União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache Prediction

Campo Cha das Padeiras, Santarem 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-6.9%
União Santarém Rest
11 days
Vitória de Sernache Rest
7 days

União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache: result, form and history

União Santarém beat Vitória de Sernache 2-1 in the Liga 3 on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.05
X
29%3.15
2
28%3.34
Double Chance
1X
72%1.25
X2
57%1.62
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'E. MouraAssist: A. Dias
40'R. MordomoAssist: B. Sousa
42'B. SousaAssist: Tiago Andre
61'K. Ibouka INJota out
61'A. Patricio INHenrique Cavalcante out
68'B. Sousa INS. Diarra out
68'Tiago Andre INL. Martins out
75'A. Soumare INJ. Nobrega out
75'E. Moura INH. Graca out

Team Comparison

União SantarémUnião Santarém
Vitória de SernacheVitória de Sernache
1518Elo Rating 1570
2.53Attack 1.03
2.15Defense 2.05
59%Hit Rate 69%

Game State Tendencies

União SantarémUnião Santarém
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.9 in first half)
Vitória de SernacheVitória de Sernache
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

União SantarémUnião Santarém2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Vitória de SernacheVitória de Sernache0Wins · 0%
2.5Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C07/04/2024
União SantarémVitória de Sernache
30
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C17/12/2023
Vitória de SernacheUnião Santarém
02

Recent Form

União SantarémUnião Santarém
3W3D4L
14/10/2026
União SantarémGIL Vicente
2232
L
09/10/2026
União SantarémLusitano Évora 1911
30
W
20/09/2026
União SantarémMerelinense
50
W
12/09/2026
LouletanoUnião Santarém
12
W
04/09/2026
União SantarémCaldas
01
L
22/08/2026
CF Os BelenensesUnião Santarém
50
L
14/08/2026
União SantarémOliveirense
11
D
08/08/2026
SC CovilhaUnião Santarém
20
L
31/07/2026
União SantarémAcademica
00
D
16/05/2026
União SantarémVarzim
22
D
Vitória de SernacheVitória de Sernache
4W1D5L
18/10/2026
BritoVitória de Sernache
01
W
10/10/2026
Vitória de SernacheLouletano
10
W
19/09/2026
Vitória de SernacheVarzim
21
W
13/09/2026
CaldasVitória de Sernache
20
L
06/09/2026
Vitória de SernacheCF Os Belenenses
13
L
30/08/2026
NazarenosVitória de Sernache
03
W
23/08/2026
OliveirenseVitória de Sernache
32
L
16/08/2026
Vitória de SernacheSC Covilha
00
D
08/08/2026
MafraVitória de Sernache
50
L
10/06/2026
LeçaVitória de Sernache
5141
L

League Table

Liga 3 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CF Os BelenensesCF Os Belenenses752016:5+1117DDWWW
2Atlético CPAtlético CP742114:6+814DWLWW
3OliveirenseOliveirense72419:9010DDWLW
4MafraMafra723214:10+49DDLWL
5LouletanoLouletano72239:10-18DLLWW
6CaldasCaldas72239:12-38DLWWL
7SC CovilhaSC Covilha71425:7-27DDDLL
8União SantarémUnião Santarém62136:10-47WWLLD
9Lusitano Évora 1911Lusitano Évora 191171336:10-46DLDLW
10Vitória de SernacheVitória de Sernache61144:13-94WLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CF Os BelenensesCF Os Belenenses716:517
2Atlético CPAtlético CP714:614
3OliveirenseOliveirense79:910
4MafraMafra714:109
5LouletanoLouletano79:108
6CaldasCaldas79:128
7SC CovilhaSC Covilha75:77
8União SantarémUnião Santarém66:107
9Lusitano Évora 1911Lusitano Évora 191176:106
10Vitória de SernacheVitória de Sernache64:134
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About the União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

União Santarém and Vitória de Sernache in the Liga 3 table

União Santarém and Vitória de Sernache are close in the Liga 3 table, 8th and 10th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: União Santarém 6-10, Vitória de Sernache 4-13. The full standings are on the Liga 3 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

União Santarém and Vitória de Sernache have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.