CFRJ / Maricá vs Boavista SC Prediction

CFRJ / Maricá
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Boavista SC
05/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.2 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalGOODModel37%SurpriseMediumGap+5.1%
CFRJ / Maricá Rest
14 days
Boavista SC Rest
13 days

CFRJ / Maricá vs Boavista SC: the result in context

CFRJ / Maricá beat Boavista SC 1-0 in the Copa Rio on 5 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.60
X
28%2.90
2
30%2.67
Double Chance
1X
70%1.40
X2
58%1.39
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.84
No
56%1.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.39
Over 2.5
38%2.21
Over 3.5
18%3.70
Under 1.5
36%2.67
Under 2.5
62%1.56
Under 3.5
82%1.19
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

22'
68'
72'
74'
75'
90'

Match Stats

CFRJ / MaricáBoavista SC
48%Ball Possession52%
3Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards3
5Total Shots13
2Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal9
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

CFRJ / MaricáCFRJ / Maricá
Boavista SCBoavista SC
1456Elo Rating 1491
1.10Attack 1.52
2.19Defense 2.77
56%Hit Rate 58%
12.9Shots per Game 7.8
4.2Shots on Target 3.5
4.5Corners per Game 4.3
3.0Cards per Game 4.5

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

CFRJ / MaricáCFRJ / Maricá
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
Boavista SCBoavista SC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

CFRJ / MaricáCFRJ / Maricá2Wins · 67%
Draws00%
Boavista SCBoavista SC1Wins · 33%
1.7Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie D05/07/2025
CFRJ / MaricáBoavista SC
10
Serie D10/05/2025
Boavista SCCFRJ / Maricá
21
Carioca - 115/01/2025
CFRJ / MaricáBoavista SC
10

Recent Form

CFRJ / MaricáCFRJ / Maricá
5W4D1L
22/07/2026
CFRJ / MaricáPérolas Negras
30
W
15/07/2026
Pérolas NegrasCFRJ / Maricá
00
D
04/07/2026
CFRJ / MaricáPérolas Negras
20
W
27/06/2026
Americano CamposCFRJ / Maricá
11
D
20/06/2026
CFRJ / MaricáAudax Rio
10
W
14/06/2026
Serrano RJCFRJ / Maricá
11
D
10/06/2026
CFRJ / MaricáBonsucesso
00
D
07/06/2026
Velo ClubeCFRJ / Maricá
31
L
30/05/2026
CFRJ / MaricáNova Iguaçu
10
W
27/05/2026
CFRJ / MaricáOlaria
21
W
Boavista SCBoavista SC
3W3D4L
22/07/2026
Boavista SCCEAC / Araruama
40
W
15/07/2026
CEAC / AraruamaBoavista SC
01
W
28/02/2026
BotafogoBoavista SC
00
D
24/02/2026
Boavista SCMaringá
23
L
22/02/2026
Boavista SCBotafogo
02
L
13/02/2026
MadureiraBoavista SC
21
L
08/02/2026
BanguBoavista SC
11
D
30/01/2026
Sampaio Corrêa RJBoavista SC
11
D
26/01/2026
Boavista SCVasco DA Gama
03
L
22/01/2026
Boavista SCPortuguesa RJ
32
W

Bracket

Round 1
Round 2
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Cabofriense0
Bonsucesso0
Olaria4
Duque de Caxias0
Americano Campos2
Macaé1
Pérolas Negras5
Santa Cruz RJ1
Resende8
SE Belford Roxo1
São Gonçalo EC RJ3
Serrano RJ2
América RJ0
Goytacaz0
Awarded
CEAC / Araruama14
São Cristóvão RJ13
On penalties
CFRJ / Maricá
Seeded
Portuguesa RJ
Seeded
Nova Iguaçu
Seeded
Madureira
Seeded
Bangu
Seeded
Boavista SC
Seeded
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Seeded
Volta Redonda
Seeded

About the CFRJ / Maricá vs Boavista SC forecast

As a knockout tie in the Copa Rio, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Copa Rio

More Copa Rio fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Rio Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Boavista SC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.