Club Tijuana vs Tigres UANL Prediction

Club Tijuana
3-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Tigres UANL
Estadio Caliente, Tijuana· Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas, Mexico 17/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.34
SignalGOODModel36%RiskMediumGap+9.0%
Club Tijuana Rest
13 days
Tigres UANL Rest
47 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%3.60
X
32%3.40
2
31%2.00
Double Chance
1X
69%1.73
X2
63%1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.69
No
47%2.02
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.04 = 2.30
Over 1.5
71%1.25
Over 2.5
44%1.85
Over 3.5
22%3.10
Under 1.5
29%3.64
Under 2.5
56%1.92
Under 3.5
78%1.34
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.2 = 9.4
Over 8.5
61%1.63
Over 9.5
50%2.04
Over 10.5
36%2.60
Under 8.5
39%2.12
Under 9.5
50%1.71
Under 10.5
64%1.38
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.3 = 4.7
Over 3.5
72%-
Over 4.5
48%1.41
Under 3.5
28%-
Under 4.5
52%2.50

Match Events

17'I. Rivero INA. Zapata out
32'R. ArcigaAssist: Y. Padilla
45+1'R. AguirreUnsportsmanlike conduct
56'O. HerreraAssist: Joaquim
65'Y. Padilla INA. Perez out
65'D. Abreu INM. El Ghezouani out
65'P. N. Ortiz Orozco INA. Vega out
69'J. PorozoUnsportsmanlike conduct
69'A. PreciadoUnsportsmanlike conduct
69'F. GorriaranUnsportsmanlike conduct
69'V. LoronaUnsportsmanlike conduct
74'R. Fernandez INF. Boya out
74'V. Lorona INF. I. Ordonez Delgado out
83'D. Lainez IND. A. Sanchez Guevara out
83'O. Herrera INJ. Vigon out
84'N. GuzmanDelay of game
90+5'M. El Ghezouani(Penalty)
90+5'J. VigonUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+8'M. El Ghezouani

Lineups

Club Tijuana
4-1-4-1Coach: Sebastian Abreu
Tigres UANL
4-2-3-1Coach: Guido Pizarro
Antonio Rodríguez2A. RodríguezAntonio Rodríguez
Rafael Fernández3R. FernándezRafael Fernández
Jackson Porozo12J. PorozoJackson Porozo
Jesús Gómez6J. GómezJesús Gómez
Pablo Nicolás Ortíz33P. Nicolás OrtízPablo Nicolás Ortíz
Iván Tona8I. TonaIván Tona
Ramiro Árciga17R. ÁrcigaRamiro Árciga
José Rivero15J. RiveroJosé Rivero
Yael Padilla31Y. PadillaYael Padilla
Adonis Preciado7A. PreciadoAdonis Preciado
Diego Abreu19D. AbreuDiego Abreu
Nahuel Guzmán1N. GuzmánNahuel Guzmán
Jesus Garza14J. GarzaJesus Garza
Joaquim28JoaquimJoaquim
Rômulo Zwarg23R. ZwargRômulo Zwarg
Vladimir Loroña32V. LoroñaVladimir Loroña
Fernando Gorriarán8F. GorriaránFernando Gorriarán
César Araújo5C. AraújoCésar Araújo
Diego Lainez16D. LainezDiego Lainez
Juan Brunetta11J. BrunettaJuan Brunetta
Ozziel Herrera77O. HerreraOzziel Herrera
Rodrigo Aguirre17R. AguirreRodrigo Aguirre

Club Tijuana Substitutes

20Ángel ZapataM
16Jesús VegaD
26Aldahir PérezM
9Mourad El GhezouaniF
34Frank BoyaM
29Jorge HernándezG
4Unai BilbaoD
188Alejandro MagallonD
197David OrduñoM
202Joban GonzálezF

Tigres UANL Substitutes

26Fernando OrdoñezD
6Juan VigónM
30Diego SánchezF
25Carlos RodríguezG
193Marcelo SalinasD
4Juan José PurataD
198Isaias GalvanM
205Antonio de María y CamposF

Match Stats

Club TijuanaTigres UANL
51%Ball Possession49%
1Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
14Total Shots8
7Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots1
11Fouls17
4Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves4
395Total Passes374
328Passes Accurate308
83%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
1635Elo Rating 1630
1.32Attack 0.48
1.17Defense 2.27
39%Hit Rate 14%
16.9Shots per Game 12.8
3.5Shots on Target 4.1
7.8Corners per Game 4.8
0.8Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Club Tijuana 46%Draw 0%54% Tigres UANL
2.89Avg Goals
0%BTTS Rate
56%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
3W2D0L
04/07/2026
San Jose EarthquakesClub Tijuana
12
W
26/04/2026
Guadalajara ChivasClub Tijuana
00
D
23/04/2026
Club TijuanaCF Pachuca
31
W
19/04/2026
Cruz AzulClub Tijuana
11
D
11/04/2026
FC JuarezClub Tijuana
12
W
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
3W0D2L
31/05/2026
TolucaTigres UANL
6050
L
10/05/2026
Guadalajara ChivasTigres UANL
20
L
06/05/2026
Tigres UANLNashville SC
10
W
03/05/2026
Tigres UANLGuadalajara Chivas
31
W
29/04/2026
Nashville SCTigres UANL
01
W

Referee Profile

Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas, Mexico · 27 matches analysed

4.9Avg Yellows
5.2Avg Cards
24.7Avg Fouls
Stricter than 83% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1TolucaToluca961220:9+1119LWWWW
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas953117:8+918DWWDW
3Club AmericaClub America852117:8+917DLWWW
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul950416:15+115LWWWL
5Club QueretaroClub Queretaro842211:8+314DWWLD
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana842212:10+214DLWLW
7LeonLeon942312:10+214DWLDW
8PueblaPuebla942311:11014DLWLW
9AtlasAtlas942313:15-214DLDLW
10MonterreyMonterrey841314:10+413WDLLW
11CF PachucaCF Pachuca933315:10+512DWWDD
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas933312:13-112DLWLD
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis923411:16-59WLLWD
14Atlante FCAtlante FC91538:13-58DLDDL
15NecaxaNecaxa922510:16-68LLDLD
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL91449:13-47LDDDW
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna92169:15-67WWLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez91086:23-173WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1TolucaToluca920:919
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas917:818
3Club AmericaClub America817:817
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul916:1515
5Club QueretaroClub Queretaro811:814
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana812:1014
7LeonLeon912:1014
8PueblaPuebla911:1114
9AtlasAtlas913:1514
10MonterreyMonterrey814:1013
11CF PachucaCF Pachuca915:1012
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas912:1312
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis911:169
14Atlante FCAtlante FC98:138
15NecaxaNecaxa910:168
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL99:137
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna99:157
18FC JuarezFC Juarez96:233
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Club Tijuana vs Tigres UANL Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga MX fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Club Tijuana and Tigres UANL have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.89 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.