Degerfors IF vs Malmo FF Prediction

AllsvenskanSweden Sweden · Regular Season - 11
Degerfors IF
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Malmo FF
Stora Valla, Degerfors·Erik Mattsson, Sweden 04/07/2026
Degerfors IFDegerfors IF
0-1
Finished
Malmo FFMalmo FF

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.35
SignalHIGHModel38%SurpriseMediumGap+8.0%
Degerfors IF Rest
8 days
Malmo FF Rest
8 days

Degerfors IF vs Malmo FF: the result in context

Malmo FF beat Degerfors IF 1-0 in the Allsvenskan on 4 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Malmo FF have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 3.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%3.25
X
28%3.35
2
35%2.13
Double Chance
1X
65%1.67
X2
63%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.64
No
46%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.21 + 1.38 = 2.59
Over 1.5
74%1.25
Over 2.5
47%1.81
Over 3.5
24%3.00
Under 1.5
26%3.65
Under 2.5
53%1.96
Under 3.5
76%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 5.3 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.33
Over 9.5
52%1.55
Over 10.5
40%2.00
Under 8.5
37%3.05
Under 9.5
48%2.30
Under 10.5
60%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.5
51%-
Over 4.5
32%-
Under 3.5
49%-
Under 4.5
68%-

Match Events

22'K. Busuladzic
40'O. Rosengren
51'E. BotheimAssist: K. Busuladzic
55'N. Girmai INO. Leonardsson out
55'O. Leonardsson
69'A. Taranis IND. Vukojevic out
69'B. Hussein INA. Lindgren out
69'K. Busuladzic INT. Lundbergh out
75'S. Ohlsson INE. Lindell out
78'M. Palsson INB. Kurtulus out
78'N. John INA. Hoog out
85'J. Stryger INJ. Karlsson out
85'O. Sjostrand INE. Ekong out

Team Comparison

Degerfors IFDegerfors IF
Malmo FFMalmo FF
1510Elo Rating 1685
0.58Attack 1.10
0.52Defense 2.30
0%Hit Rate 37%
10.8Shots per Game 12.8
2.6Shots on Target 4.5
4.5Corners per Game 4.8
2.0Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Degerfors IFDegerfors IF
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Malmo FFMalmo FF
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Degerfors IFDegerfors IF0Wins · 0%
Draws222%
Malmo FFMalmo FF7Wins · 78%
3.6Avg Goals
56%Both teams scored5 of 9
78%3+ goals7 of 9

Previous meetings

Allsvenskan31/08/2025
Malmo FFDegerfors IF
11
Allsvenskan11/05/2025
Degerfors IFMalmo FF
14
Allsvenskan23/09/2023
Degerfors IFMalmo FF
12
Allsvenskan05/06/2023
Malmo FFDegerfors IF
50
Svenska Cupen05/03/2023
Malmo FFDegerfors IF
21
Allsvenskan06/11/2022
Malmo FFDegerfors IF
22
Allsvenskan29/05/2022
Degerfors IFMalmo FF
02
Allsvenskan21/08/2021
Malmo FFDegerfors IF
30
Allsvenskan17/07/2021
Degerfors IFMalmo FF
05

Recent Form

Degerfors IFDegerfors IF
3W4D3L
26/06/2026
LillestromDegerfors IF
23
W
31/05/2026
Degerfors IFIF Brommapojkarna
22
D
23/05/2026
Kalmar FFDegerfors IF
21
L
16/05/2026
GaisDegerfors IF
11
D
09/05/2026
Degerfors IFMjallby AIF
14
L
02/05/2026
Degerfors IFBK Hacken
11
D
27/04/2026
Orgryte ISDegerfors IF
11
D
23/04/2026
Degerfors IFAIK Stockholm
21
W
17/04/2026
Degerfors IFIF Elfsborg
01
L
12/04/2026
HalmstadDegerfors IF
03
W
Malmo FFMalmo FF
4W1D5L
26/06/2026
Malmo FFFC Midtjylland
22
D
30/05/2026
Malmo FFHalmstad
52
W
24/05/2026
Malmo FFVasteras SK FK
23
L
17/05/2026
Hammarby FFMalmo FF
41
L
10/05/2026
BK HackenMalmo FF
32
L
03/05/2026
Malmo FFMjallby AIF
23
L
27/04/2026
AIK StockholmMalmo FF
01
W
23/04/2026
Malmo FFSirius
23
L
17/04/2026
Djurgardens IFMalmo FF
01
W
12/04/2026
Malmo FFGais
31
W

Referee Profile

Erik Mattsson99 matches

3.41Cards per match
3.27Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Erik Mattsson3.41
Other referees3.78

3.41 cards a match, 0.37 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.78).

Cards come from 56 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Allsvenskan 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Hammarby FFHammarby FF28184660:23+3758WWWWW
2SiriusSirius28184658:35+2358LWLLD
3Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF28164856:27+2952LWDDW
4BK HackenBK Hacken281310550:33+1749LWDWW
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg281210642:31+1146LWDDD
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK28136940:38+245DWWLW
7Malmo FFMalmo FF281251142:36+641DLWDL
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm28118946:49-341WLDWD
9GaisGais281171036:28+840WWWDL
10IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg28109936:46-1039DLDDD
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna28981139:44-535DLDWL
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF286101230:43-1328DDWLL
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF28751624:42-1826WDLLW
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF28551823:48-2520LLLLL
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS28481633:60-2720DLLDW
16HalmstadHalmstad28551820:52-3220WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Hammarby FFHammarby FF2860:2358
2SiriusSirius2858:3558
3Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF2856:2752
4BK HackenBK Hacken2850:3349
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg2842:3146
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK2840:3845
7Malmo FFMalmo FF2842:3641
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm2846:4941
9GaisGais2836:2840
10IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg2836:4639
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna2839:4435
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF2830:4328
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF2824:4226
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF2823:4820
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS2833:6020
16HalmstadHalmstad2820:5220
Relegation

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About the Degerfors IF vs Malmo FF forecast

The forecasts for this Allsvenskan match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Degerfors IF and Malmo FF in the Allsvenskan table

In the Allsvenskan table, Malmo FF are 7th and Degerfors IF 14th, 21 points apart. League goal record so far: Degerfors IF 23-48, Malmo FF 42-36. The full standings are on the Allsvenskan Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.