Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati Prediction

ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus· A. Chapman 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Over 3.5
1.51
SignalGOODModel43%RiskHighGap+10.8%
Columbus Crew Rest
2 days
FC Cincinnati Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%1.95
X
27%4.00
2
43%3.40
Double Chance
1X
57%1.29
X2
70%1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.38
No
37%2.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 1.43 = 2.74
Over 1.5
80%1.11
Over 2.5
60%1.38
Over 3.5
34%1.97
Under 1.5
20%6.40
Under 2.5
40%2.95
Under 3.5
66%1.83
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.2 = 10
Over 8.5
64%1.46
Over 9.5
55%1.79
Over 10.5
39%2.27
Under 8.5
36%2.50
Under 9.5
45%1.92
Under 10.5
61%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.5 = 5
Over 3.5
72%1.51
Over 4.5
54%2.15
Under 3.5
28%2.37
Under 4.5
46%1.65

Match Events

9'K. DenkeyAssist: Evander
41'J. ThiareAssist: D. Chambost
45+6'D. Gazdag(Penalty)
46'S. Bangoura INA. Gomes out
64'K. Mboma INT. Barlow out
64'E. Echenique INB. J. Ramirez Leon out
66'M. Miazga
70'D. Chambost INT. Karumanchi out
70'M. Miazga INK. Smith out
70'K. Denkey INA. Jabbari out
79'J. Thiare INH. Picard out
85'O. Nwobodo INT. Anunga out
85'D. Gazdag INC. Adams out
85'S. Moreira INM. Amundsen out
90+4'G. Valenzuela

Lineups

Columbus Crew
3-4-2-1Coach: Laurent Courtois
FC Cincinnati
3-4-3Coach: Pat Noonan
Patrick Schulte28P. SchultePatrick Schulte
Steven Moreira31S. MoreiraSteven Moreira
Rudy Camacho4R. CamachoRudy Camacho
Sean Zawadzki25S. ZawadzkiSean Zawadzki
Mohamed Farsi23M. FarsiMohamed Farsi
Dylan Chambost7D. ChambostDylan Chambost
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura17S. Tidiany BangouraSekou Tidiany Bangoura
Maximilian Arfsten27M. ArfstenMaximilian Arfsten
Taha Habroune16T. HabrouneTaha Habroune
Dániel Gazdag8D. GazdagDániel Gazdag
Jamal Thiaré19J. ThiaréJamal Thiaré
Roman Celentano18R. CelentanoRoman Celentano
Samuel Gidi11S. GidiSamuel Gidi
Matt Miazga21M. MiazgaMatt Miazga
Miles Robinson12M. RobinsonMiles Robinson
Pavel Bucha20P. BuchaPavel Bucha
Gerardo Valenzuela22G. ValenzuelaGerardo Valenzuela
Obinna Nwobodo5O. NwobodoObinna Nwobodo
Ender Echenique66E. EcheniqueEnder Echenique
Kenji Mboma Dem17K. Mboma DemKenji Mboma Dem
Kévin Denkey9K. DenkeyKévin Denkey
Evander10EvanderEvander

Columbus Crew Substitutes

20André GomesM
50Tarun KarumanchiM
30Hugo PicardM
18Malte AmundsenD
46Chase AdamsF
1Nicholas HagenG
12Cesar RuvalcabaD
45Owen PresthusD
14Amar SejdicM
90Nariman AkhundzadeF

FC Cincinnati Substitutes

29Bryan RamirezD
16Tom BarlowF
24Kyle SmithD
99Ayoub JabbariF
27Tah AnungaM
13Evan LouroG
2Alvas PowellD
4Nick HagglundD
15Teenage HadebeD

Match Stats

Columbus CrewFC Cincinnati
53%Ball Possession47%
4Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
13Total Shots12
6Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots2
11Fouls8
2Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves4
531Total Passes462
481Passes Accurate407
91%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
1559Elo Rating 1636
1.37Attack 1.26
1.69Defense 0.00
44%Hit Rate 14%
12.8Shots per Game 15.8
3.6Shots on Target 6.6
4.7Corners per Game 6.0
2.3Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend58% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Columbus Crew 39%Draw 14%46% FC Cincinnati
3.2Avg Goals
58%BTTS Rate
66%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
2W2D1L
23/07/2026
Columbus CrewNew York City FC
12
L
12/07/2026
Columbus CrewBurnley
11
D
24/05/2026
Columbus CrewAtlanta United FC
20
W
21/05/2026
Columbus CrewNew York City FC
10
W
17/05/2026
Philadelphia UnionColumbus Crew
11
D
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
3W1D1L
23/07/2026
FC CincinnatiVancouver Whitecaps
43
W
11/07/2026
FC CincinnatiBurnley
31
W
24/05/2026
FC CincinnatiOrlando City SC
62
W
17/05/2026
San DiegoFC Cincinnati
33
D
14/05/2026
FC CincinnatiInter Miami
35
L

Referee Profile

A. Chapman · 103 matches analysed

3.6Avg Yellows
3.7Avg Cards
21.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 8% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353:21+3257WDLDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845:33+1246WWWLW
3Inter MiamiInter Miami261210463:48+1546DDDDW
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747:37+1043WDWDW
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845:38+739LLDDD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050:42+836WWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246:60-1434LWWWD
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134:48-1433WWLDL
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854:61-733DDLLD
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039:34+532LWLDD
11DC UnitedDC United25611831:39-829LDWDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939:49-1029LLWDD
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437:42-526WLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430:43-1326WDLDL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531:53-2221LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC2653:2157
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2645:3346
3Inter MiamiInter Miami2663:4846
4CharlotteCharlotte2647:3743
5Chicago FireChicago Fire2545:3839
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2650:4236
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC2646:6034
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2634:4833
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2554:6133
10New York City FCNew York City FC2639:3432
11DC UnitedDC United2531:3929
12Toronto FCToronto FC2639:4929
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2637:4226
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2630:4326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal2631:5321
Promotion

Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati Prediction

This Major League Soccer meeting between Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati carries extra rivalry weight, and our AI model factors that context in alongside team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.2 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.