Charleroi vs OH Leuven Prediction

Charleroi
3-1
Finished
HT 1-1
OH Leuven
Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi·Michiel Allaerts, Belgium 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.86
SignalNEUTRALModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+7.2%
Charleroi Rest
7 days
OH Leuven Rest
7 days

Charleroi vs OH Leuven: the result in context

Charleroi beat OH Leuven 3-1 in the Jupiler Pro League on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.75
X
23%3.60
2
26%4.42
Double Chance
1X
74%1.20
X2
49%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.77
No
45%1.94
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 1.15 = 2.85
Over 1.5
81%1.27
Over 2.5
57%1.86
Over 3.5
32%3.25
Under 1.5
19%3.45
Under 2.5
43%1.91
Under 3.5
68%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'A. K. TraoreDiving
24'P. Guiagon(Penalty)
30'A. K. TraoreUnsportsmanlike conduct
31'A. OusouUnsportsmanlike conduct
39'O. GilAssist: W. George
45'C. IkwuemesiUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'A. Boukamir INI. Cisse out
47'Goal Disallowed - offsideC. Keita
59'K. Van Den Kerkhof
64'H. Teklab INT. Ogiwara out
64'O. Gil IND. Opoku out
68'P. Pflucke INA. Bojang out
70'W. George INL. Lakomy out
74'A. Scheidler INJ. Romsaas out
74'P. Guiagon INF. Mbemba out
76'W. Balikwisha INK. Vaesen out
76'C. Ikwuemesi INS. Yamada out
79'F. MbembaAssist: I. Cisse
83'A. Bernier INA. Colassin out

Lineups

Charleroi
4-2-3-1Coach: Mario Kohnen
OH Leuven
3-4-3Coach: Felice Mazzu
Avg rating7.25
Avg rating6.63
Mohamed Koné6.330M. Koné
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof7.93K. Van Den Kerkhof
Aiham OusouC7.94A. Ousou
Cheick Keita6.995C. Keita
Mardochee Nzita6.924M. Nzita
Amine Boukamir6.76A. Boukamir
Yassine Khalifi7.718Y. Khalifi
Antoine Bernier7.917A. Bernier
Patrick Pflücke6.914P. Pflücke
Parfait Guiagon8.210P. Guiagon
Aurélien Scheidler6.721A. Scheidler
Dani van den Heuvel8.916D. van den Heuvel
Ewoud Pletinckx6.528E. Pletinckx
Noë Dussenne6.73N. Dussenne
Roggerio Nyakossi6.634R. Nyakossi
Óscar Gil7.327Ó. Gil
Wouter George6.96W. George
Siebe SchrijversC6.98S. Schrijvers
Henok Teklab6.611H. Teklab
William Balikwisha6.921W. Balikwisha
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi6.019C. Ikwuemesi
Abdoul Karim Traoré5.09A. Karim Traoré

Charleroi Substitutes

19Isaac Ismaël Cissé46'for A. Boukamir7.2
9Adama Bojang68'for P. Pflucke6.7
1Martin Delavallée
44Massamba Sow
65Rafaël Teugels
33Noah Solheid
8Jakob Napoleon Romsaas74'for A. Scheidler6.6
20Freddy Mbemba74'for P. Guiagon79'8.3
25Antoine Colassin83'for A. Bernier

OH Leuven Substitutes

26Takuya Ogiwara64'for H. Teklab6.2
99Davis Opoku64'for O. Gil6.5
1Tobe Leysen
5Jamie Lawrence
24Łukasz Łakomy70'replaced by W. George6.3
48Bryang Kayo
72Sebastian Murru
4Birger Verstraete
17Kyan Vaesen76'for W. Balikwisha6.3
20Shin Yamada76'for C. Ikwuemesi6.5

Match Stats

CharleroiOH Leuven
58%Ball Possession42%
6Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
24Total Shots12
10Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal6
18Shots Inside Box9
6Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots3
7Fouls13
5Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves6
496Total Passes341
419Passes Accurate267
84%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

CharleroiCharleroi
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
1693Elo Rating 1549
1.94Attack 1.64
1.49Defense 2.11
58%Hit Rate 61%
15.4Shots per Game 17.9
6.0Shots on Target 4.2
4.9Corners per Game 6.4
3.1Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+145 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

CharleroiCharleroi
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CharleroiCharleroi2Wins · 20%
Draws550%
OH LeuvenOH Leuven3Wins · 30%
1.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Jupiler Pro League19/05/2026
CharleroiOH Leuven
11
Jupiler Pro League25/04/2026
OH LeuvenCharleroi
02
Jupiler Pro League14/03/2026
CharleroiOH Leuven
02
Jupiler Pro League27/07/2025
OH LeuvenCharleroi
22
Jupiler Pro League24/05/2025
CharleroiOH Leuven
21
Jupiler Pro League28/03/2025
OH LeuvenCharleroi
00
Jupiler Pro League14/12/2024
OH LeuvenCharleroi
10
Jupiler Pro League26/10/2024
CharleroiOH Leuven
02
Jupiler Pro League17/02/2024
OH LeuvenCharleroi
00
Jupiler Pro League29/07/2023
CharleroiOH Leuven
11

Recent Form

CharleroiCharleroi
4W3D3L
01/08/2026
CharleroiRayo Vallecano
23
L
25/07/2026
CharleroiSeraing United
21
W
25/07/2026
LensCharleroi
22
D
17/07/2026
FeyenoordCharleroi
31
L
11/07/2026
CharleroiReims
22
D
23/05/2026
Standard LiegeCharleroi
02
W
19/05/2026
CharleroiOH Leuven
11
D
16/05/2026
CharleroiKVC Westerlo
01
L
10/05/2026
AntwerpCharleroi
01
W
02/05/2026
CharleroiGenk
20
W
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
3W3D4L
01/08/2026
OH LeuvenLille
36
L
25/07/2026
HeerenveenOH Leuven
44
D
24/07/2026
Club Brugge IIOH Leuven
30
L
18/07/2026
OH LeuvenK. Lierse S.K.
10
W
15/07/2026
OH LeuvenLommel United
51
W
11/07/2026
Olympiakos PiraeusOH Leuven
11
D
23/05/2026
OH LeuvenGenk
02
L
19/05/2026
CharleroiOH Leuven
11
D
15/05/2026
OH LeuvenAntwerp
30
W
08/05/2026
Standard LiegeOH Leuven
21
L

Referee Profile

Michiel Allaerts87 matches

4.27Cards per match
4.09Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Michiel Allaerts4.27
Other referees4.36

4.27 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.36).

Cards come from 56 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise1192030:7+2329WWWDW
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV1191127:9+1828DWWWW
3GentGent1191120:6+1428WLWWW
4CharleroiCharleroi1190226:13+1327WWLWW
5AnderlechtAnderlecht1162314:12+220DWLWW
6Lommel UnitedLommel United1144315:13+216DWDWD
7GenkGenk1143418:15+315LLWWL
8Standard LiegeStandard Liege1143418:16+215WDLLL
9KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo1142526:30-414LLDWW
10OH LeuvenOH Leuven1133512:17-512WWDDW
11KV MechelenKV Mechelen1133513:20-712LWWWD
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden1132622:22011WLLLL
13AntwerpAntwerp1132618:24-611DLWLL
14Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem1132613:20-711LLLLL
15SK BeverenSK Beveren1131713:23-1010LLDLL
16Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge1123614:22-89WWLLL
17RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière1121813:24-117LLWLL
18KortrijkKortrijk111194:23-194LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise1130:729
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV1127:928
3GentGent1120:628
4CharleroiCharleroi1126:1327
5AnderlechtAnderlecht1114:1220
6Lommel UnitedLommel United1115:1316
7GenkGenk1118:1515
8Standard LiegeStandard Liege1118:1615
9KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo1126:3014
10OH LeuvenOH Leuven1112:1712
11KV MechelenKV Mechelen1113:2012
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden1122:2211
13AntwerpAntwerp1118:2411
14Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem1113:2011
15SK BeverenSK Beveren1113:2310
16Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge1114:229
17RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière1113:247
18KortrijkKortrijk114:234
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About the Charleroi vs OH Leuven forecast

The forecasts for this Jupiler Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Charleroi and OH Leuven in the Jupiler Pro League table

In the Jupiler Pro League table, Charleroi are 4th and OH Leuven 10th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Charleroi 26-13, OH Leuven 12-17. The full standings are on the Jupiler Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.