Chorley vs Hereford Prediction

Chorley
1-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Hereford
Victory Park, Chorley 07/11/2026
ChorleyChorley
1-2
Finished
HerefordHereford

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel38%SurpriseHighGap-4.7%
Chorley Rest
7 days
Hereford Rest
7 days

Chorley vs Hereford: result, form and history

Hereford beat Chorley 2-1 in the National League - North on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.63
X
27%3.41
2
35%2.36
Double Chance
1X
65%1.50
X2
62%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.58
No
42%2.21
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 1.2 = 2.80
Over 1.5
76%1.20
Over 2.5
54%1.70
Over 3.5
33%2.65
Under 1.5
24%3.86
Under 2.5
46%2.03
Under 3.5
67%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

54'E. Taylor
63'C. Cox
82'C. Cox

Team Comparison

ChorleyChorley
HerefordHereford
1543Elo Rating 1552
1.52Attack 0.53
1.57Defense 1.46
37%Hit Rate 19%
10.0Shots per Game -
7.0Shots on Target -
7.0Corners per Game -
3.0Cards per Game -

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

ChorleyChorley
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
HerefordHereford
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ChorleyChorley5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
HerefordHereford3Wins · 30%
2.8Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

National League - North20/12/2025
ChorleyHereford
42
National League - North23/08/2025
HerefordChorley
14
National League - North14/12/2024
HerefordChorley
10
National League - North17/08/2024
ChorleyHereford
11
National League - North09/03/2024
HerefordChorley
01
National League - North28/10/2023
ChorleyHereford
12
National League - North07/03/2023
ChorleyHereford
20
National League - North06/12/2022
HerefordChorley
11
National League - North29/01/2022
ChorleyHereford
32
National League - North06/11/2021
HerefordChorley
10

Recent Form

ChorleyChorley
6W1D3L
31/10/2026
Spennymoor TownChorley
20
L
27/10/2026
RadcliffeChorley
03
W
24/10/2026
ChorleyBuxton
23
L
17/10/2026
ChorleyWorcester City
11
D
10/10/2026
ChorleyAFC Telford United
21
W
03/10/2026
Barton Town Old BoysChorley
14
W
26/09/2026
ChorleySpalding United
21
W
19/09/2026
RylandsChorley
01
W
12/09/2026
King's Lynn TownChorley
20
L
08/09/2026
ChorleyDarlington 1883
52
W
HerefordHereford
5W1D4L
31/10/2026
HerefordKing's Lynn Town
03
L
27/10/2026
HerefordAFC Telford United
01
L
24/10/2026
MacclesfieldHereford
12
W
10/10/2026
HerefordHednesford Town
01
L
26/09/2026
Bedford TownHereford
11
D
19/09/2026
Stafford RangersHereford
32
L
12/09/2026
HerefordSouth Shields
60
W
08/09/2026
Harborough TownHereford
03
W
05/09/2026
HerefordSpennymoor Town
21
W
31/08/2026
SouthportHereford
01
W

League Table

National League - North 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1South ShieldsSouth Shields15102330:20+1032WWWWL
2HerefordHereford1592426:12+1429WLLWL
3Oxford CityOxford City1483326:11+1527LWDWD
4MacclesfieldMacclesfield1383221:11+1027WLWWD
5Hednesford TownHednesford Town1683530:22+827WWLWW
6King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn Town1683527:21+627WWLDD
7BuxtonBuxton1683532:27+527DWWWD
8ChesterChester1582518:14+426WLWLW
9MorecambeMorecambe1572623:18+523LWWWL
10Bedford TownBedford Town1471617:19-222LWWLD
11AFC Telford UnitedAFC Telford United1664618:22-422WWWDW
12Spalding UnitedSpalding United1563620:17+321LWDLL
13ChorleyChorley1562724:25-120LLWLW
14Worksop TownWorksop Town1562720:21-120LWDDW
15Hebburn TownHebburn Town1555520:28-820LDDLL
16Merthyr TownMerthyr Town1647522:23-119WDLLD
17Brackley TownBrackley Town1654718:27-919LWDLL
18Harborough TownHarborough Town1445513:17-417DLDWL
19Scarborough AthleticScarborough Athletic1544721:22-116DLLWL
20MarineMarine1451817:19-216LLDWW
21RadcliffeRadcliffe1551919:27-816DLWWW
22Darlington 1883Darlington 188315321019:28-911LLWLD
23SouthportSouthport1524915:30-1510LLDLL
24Spennymoor TownSpennymoor Town1524914:29-1510LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1South ShieldsSouth Shields1530:2032
2HerefordHereford1526:1229
3Oxford CityOxford City1426:1127
4MacclesfieldMacclesfield1321:1127
5Hednesford TownHednesford Town1630:2227
6King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn Town1627:2127
7BuxtonBuxton1632:2727
8ChesterChester1518:1426
9MorecambeMorecambe1523:1823
10Bedford TownBedford Town1417:1922
11AFC Telford UnitedAFC Telford United1618:2222
12Spalding UnitedSpalding United1520:1721
13ChorleyChorley1524:2520
14Worksop TownWorksop Town1520:2120
15Hebburn TownHebburn Town1520:2820
16Merthyr TownMerthyr Town1622:2319
17Brackley TownBrackley Town1618:2719
18Harborough TownHarborough Town1413:1717
19Scarborough AthleticScarborough Athletic1521:2216
20MarineMarine1417:1916
21RadcliffeRadcliffe1519:2716
22Darlington 1883Darlington 18831519:2811
23SouthportSouthport1515:3010
24Spennymoor TownSpennymoor Town1514:2910
PromotionRelegation

About the Chorley vs Hereford forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Chorley and Hereford in the National League - North table

In the National League - North table, Hereford are 2nd and Chorley 13th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Chorley 24-25, Hereford 26-12. The full standings are on the National League - North Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Chorley have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.