Gent vs KV Mechelen Prediction

Gent
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
KV Mechelen
Planet Group Arena, Gent·Eric Lambrechts, Belgium 09/08/2026
GentGent
2-0
Finished
KV MechelenKV Mechelen

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.87
SignalSOLIDModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+8.2%
Gent Rest
2 days
KV Mechelen Rest
7 days

Gent vs KV Mechelen: the result in context

Gent beat KV Mechelen 2-0 in the Jupiler Pro League on 9 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Gent had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for KV Mechelen.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.1 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.96
X
22%3.50
2
19%3.60
Double Chance
1X
82%1.28
X2
41%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.70
No
46%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.96 + 0.98 = 2.94
Over 1.5
81%1.25
Over 2.5
58%1.87
Over 3.5
32%3.11
Under 1.5
19%3.60
Under 2.5
42%1.93
Under 3.5
68%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

28'G. Diouf INK. Corbanie out
37'T. Araujo
45'J. VergaraAssist: M. Sonko
46'C. Burgess INM. Paskotsi out
46'B. Raman INM. Lohunanu-Mbasi out
71'T. De Vlieger INM. Delorge-Knieper out
71'A. Kadri INH. Goore out
76'J. Marsa INI. Struyf out
77'D. Praet INM. Kireev out
80'J. Vergara INI. Cisse out
85'Massimo DecoeneFoul
86'B. Bafdili INC. Van Meirvenne out

Lineups

Gent
3-4-2-1Coach: Rik De Mil
KV Mechelen
4-2-3-1Coach: Frederic Vanderbiest
Avg rating7.21
Avg rating6.57
D. RoefC7.333D. Roef
M. Ngom7.25M. Ngom
C. Burgess7.016C. Burgess
S. Van Der Heyden7.244S. Van Der Heyden
M. Volckaert57M. Volckaert
T. De Vlieger7.527T. De Vlieger
L. Lopes7.222L. Lopes
T. Araujo8.220T. Araujo
A. Kadri6.937A. Kadri
M. Sonko7.511M. Sonko
J. Vergara7.947J. Vergara
N. Miras8.213N. Miras
M. Decoene6.739M. Decoene
G. Diouf7.24G. Diouf
J. Marsa6.63J. Marsa
M. Zekri6.023M. Zekri
F. HammarC6.36F. Hammar
D. Salifou6.28D. Salifou
B. Bafdili6.311B. Bafdili
D. Praet6.626D. Praet
M. van Brederode6.59M. van Brederode
B. Raman6.314B. Raman

Gent Substitutes

30K. Peersman
17M. Delorge-Knieper71'for T. De Vlieger7.0
56M. Diallo
45H. Goore71'for A. Kadri6.9
8L. Benes
3M. Paskotsi46'for C. Burgess6.9
28M. El Adfaoui
59E. H. Seck
75I. Cisse80'for J. Vergara6.3

KV Mechelen Substitutes

1O. De Wolf
27K. Vanrafelghem
20K. Corbanie28'for G. Diouf6.2
7T. Koudou
10M. Kireev77'for D. Praet6.3
40A. Ouahabi
17C. Van Meirvenne86'for B. Bafdili
18I. Struyf76'for J. Marsa6.7
19M. Lohunanu-Mbasi46'for B. Raman6.7

Match Stats

GentKV Mechelen
53%Ball Possession47%
4Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots5
8Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal2
10Shots Inside Box3
5Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots1
11Fouls11
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves6
514Total Passes460
437Passes Accurate381
85%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

GentGent
KV MechelenKV Mechelen
1723Elo Rating 1594
1.20Attack 2.67
1.79Defense 2.04
19%Hit Rate 86%
13.7Shots per Game 11.2
3.8Shots on Target 4.8
4.2Corners per Game 3.7
1.8Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+129 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

GentGent
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
KV MechelenKV Mechelen
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 1.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

GentGent5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
KV MechelenKV Mechelen2Wins · 20%
3.1Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Jupiler Pro League03/05/2026
KV MechelenGent
10
Jupiler Pro League06/04/2026
GentKV Mechelen
11
Jupiler Pro League08/03/2026
GentKV Mechelen
31
Jupiler Pro League16/08/2025
KV MechelenGent
11
Jupiler Pro League07/02/2025
KV MechelenGent
33
Jupiler Pro League15/09/2024
GentKV Mechelen
20
Jupiler Pro League04/05/2024
KV MechelenGent
24
Jupiler Pro League20/04/2024
GentKV Mechelen
31
Jupiler Pro League19/01/2024
GentKV Mechelen
12
Jupiler Pro League06/08/2023
KV MechelenGent
01

Recent Form

GentGent
6W3D1L
06/08/2026
IFK GoteborgGent
01
W
30/07/2026
GentLNZ Cherkasy
4020
W
23/07/2026
LNZ CherkasyGent
00
D
18/07/2026
TwenteGent
02
W
11/07/2026
GentSK Beveren
40
W
04/07/2026
AZ AlkmaarGent
33
D
27/06/2026
MerelbekeGent
16
W
31/05/2026
GentGenk
5040
W
24/05/2026
Club Brugge KVGent
50
L
21/05/2026
GentUnion St. Gilloise
00
D
KV MechelenKV Mechelen
3W3D4L
01/08/2026
KV MechelenDunkerque
00
D
25/07/2026
Willem IIKV Mechelen
10
L
18/07/2026
KV MechelenADO Den Haag
23
L
15/07/2026
HeistKV Mechelen
01
W
11/07/2026
Sporting HasseltKV Mechelen
12
W
04/07/2026
KV MechelenRupel Boom
30
W
24/05/2026
St. TruidenKV Mechelen
30
L
21/05/2026
KV MechelenClub Brugge KV
22
D
17/05/2026
AnderlechtKV Mechelen
22
D
10/05/2026
Union St. GilloiseKV Mechelen
30
L

Referee Profile

Eric Lambrechts166 matches

4.24Cards per match
4.05Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Eric Lambrechts4.24
Other referees4.21

4.24 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.21).

Cards come from 143 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise1192030:7+2329WWWDW
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV1191127:9+1828DWWWW
3GentGent1191120:6+1428WLWWW
4CharleroiCharleroi1190226:13+1327WWLWW
5AnderlechtAnderlecht1162314:12+220DWLWW
6Lommel UnitedLommel United1144315:13+216DWDWD
7GenkGenk1143418:15+315LLWWL
8Standard LiegeStandard Liege1143418:16+215WDLLL
9KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo1142526:30-414LLDWW
10OH LeuvenOH Leuven1133512:17-512WWDDW
11KV MechelenKV Mechelen1133513:20-712LWWWD
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden1132622:22011WLLLL
13AntwerpAntwerp1132618:24-611DLWLL
14Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem1132613:20-711LLLLL
15SK BeverenSK Beveren1131713:23-1010LLDLL
16Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge1123614:22-89WWLLL
17RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière1121813:24-117LLWLL
18KortrijkKortrijk111194:23-194LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise1130:729
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV1127:928
3GentGent1120:628
4CharleroiCharleroi1126:1327
5AnderlechtAnderlecht1114:1220
6Lommel UnitedLommel United1115:1316
7GenkGenk1118:1515
8Standard LiegeStandard Liege1118:1615
9KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo1126:3014
10OH LeuvenOH Leuven1112:1712
11KV MechelenKV Mechelen1113:2012
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden1122:2211
13AntwerpAntwerp1118:2411
14Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem1113:2011
15SK BeverenSK Beveren1113:2310
16Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge1114:229
17RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière1113:247
18KortrijkKortrijk114:234
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Gent vs KV Mechelen forecast

The forecasts for this Jupiler Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gent and KV Mechelen in the Jupiler Pro League table

In the Jupiler Pro League table, Gent are 3rd and KV Mechelen 11th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Gent 20-6, KV Mechelen 13-20. The full standings are on the Jupiler Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

KV Mechelen have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.