Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Madureira Prediction

16/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-4.3%
Sampaio Corrêa RJ Rest
14 days
Madureira Rest
14 days

Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Madureira: the result in context

Sampaio Corrêa RJ and Madureira drew 1-1 in the Copa Rio on 16 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Sampaio Corrêa RJ have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%2.04
X
27%2.94
2
23%3.44
Double Chance
1X
77%1.25
X2
50%1.62
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

22'Elias
55'

Match Stats

Sampaio Corrêa RJMadureira
53%Ball Possession47%
3Corner Kicks6
5Yellow Cards3
10Total Shots6
4Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal1
0Blocked Shots0

Team Comparison

Sampaio Corrêa RJSampaio Corrêa RJ
MadureiraMadureira
1525Elo Rating 1448
1.30Attack 0.37
2.24Defense 1.76
61%Hit Rate 0%
11.8Shots per Game 10.2
4.8Shots on Target 4.0
4.7Corners per Game 5.7
4.5Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sampaio Corrêa RJSampaio Corrêa RJ
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MadureiraMadureira
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Sampaio Corrêa RJSampaio Corrêa RJ4Wins · 80%
Draws00%
MadureiraMadureira1Wins · 20%
3.2Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored4 of 5
80%3+ goals4 of 5

Previous meetings

Carioca - 122/01/2026
MadureiraSampaio Corrêa RJ
21
Carioca - 115/03/2025
Sampaio Corrêa RJMadureira
42
Carioca - 112/03/2025
MadureiraSampaio Corrêa RJ
12
Carioca - 106/02/2025
MadureiraSampaio Corrêa RJ
01
Carioca - 114/02/2024
Sampaio Corrêa RJMadureira
21

Recent Form

Sampaio Corrêa RJSampaio Corrêa RJ
5W2D3L
02/09/2026
Sampaio Corrêa RJNova Iguaçu
21
W
26/08/2026
Nova IguaçuSampaio Corrêa RJ
20
L
12/08/2026
Sampaio Corrêa RJSão Gonçalo EC RJ
10
W
05/08/2026
São Gonçalo EC RJSampaio Corrêa RJ
00
D
23/07/2026
Sampaio Corrêa RJResende
20
W
16/07/2026
ResendeSampaio Corrêa RJ
01
W
27/06/2026
PortuguesaSampaio Corrêa RJ
10
L
20/06/2026
Sampaio Corrêa RJPortuguesa
11
D
07/06/2026
NoroesteSampaio Corrêa RJ
10
L
31/05/2026
Sampaio Corrêa RJVelo Clube
10
W
MadureiraMadureira
3W4D3L
02/09/2026
MadureiraBoavista SC
00
D
26/08/2026
Boavista SCMadureira
20
L
12/08/2026
MadureiraPortuguesa RJ
11
D
06/08/2026
Portuguesa RJMadureira
01
W
22/07/2026
MadureiraBonsucesso
3121
W
15/07/2026
BonsucessoMadureira
22
D
06/06/2026
MadureiraPouso Alegre
10
W
30/05/2026
Água SantaMadureira
41
L
23/05/2026
MadureiraPortuguesa RJ
11
D
16/05/2026
América RJMadureira
31
L

About the Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Madureira forecast

The forecasts for this Copa Rio match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Copa Rio

More Copa Rio fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Rio Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.