Charlotte Independence vs Naples Prediction

American Legion Memorial Stadium 14/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.32
SignalSTRONGModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+5.6%
Value Analysis
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.32
SignalSTRONGModel41%SurpriseHighGap+13.2%
Charlotte Independence Rest
2 days
Naples Rest
6 days

Charlotte Independence vs Naples: the result in context

Charlotte Independence beat Naples 4-3 in the USL League One on 14 Jun 2026. It was in line with recent form: Charlotte Independence had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Naples.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 1.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.60
X
25%3.70
2
22%4.75
Double Chance
1X
78%1.14
X2
47%2.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.77
No
56%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.22
Over 2.5
38%1.80
Over 3.5
19%2.83
Under 1.5
36%3.42
Under 2.5
62%1.89
Under 3.5
81%1.32
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'L. Alvarez
9'M. Torrellas
21'W. ArevaloAssist: K. O'Connor
46'W. Arevalo INA. Mesias out
46'P. Saydee INJ. Fuchs out
59'S. MarouAssist: C. Jaime
61'T. Gray INH. Gay out
65'R. Manin
67'A. Ferrin IND. Bachstein out
68'L. Mastrantonio
71'E. Martinez INV. Ortiz out
71'J. Bakero INC. Manzinga out
72'L. Alvarez
77'M. Torrellas INI. Cerro out
78'C. Garcia INJ. Yoder out
82'L. AlvarezAssist: C. Jaime
85'S. Marou INM. Lyons out
86'V. OrtizAssist: L. Alvarez
87'L. Alvarez INJ. Neeley out
89'G. MigliettiAssist: K. O'Connor
90+3'J. Fuchs

Team Comparison

Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
NaplesNaples
1592Elo Rating 1490
3.08Attack 1.53
1.53Defense 1.26
77%Hit Rate 73%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+101 Elo
📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
NaplesNaples
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence1Wins · 33%
Draws00%
NaplesNaples2Wins · 67%
3.0Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

USL League One04/06/2026
NaplesCharlotte Independence
15
USL League One26/10/2025
NaplesCharlotte Independence
20
USL League One13/09/2025
Charlotte IndependenceNaples
01

Recent Form

Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
7W1D2L
11/06/2026
Charlotte IndependenceUnion Omaha
20
W
04/06/2026
NaplesCharlotte Independence
15
W
31/05/2026
Chattanooga Red WolvesCharlotte Independence
23
W
24/05/2026
Charlotte IndependenceForward Madison
31
W
16/05/2026
Charlotte IndependencePittsburgh Riverhounds
4121
W
10/05/2026
Corpus ChristiCharlotte Independence
13
W
07/05/2026
Charlotte IndependenceBoise
10
W
03/05/2026
Fort WayneCharlotte Independence
22
D
19/04/2026
One KnoxvilleCharlotte Independence
21
L
16/04/2026
CharlotteCharlotte Independence
60
L
NaplesNaples
2W1D7L
07/06/2026
NaplesSarasota Paradise
02
L
04/06/2026
NaplesCharlotte Independence
15
L
31/05/2026
Union OmahaNaples
21
L
24/05/2026
NaplesWestchester SC
10
W
17/05/2026
NaplesSporting JAX
3111
W
14/05/2026
BoiseNaples
20
L
11/05/2026
Spokane VelocityNaples
21
L
03/05/2026
NaplesOne Knoxville
03
L
19/04/2026
Portland Hearts of PineNaples
11
D
16/04/2026
NaplesOrlando City SC
01
L

League Table

USL League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence32206674:46+2866LWWWD
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha32195854:34+2062DLLWW
3BoiseBoise32177851:41+1058WWWWL
4Forward MadisonForward Madison32168854:30+2456DWLDL
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity321661050:44+654LDWLW
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville32159852:36+1654WLWLD
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves321451351:45+647DLLWL
8NaplesNaples321441439:46-746WWWWW
9Fort WayneFort Wayne321291147:42+545LLWWD
10Westchester SCWestchester SC321171455:51+440DWWWD
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise321171449:51-240DLWWL
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi329101336:51-1537DLLLL
13AltaAlta328101440:48-834DLDLL
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine328101448:58-1034WLLDL
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph32861837:60-2330WLWDL
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos32761940:66-2627DDLLL
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers32752037:65-2826LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence3274:4666
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha3254:3462
3BoiseBoise3251:4158
4Forward MadisonForward Madison3254:3056
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity3250:4454
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville3252:3654
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves3251:4547
8NaplesNaples3239:4646
9Fort WayneFort Wayne3247:4245
10Westchester SCWestchester SC3255:5140
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise3249:5140
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi3236:5137
13AltaAlta3240:4834
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine3248:5834
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph3237:6030
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos3240:6627
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers3237:6526
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About the Charlotte Independence vs Naples forecast

The forecasts for this USL League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Charlotte Independence and Naples in the USL League One table

In the USL League One table, Charlotte Independence are 1st and Naples 8th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: Charlotte Independence 74-46, Naples 39-46. The full standings are on the USL League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Charlotte Independence have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.