Cienciano vs FBC Melgar Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 1
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco 18/07/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.24SignalSOLIDModel53%RiskMediumGap-3.6%
Value Analysis
53%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
2.15SignalGOODModel50%RiskMediumGap+10.2%
Cienciano Rest
7 days
FBC Melgar Rest
18 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
151%1.92
X26%3.50
223%3.72
Double Chance
1X77%1.24
X249%1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes54%1.64
No46%2.14
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 1.02 = 2.50
Over 1.571%1.22
Over 2.548%1.73
Over 3.530%2.78
Under 1.529%3.85
Under 2.552%2.00
Under 3.570%1.39
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.4 = 9.1
Over 8.552%1.83
Over 9.537%2.32
Over 10.528%3.14
Under 8.548%1.85
Under 9.563%1.54
Under 10.572%1.29
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.2 = 4.3
Over 3.560%-
Over 4.542%-
Under 3.540%-
Under 4.558%-
Match Events
6'N. Bandiera INA. Robles out
11'N. QuagliataFoul
22'A. HohbergAssist: G. Barreto
28'A. HohbergUnsportsmanlike conduct
36'N. Quagliata(Penalty)
59'A. Robles INC. Cabello out
61'C. BordacaharFoul
61'N. Cabanillas INJ. Vidales out
65'K. Becerra INR. Aguilar out
66'C. Garces INM. Succar out
75'C. Bordacahar INJ. Caceres out
77'W. TandazoFoul
80'J. CaceresAssist: B. Cuesta
88'B. Cuesta INA. Deneumostier out
90'M. Zegarra INJ. D'Arrigo out
90'M. RondelliUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+1'L. GonzalezDelay of game
90+5'J. VidalesAssist: M. Lazo
90+8'M. MartinichFoul
Lineups
CiencianoFBC Melgar
4-2-3-1Coach: Miguel Rondelli
31Í. EspinozaÍtalo Espinoza
13C. NunezClaudio Nunez
4M. AmondarainMaximiliano Amondarain
3K. BecerraKevin Becerra
7C. SouzaCristian Souza
5S. AriasSantiago Arias
88G. BarretoGerson Barreto
16M. MartinichMarcos Martinich
10A. HohbergAlejandro Hohberg
11N. BandieraNeri Bandiera
21C. GarcésCarlos Garcés
21J. CabezudoJorge Cabezudo
33M. LazoMatías Lazo
23J. EscobarJuan Escobar
3L. GonzálezLeonel González
27N. CabanillasNelson Cabanillas
25K. MindaKevin Minda
24W. TandazoWalter Tandazo
7C. BordacaharCristian Bordacahar
10N. QuagliataNicolás Quagliata
45M. ZegarraMatías Zegarra
9B. CuestaBernardo CuestaCienciano Substitutes
29Ademar RoblesM
22Carlos CabelloD
26Rotceh AguilarD
19Matías SuccarF
1Gonzalo FalcónG
27Alonso YoveraD
14Sebastian CaveroD
8Gonzalo AguirreM
18Didier La TorreF
FBC Melgar Substitutes
11Jhonny VidalesF
16Jefferson CaceresM
5Alec DeneumostierD
80Jhamir D'ArrigoM
12Carlos CácedaG
90Jesus AlcantarD
14Yimy GameroM
26Marcos PortilloM
8Lautaro GuzmánF
Match Stats
CiencianoFBC Melgar 34%Ball Possession66%
2Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
13Total Shots19
5Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal9
6Shots Inside Box14
7Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots6
5Fouls10
0Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves4
260Total Passes523
184Passes Accurate449
71%Pass Accuracy86%
Team Comparison
CiencianoFBC Melgar1637Elo Rating 1673
2.05Attack 1.55
1.18Defense 2.64
50%Hit Rate 64%
19.7Shots per Game 15.6
6.8Shots on Target 6.2
5.7Corners per Game 4.5
2.6Cards per Game 1.6
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend58% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Cienciano- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
FBC Melgar- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
Head to Head
Based on 5 historical meetings
Cienciano 14%Draw 27%59% FBC Melgar
2.45Avg Goals
58%BTTS Rate
31%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Cienciano4W0D1L
10/07/2026Cienciano
ADT
CiencianoADT23
L29/06/2026
CuscoCienciano
CuscoCienciano12
W22/06/2026Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
14/06/2026CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso21
W
Deportivo BinacionalCienciano02
W01/06/2026Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
CiencianoSporting Cristal32
WFBC Melgar1W3D1L
29/06/2026FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
FBC MelgarUCV Moquegua00
D18/06/2026
LDU de QuitoFBC Melgar
LDU de QuitoFBC Melgar00
D12/06/2026
Tacna HeroicaFBC Melgar
Tacna HeroicaFBC Melgar32
L31/05/2026FBC Melgar
Alianza Atletico
FBC MelgarAlianza Atletico31
W22/05/2026
Juan Pablo II CollegeFBC Melgar
Juan Pablo II CollegeFBC Melgar11
DLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:18 | +24 | 53 | LWDWW |
| 2 |  Universitario | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:27 | +16 | 49 | WDWLW |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44:28 | +16 | 45 | LDDLL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:24 | +11 | 45 | WDDLL |
| 5 | Cusco | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 38:37 | +1 | 42 | WWLWL |
| 6 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 41 | WWWWW |
| 7 | Cienciano | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | +7 | 40 | WWWWD |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:34 | +4 | 37 | DDWLD |
| 9 |  Sport Boys | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | +3 | 37 | LWLLD |
| 10 | Sporting Cristal | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45:39 | +6 | 35 | LLWWL |
| 11 |  Atletico Grau | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 | DDDWL |
| 12 |  Sport Huancayo | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 32 | DLLLW |
| 13 | Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:52 | -14 | 31 | WLLWW |
| 14 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 30 | DDWLW |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 40:50 | -10 | 27 | LLLLL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 | WLLWD |
| 17 | ADT | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 22 | DWLDD |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 15 | LDLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 26 | 42:18 | 53 |
| 2 | Universitario | 26 | 43:27 | 49 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 26 | 44:28 | 45 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 26 | 35:24 | 45 |
| 5 | Cusco | 26 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 6 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 25 | 44:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 26 | 38:34 | 37 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 26 | 28:25 | 37 |
| 10 | Sporting Cristal | 26 | 45:39 | 35 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 26 | 25:28 | 32 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 26 | 34:42 | 32 |
| 13 | Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 38:52 | 31 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 26 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 26 | 40:50 | 27 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 26 | 24:37 | 25 |
| 17 | ADT | 25 | 27:39 | 22 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 26 | 30:47 | 15 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | LWDWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WDWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | LDDLL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WDDLL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DDWLD |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DDWLW |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWLDD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | LWLLD |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | LLWWL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | WLLWD |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | DDDWL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | DLLLW |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | WLLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:12 | +7 | 20 | WDWLW |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | +8 | 19 | WDDLL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | +7 | 17 | LDDLL |
| 4 | Sport Boys | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | +7 | 17 | LWLLD |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:9 | +8 | 16 | LLWWL |
| 6 | Atletico Grau | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 16 | DDDWL |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:16 | +2 | 16 | DDWLD |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | +2 | 16 | DLLLW |
| 9 | Cusco | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II College | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 15 | WLLWW |
| 11 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 13 | LWDWW |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 9 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:23 | -13 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 2 | LDLWL |
| 18 | ADT | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:18 | -13 | 2 | DWLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 9 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 15:8 | 17 |
| 4 | Sport Boys | 9 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 17:9 | 16 |
| 6 | Atletico Grau | 9 | 13:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 9 | 18:16 | 16 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 9 | Cusco | 9 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II College | 9 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 11 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 17:22 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 16:16 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 9 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 9 | 9:21 | 2 |
| 18 | ADT | 8 | 5:18 | 2 |
PromotionRelegation
Cienciano vs FBC Melgar Prediction
This Primera División meeting between Cienciano and FBC Melgar carries extra rivalry weight, and our AI model factors that context in alongside team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history across six independent markets.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Primera División
ScorePredicts covers Peru football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Cienciano and FBC Melgar have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.45 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.