensesEstoril
11
D
SC CovilhaSC Covilha
1W5D4L
10/10/2026
SC CovilhaOliveirense
00
D
12/09/2026
Lusitano Évora 1911SC Covilha
22
D
05/09/2026
MafraSC Covilha
10
L
30/08/2026
SC CovilhaMortágua
0011
L
22/08/2026
SC CovilhaAtlético CP
03
L
16/08/2026
Vitória de SernacheSC Covilha
00
D
08/08/2026
SC CovilhaUnião Santarém
20
W
01/05/2026
SC CovilhaAmora
11
D
25/04/2026
CaldasSC Covilha
11
D
18/04/2026
Lusitano Évora 1911SC Covilha
10
L

League Table

Liga 3 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CF Os BelenensesCF Os Belenenses752016:5+1117DDWWW
2Atlético CPAtlético CP742114:6+814DWLWW
3OliveirenseOliveirense72419:9010DDWLW
4MafraMafra723214:10+49DDLWL
5LouletanoLouletano72239:10-18DLLWW
6CaldasCaldas72239:12-38DLWWL
7SC CovilhaSC Covilha71425:7-27DDDLL
8União SantarémUnião Santarém62136:10-47WWLLD
9Lusitano Évora 1911Lusitano Évora 191171336:10-46DLDLW
10Vitória de SernacheVitória de Sernache61144:13-94WLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CF Os BelenensesCF Os Belenenses716:517
2Atlético CPAtlético CP714:614
3OliveirenseOliveirense79:910
4MafraMafra714:109
5LouletanoLouletano79:108
6CaldasCaldas79:128
7SC CovilhaSC Covilha75:77
8União SantarémUnião Santarém66:107
9Lusitano Évora 1911Lusitano Évora 191176:106
10Vitória de SernacheVitória de Sernache64:134
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About the CF Os Belenenses vs SC Covilha forecast

The forecasts for this Liga 3 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

CF Os Belenenses and SC Covilha in the Liga 3 table

The table shows a wide gap: CF Os Belenenses are 1st in the Liga 3, while SC Covilha sit 7th, 10 points behind. League goal record so far: CF Os Belenenses 16-5, SC Covilha 5-7. The full standings are on the Liga 3 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.