Charlotte Independence vs Union Omaha Prediction

American Legion Memorial Stadium 11/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.56
SignalSTRONGModel32%SurpriseHighGap+16.7%
Charlotte Independence Rest
7 days
Union Omaha Rest
3 days

Charlotte Independence vs Union Omaha: result, form and history

Charlotte Independence beat Union Omaha 2-0 in the USL League One on 11 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%2.02
X
28%3.62
2
44%2.96
Double Chance
1X
56%1.32
X2
72%1.66
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.43
No
56%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.11
Over 2.5
39%1.47
Over 3.5
19%2.21
Under 1.5
37%4.67
Under 2.5
61%2.38
Under 3.5
81%1.56
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'R. Manin
34'S. MarouAssist: P. Saydee
41'Gabriel Cabral
42'S. Marou
46'A. Gavilanes INS. Ors Navarro out
53'L. Alvarez
67'P. Botello Faz INA. Gomez out
71'S. Ors Navarro(Penalty missed)
75'S. Marou INC. Manzinga out
76'P. Saydee INM. Lyons out
76'E. Martinez INF. Ngah out
76'Gabriel Cabral INE. Caceres out
76'K. Tekiela INC. Lawrence out
86'J. Bakero INJ. Fuchs out
89'B. Malone INJ. Orson out
90+1'L. Alvarez INJ. Neeley out
90+2'M. Levy
90+4'

Team Comparison

Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
Union OmahaUnion Omaha
1592Elo Rating 1601
3.08Attack 0.89
1.53Defense 2.03
77%Hit Rate 14%

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Union OmahaUnion Omaha
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence1Wins · 10%
Draws440%
Union OmahaUnion Omaha5Wins · 50%
2.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

USL League One21/08/2025
Union OmahaCharlotte Independence
41
USL League One13/07/2025
Charlotte IndependenceUnion Omaha
12
USL League One18/05/2024
Charlotte IndependenceUnion Omaha
14
USL League One20/04/2024
Union OmahaCharlotte Independence
00
USL League One28/10/2023
Union OmahaCharlotte Independence
4050
USL League One05/10/2023
Union OmahaCharlotte Independence
41
USL League One03/06/2023
Charlotte IndependenceUnion Omaha
30
USL League One20/04/2023
Charlotte IndependenceUnion Omaha
00
USL League One18/08/2022
Union OmahaCharlotte Independence
21
USL League One02/07/2022
Union OmahaCharlotte Independence
00

Recent Form

Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
6W1D3L
04/06/2026
NaplesCharlotte Independence
15
W
31/05/2026
Chattanooga Red WolvesCharlotte Independence
23
W
24/05/2026
Charlotte IndependenceForward Madison
31
W
16/05/2026
Charlotte IndependencePittsburgh Riverhounds
4121
W
10/05/2026
Corpus ChristiCharlotte Independence
13
W
07/05/2026
Charlotte IndependenceBoise
10
W
03/05/2026
Fort WayneCharlotte Independence
22
D
19/04/2026
One KnoxvilleCharlotte Independence
21
L
16/04/2026
CharlotteCharlotte Independence
60
L
04/04/2026
NY CosmosCharlotte Independence
32
L
Union OmahaUnion Omaha
6W1D3L
07/06/2026
Union OmahaFort Wayne
42
W
31/05/2026
Union OmahaNaples
21
W
28/05/2026
NY CosmosUnion Omaha
12
W
24/05/2026
Union OmahaChattanooga Red Wolves
20
W
17/05/2026
Union OmahaLouisville City
15
L
14/05/2026
One KnoxvilleUnion Omaha
12
W
10/05/2026
Union OmahaPortland Hearts of Pine
22
D
03/05/2026
Union OmahaGreenville Triumph
20
W
19/04/2026
Richmond KickersUnion Omaha
21
L
15/04/2026
Colorado RapidsUnion Omaha
10
L

League Table

USL League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence32206674:46+2866LWWWD
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha32195854:34+2062DLLWW
3BoiseBoise32177851:41+1058WWWWL
4Forward MadisonForward Madison32168854:30+2456DWLDL
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity321661050:44+654LDWLW
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville32159852:36+1654WLWLD
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves321451351:45+647DLLWL
8NaplesNaples321441439:46-746WWWWW
9Fort WayneFort Wayne321291147:42+545LLWWD
10Westchester SCWestchester SC321171455:51+440DWWWD
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise321171449:51-240DLWWL
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi329101336:51-1537DLLLL
13AltaAlta328101440:48-834DLDLL
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine328101448:58-1034WLLDL
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph32861837:60-2330WLWDL
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos32761940:66-2627DDLLL
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers32752037:65-2826LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence3274:4666
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha3254:3462
3BoiseBoise3251:4158
4Forward MadisonForward Madison3254:3056
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity3250:4454
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville3252:3654
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves3251:4547
8NaplesNaples3239:4646
9Fort WayneFort Wayne3247:4245
10Westchester SCWestchester SC3255:5140
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise3249:5140
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi3236:5137
13AltaAlta3240:4834
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine3248:5834
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph3237:6030
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos3240:6627
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers3237:6526
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About the Charlotte Independence vs Union Omaha forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Charlotte Independence and Union Omaha in the USL League One table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Charlotte Independence are 1st in the USL League One, 4 points ahead of Union Omaha in 2nd. League goal record so far: Charlotte Independence 74-46, Union Omaha 54-34. The full standings are on the USL League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Charlotte Independence have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.