Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron Prediction

05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.40
SignalSTRONGModel31%SurpriseHighGap+10.9%
Colon Santa Fe Rest
6 days
Deportivo Moron Rest
6 days

Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron: the result in context

Deportivo Moron beat Colon Santa Fe 2-1 in the Primera Nacional on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 1.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%1.85
X
35%3.00
2
24%4.58
Double Chance
1X
76%1.18
X2
59%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%2.40
No
65%1.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.01 + 0.8 = 1.81
Over 1.5
50%1.58
Over 2.5
23%2.80
Over 3.5
10%5.60
Under 1.5
50%2.25
Under 2.5
77%1.40
Under 3.5
90%1.10
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

28'M. Burruchaga
33'E. Lazza
33'P. Barrios
38'I. Antonio
41'M. LevatoAssist: J. Livera
45+2'G. Berterame
46'I. Antonio INA. Toledo out
46'J. Marcioni INL. Garate out
52'A. BonanseaAssist: F. Garcia
55'B. Salvareschi
60'G. Berterame INE. Contreras out
73'M. Bittolo ING. Gonzalez out
73'F. Fagundez INJ. Esquivel out
77'F. Castet INC. Ibarra out
77'P. Barrios IND. Sarmiento out
86'F. Garcia INJ. Buosi out
86'E. Iniguez INF. Flores out
86'M. Burruchaga INM. Gonzalez out
90+2'F. Lertora

Team Comparison

Colon Santa FeColon Santa Fe
Deportivo MoronDeportivo Moron
1572Elo Rating 1585
1.16Attack 0.70
2.46Defense 1.19
34%Hit Rate 19%

Game State Tendencies

Colon Santa FeColon Santa Fe
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Deportivo MoronDeportivo Moron
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Colon Santa FeColon Santa Fe2Wins · 34%
Draws233%
Deportivo MoronDeportivo Moron2Wins · 33%
1.3Avg Goals
17%Both teams scored1 of 6
0%3+ goals0 of 6

Previous meetings

Primera Nacional18/04/2026
Deportivo MoronColon Santa Fe
20
Primera Nacional21/09/2025
Colon Santa FeDeportivo Moron
00
Primera Nacional08/06/2025
Deportivo MoronColon Santa Fe
10
Primera Nacional02/09/2024
Colon Santa FeDeportivo Moron
10
Primera Nacional14/04/2024
Deportivo MoronColon Santa Fe
02
Copa Argentina22/07/2018
Colon Santa FeDeportivo Moron
4131

Recent Form

Deportivo MoronDeportivo Moron
4W3D3L
30/08/2026
Deportivo MoronSan Miguel
21
W
27/08/2026
Central NorteDeportivo Moron
00
D
21/08/2026
San TelmoDeportivo Moron
22
D
15/08/2026
Deportivo MoronAlmagro
20
W
09/08/2026
Deportivo MoronAcassuso
41
W
02/08/2026
Chaco For EverDeportivo Moron
20
L
26/07/2026
Deportivo MoronFerro Carril Oeste
40
W
11/07/2026
Deportivo MoronDeportivo Madryn
22
D
04/07/2026
Defensores De BelgranoDeportivo Moron
21
L
21/06/2026
Ferro Carril OesteDeportivo Moron
10
L

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Ferro Carril OesteFerro Carril Oeste35198838:31+765LWDLW
2Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz34179848:32+1660WDWDW
3Deportivo MoronDeportivo Moron341771051:36+1558LLWLL
4Deportivo MadrynDeportivo Madryn351512851:31+2057WDLWD
5Colon Santa FeColon Santa Fe341412841:27+1454DDWDW
6Ciudad de BolívarCiudad de Bolívar341312930:29+151WWWWL
7Almirante BrownAlmirante Brown3412121028:24+448DDLLL
8CA EstudiantesCA Estudiantes341391234:33+148LWLWW
9Chaco For EverChaco For Ever3511101436:36043WLWDL
10Los AndesLos Andes349141126:25+141DLLWL
11Racing CordobaRacing Cordoba3410101430:40-1040LWDDL
12Atletico MitreAtletico Mitre348151131:39-839WDWLL
13Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano348141225:32-738DLDLW
14San TelmoSan Telmo359111529:41-1238LDLWW
15Central NorteCentral Norte347161123:31-837WDDDL
16All BoysAll Boys346171119:29-1035DDLDD
17AcassusoAcassuso34891725:35-1033DWLWW
18San MiguelSan Miguel346141427:41-1432LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Ferro Carril OesteFerro Carril Oeste3538:3165
2Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz3448:3260
3Deportivo MoronDeportivo Moron3451:3658
4Deportivo MadrynDeportivo Madryn3551:3157
5Colon Santa FeColon Santa Fe3441:2754
6Ciudad de BolívarCiudad de Bolívar3430:2951
7Almirante BrownAlmirante Brown3428:2448
8CA EstudiantesCA Estudiantes3434:3348
9Chaco For EverChaco For Ever3536:3643
10Los AndesLos Andes3426:2541
11Racing CordobaRacing Cordoba3430:4040
12Atletico MitreAtletico Mitre3431:3939
13Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano3425:3238
14San TelmoSan Telmo3529:4138
15Central NorteCentral Norte3423:3137
16All BoysAll Boys3419:2935
17AcassusoAcassuso3425:3533
18San MiguelSan Miguel3427:4132
PromotionRelegation

About the Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron forecast

The forecasts for this Primera Nacional match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Colon Santa Fe and Deportivo Moron in the Primera Nacional table

Deportivo Moron and Colon Santa Fe are close in the Primera Nacional table, 3rd and 5th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Colon Santa Fe 41-27, Deportivo Moron 51-36. The full standings are on the Primera Nacional Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.