Defensores De Belgrano vs Ferro Carril Oeste Prediction

Estadio Juan Pasquale, Belgrano 27/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel39%SurpriseHighGap-7.1%
Defensores De Belgrano Rest
6 days
Ferro Carril Oeste Rest
8 days

Defensores De Belgrano vs Ferro Carril Oeste: result, form and history

Ferro Carril Oeste beat Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 in the Primera Nacional on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 5 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.70
X
36%2.55
2
30%3.00
Double Chance
1X
70%1.33
X2
66%1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%2.42
No
63%1.47
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.98 + 0.84 = 1.82
Over 1.5
54%1.75
Over 2.5
26%3.40
Over 3.5
10%7.17
Under 1.5
46%1.99
Under 2.5
74%1.28
Under 3.5
90%1.06
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'E. Dening
46'L. Parisi INL. Marra out
46'A. Benitez INL. Ciccolini out
69'E. Hoyos INS. Garcia out
77'A. Gonzalez INS. Corda out
78'B. Gomez INL. Landriel out
78'I. Perez INJ. Ardaiz out
80'F. Monetti
89'E. Ozuna INM. Taron out
89'E. Dening ING. Olguin out
90'L. Marra
90+2'I. Gutierrez IND. Garcia out
90+2'P. Moyano INF. Tcherkaski out

Team Comparison

Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano
Ferro Carril OesteFerro Carril Oeste
1493Elo Rating 1591
0.53Attack 0.56
1.76Defense 1.67
14%Hit Rate 37%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Ferro Carril OesteFerro Carril Oeste
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano1Wins · 20%
Draws240%
Ferro Carril OesteFerro Carril Oeste2Wins · 40%
2.6Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Primera Nacional12/05/2026
Ferro Carril OesteDefensores De Belgrano
21
Primera Nacional26/04/2022
Defensores De BelgranoFerro Carril Oeste
22
Primera Nacional31/10/2021
Defensores De BelgranoFerro Carril Oeste
02
Primera Nacional04/07/2021
Ferro Carril OesteDefensores De Belgrano
11
Primera Nacional08/12/2018
Defensores De BelgranoFerro Carril Oeste
20

Recent Form

Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano
3W4D3L
20/09/2026
Central NorteDefensores De Belgrano
01
W
14/09/2026
Defensores De BelgranoDeportivo Madryn
21
W
09/09/2026
Defensores De BelgranoLos Andes
11
D
04/09/2026
Defensores De BelgranoRacing Cordoba
30
W
29/08/2026
Ciudad de BolívarDefensores De Belgrano
10
L
22/08/2026
Defensores De BelgranoAlmirante Brown
02
L
15/08/2026
Atletico DE RafaelaDefensores De Belgrano
00
D
09/08/2026
Atletico MitreDefensores De Belgrano
21
L
01/08/2026
Defensores De BelgranoCA Estudiantes
11
D
26/07/2026
All BoysDefensores De Belgrano
00
D
Ferro Carril OesteFerro Carril Oeste
5W3D2L

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Ferro Carril OesteFerro Carril Oeste35198838:31+765LWDLW
2Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz34179848:32+1660WDWDW
3Deportivo MoronDeportivo Moron341771051:36+1558LLWLL
4Deportivo MadrynDeportivo Madryn351512851:31+2057WDLWD
5Colon Santa FeColon Santa Fe351512843:27+1657WDDWD
6Ciudad de BolívarCiudad de Bolívar3513121030:31-151LWWWW
7Almirante BrownAlmirante Brown3412121028:24+448DDLLL
8CA EstudiantesCA Estudiantes341391234:33+148LWLWW
9Chaco For EverChaco For Ever3511101436:36043WLWDL
10Los AndesLos Andes349141126:25+141DLLWL
11Racing CordobaRacing Cordoba3410101430:40-1040LWDDL
12Atletico MitreAtletico Mitre348151131:39-839WDWLL
13Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano348141225:32-738DLDLW
14San TelmoSan Telmo359111529:41-1238LDLWW
15Central NorteCentral Norte347161123:31-837WDDDL
16All BoysAll Boys346171119:29-1035DDLDD
17AcassusoAcassuso34891725:35-1033DWLWW
18San MiguelSan Miguel346141427:41-1432LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Ferro Carril OesteFerro Carril Oeste3538:3165
2Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz3448:3260
3Deportivo MoronDeportivo Moron3451:3658
4Deportivo MadrynDeportivo Madryn3551:3157
5Colon Santa FeColon Santa Fe3543:2757
6Ciudad de BolívarCiudad de Bolívar3530:3151
7Almirante BrownAlmirante Brown3428:2448
8CA EstudiantesCA Estudiantes3434:3348
9Chaco For EverChaco For Ever3536:3643
10Los AndesLos Andes3426:2541
11Racing CordobaRacing Cordoba3430:4040
12Atletico MitreAtletico Mitre3431:3939
13Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano3425:3238
14San TelmoSan Telmo3529:4138
15Central NorteCentral Norte3423:3137
16All BoysAll Boys3419:2935
17AcassusoAcassuso3425:3533
18San MiguelSan Miguel3427:4132
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About the Defensores De Belgrano vs Ferro Carril Oeste forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Defensores De Belgrano and Ferro Carril Oeste in the Primera Nacional table

In the Primera Nacional table, Ferro Carril Oeste are 1st and Defensores De Belgrano 13th, 27 points apart. League goal record so far: Defensores De Belgrano 25-32, Ferro Carril Oeste 38-31. The full standings are on the Primera Nacional Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.