Club Nacional vs Tigre Prediction

Club Nacional
0-3
Finished
HT 0-2
Tigre
Gran Parque Central, Montevideo· Carlos Betancur, Colombia 22/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalNEUTRALModel38%RiskMediumGap-3.7%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.53
SignalGOODModel37%RiskMediumGap+6.7%
Club Nacional Rest
3 days
Tigre Rest
53 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.30
X
35%2.87
2
26%3.58
Double Chance
1X
74%1.29
X2
61%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%2.10
No
57%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.08 = 2.40
Over 1.5
68%1.53
Over 2.5
36%2.60
Over 3.5
17%5.10
Under 1.5
32%2.50
Under 2.5
64%1.48
Under 3.5
83%1.15
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 3.8 = 9.4
Over 8.5
55%1.70
Over 9.5
44%2.14
Over 10.5
33%2.87
Under 8.5
45%2.03
Under 9.5
56%1.61
Under 10.5
67%1.37
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 3 = 5.3
Over 3.5
78%1.14
Over 4.5
61%1.42
Under 3.5
22%4.00
Under 4.5
39%2.52

Match Events

2'J. EliasAssist: A. Barrionuevo
26'B. Leyes INM. Garay out
33'P. MartinezTripping
39'S. LopezTripping
45+3'B. ZuculiniTripping
45+4'I. RussoAssist: M. Garay
46'B. Barcia INP. Nunez out
46'S. Coates INA. Rogel out
46'M. Silvera INT. Veron out
49'B. ZuculiniTripping
49'B. ZuculiniTripping
80'L. Boggio INL. Rodriguez out
80'P. Martinez INE. Cabrera out
86'J. Saralegui INT. Serrago out
86'S. Lopez INS. Medina out
90'E. CabreraAssist: V. Moreno

Lineups

Club Nacional
4-3-1-2Coach: Jorge Bava
Tigre
4-4-1-1Coach: Diego Dabove
Alexis Martín Arias22A. Martín AriasAlexis Martín Arias
Emiliano Ancheta13E. AnchetaEmiliano Ancheta
Sebastián Coates4S. CoatesSebastián Coates
Francisco Calvo5F. CalvoFrancisco Calvo
Camilo Cándido21C. CándidoCamilo Cándido
Baltasar Barcia30B. BarciaBaltasar Barcia
Bruno Zuculini36B. ZuculiniBruno Zuculini
Agustín Dos Santos10A. Dos SantosAgustín Dos Santos
Luciano Boggio6L. BoggioLuciano Boggio
Maximiliano Gómez9M. GómezMaximiliano Gómez
Maximiliano Silvera11M. SilveraMaximiliano Silvera
Felipe Zenobio12F. ZenobioFelipe Zenobio
Valentín Moreno4V. MorenoValentín Moreno
Joaquín Laso2J. LasoJoaquín Laso
Alan Barrionuevo20A. BarrionuevoAlan Barrionuevo
Nahuel Banegas3N. BanegasNahuel Banegas
Jabes Saralegui10J. SaraleguiJabes Saralegui
Jalil Elias30J. EliasJalil Elias
Bruno Leyes5B. LeyesBruno Leyes
Santiago López22S. LópezSantiago López
Gonzalo Martínez28G. MartínezGonzalo Martínez
Ignacio Russo29I. RussoIgnacio Russo

Club Nacional Substitutes

2Agustín RogelD
27Tomas Veron LupiF
18Pável NúñezF
1Luis MejíaG
15Paolo CalioneD
24Benjamín NúñezD
56Juan GarcíaM
19Juan De los SantosF
31Rodrigo MartínezM
14Nicolás LodeiroM
23Lucas RodríguezM
29Tiziano CorreaF

Tigre Substitutes

8Martín GarayM
1Luka FusterG
24Federico ÁlvarezD
32Juan VillalbaD
40Luciano MinnitiD
17Guillermo SotoD
50Ignacio PeluffoF
27Santiago GonzálezM
21Sebastián MedinaM
11Tiago SerragoM
33Elías CabreraM
19Alfio OviedoF

Match Stats

Club NacionalTigre
42%Ball Possession58%
2Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
7Total Shots11
1Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal4
4Shots Inside Box6
3Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots3
16Fouls10
1Goalkeeper Saves1
338Total Passes490
257Passes Accurate392
76%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

Club NacionalClub Nacional
TigreTigre
1587Elo Rating 1634
1.48Attack 0.70
1.88Defense 1.82
36%Hit Rate 17%
-Shots per Game 11.8
-Shots on Target 2.4
-Corners per Game 3.1
-Cards per Game 2.9

Game State Tendencies

Club NacionalClub Nacional
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.5 in second half)
TigreTigre
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)

Recent Form

Club NacionalClub Nacional
2W1D2L
18/07/2026
Club NacionalWanderers
12
L
11/07/2026
DanubioClub Nacional
00
D
06/06/2026
Club NacionalJuventud
21
W
31/05/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoClub Nacional
30
L
27/05/2026
Club NacionalCoquimbo Unido
10
W
TigreTigre
2W3D0L
29/05/2026
TigreAlianza Atletico
20
W
20/05/2026
America de CaliTigre
11
D
07/05/2026
MacaraTigre
22
D
03/05/2026
Rosario CentralTigre
11
D
01/05/2026
TigreAmerica de Cali
20
W

Referee Profile

Carlos Betancur, Colombia · 4 matches analysed

4.4Avg Yellows
4.6Avg Cards
24.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 64% of referees analysed

League Table

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MacaraMacara62406:3+310DDDWW
2TigreTigre62318:5+39WDDWL
3America de CaliAmerica de Cali62316:5+19DDWLW
4Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico60242:9-72LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1MacaraMacara66:310
2TigreTigre68:59
3America de CaliAmerica de Cali66:59
4Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico62:92
Promotion

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Deportivo Recoleta
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Atletico Torque
Seeded
Olimpia
Seeded
Macara
Seeded
Botafogo
Seeded
River Plate
Seeded
Deportivo Recoleta
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Atletico Torque
Seeded
Olimpia
Seeded
Macara
Seeded
Botafogo
Seeded
River Plate
Seeded

Club Nacional vs Tigre Prediction

As a knockout-stage CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONMEBOL Sudamericana

ScorePredicts covers CONMEBOL Sudamericana across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Club Nacional and Tigre have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.