Sirius vs Mjallby AIF Prediction

Sirius
4-4
Finished
HT 1-0
Mjallby AIF
Studenternas IP, Uppsala·A. Ladeback 03/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.19
SignalSTRONGModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.44
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+7.7%
Sirius Rest
7 days
Mjallby AIF Rest
6 days

Sirius vs Mjallby AIF: the result in context

Sirius and Mjallby AIF drew 4-4 in the Allsvenskan on 3 Jul 2026. Sirius had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against none for Mjallby AIF.

Mjallby AIF have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.5 goals a game. Referee A. Ladeback averages 3.22 cards a game, 0.53 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.60
X
24%4.00
2
23%5.00
Double Chance
1X
77%1.15
X2
47%2.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.67
No
45%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.76 + 1.11 = 2.87
Over 1.5
80%1.19
Over 2.5
56%1.64
Over 3.5
29%2.55
Under 1.5
20%4.33
Under 2.5
44%2.20
Under 3.5
71%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.6 = 10.3
Over 8.5
65%1.43
Over 9.5
52%1.70
Over 10.5
46%1.96
Under 8.5
35%2.66
Under 9.5
48%2.02
Under 10.5
54%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 3.2 = 4.9
Over 3.5
65%-
Over 4.5
49%-
Under 3.5
35%-
Under 4.5
51%-

Match Events

14'R. UreAssist: M. Lindberg
46'R. UreAssist: I. Bjerkebo
49'J. Gustavsson
50'R. UreAssist: O. Adindu
57'A. SamuelsenAssist: A. Manneh
57'L. Tidstrand INL. Svanberg out
57'V. Gustafson INT. Helge out
57'V. Granath INM. Nielsen out
65'A. SamuelsenAssist: M. Nielsen
69'R. UreAssist: O. Adindu
70'V. Svensson INC. Nilden out
71'A. Iqbal INT. Pettersson out
77'J. Kjaer INB. Bang-Kittilsen out
81'L. Svanberg
87'I. Bjerkebo INM. Nartey out
90'O. Adindu INE. Eld out
90+1'T. PetterssonAssist: T. Miettinen

Match Stats

SiriusMjallby AIF
43%Ball Possession57%
8Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards1
18Total Shots18
7Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal8
6Blocked Shots4
6Fouls13
3Goalkeeper Saves3
13Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

SiriusSirius
Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF
1780Elo Rating 1639
1.21Attack 1.07
1.82Defense 2.33
41%Hit Rate 46%
14.7Shots per Game 12.8
4.3Shots on Target 3.5
7.6Corners per Game 4.4
1.2Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+141 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

SiriusSirius
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

SiriusSirius1Wins · 10%
Draws110%
Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF8Wins · 80%
3.5Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Allsvenskan27/07/2025
Mjallby AIFSirius
21
Allsvenskan14/07/2025
SiriusMjallby AIF
12
Allsvenskan03/11/2024
SiriusMjallby AIF
11
Allsvenskan06/07/2024
Mjallby AIFSirius
32
Allsvenskan24/07/2023
SiriusMjallby AIF
23
Allsvenskan14/05/2023
Mjallby AIFSirius
30
Svenska Cupen04/03/2023
Mjallby AIFSirius
32
Allsvenskan31/07/2022
SiriusMjallby AIF
01
Allsvenskan20/04/2022
Mjallby AIFSirius
30
Allsvenskan06/11/2021
Mjallby AIFSirius
23

Recent Form

SiriusSirius
8W2D0L
26/06/2026
SiriusDjurgardens IF
11
D
30/05/2026
AIK StockholmSirius
03
W
24/05/2026
SiriusGais
21
W
18/05/2026
Djurgardens IFSirius
23
W
11/05/2026
SiriusOrgryte IS
20
W
02/05/2026
SiriusKalmar FF
32
W
27/04/2026
BK HackenSirius
22
D
23/04/2026
Malmo FFSirius
23
W
18/04/2026
SiriusVasteras SK FK
41
W
13/04/2026
SiriusHammarby FF
20
W
Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF
4W4D2L
27/06/2026
FC CopenhagenMjallby AIF
53
L
24/06/2026
Mjallby AIFHalmstad
33
D
25/05/2026
IFK GoteborgMjallby AIF
11
D
21/05/2026
IF ElfsborgMjallby AIF
11
D
17/05/2026
Mjallby AIFBK Hacken
01
L
14/05/2026
Mjallby AIFHammarby FF
21
W
09/05/2026
Degerfors IFMjallby AIF
14
W
03/05/2026
Malmo FFMjallby AIF
23
W
27/04/2026
Mjallby AIFHalmstad
20
W
23/04/2026
GaisMjallby AIF
00
D

Referee Profile

A. Ladeback169 matches

3.22Cards per match
3.16Yellow cards per match
0.06Red cards per match
24.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

A. Ladeback3.22
Other referees3.75

3.22 cards a match, 0.53 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.75).

Cards come from 144 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Allsvenskan 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Hammarby FFHammarby FF28184660:23+3758WWWWW
2SiriusSirius28184658:35+2358LWLLD
3Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF28164856:27+2952LWDDW
4BK HackenBK Hacken281310550:33+1749LWDWW
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg281210642:31+1146LWDDD
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK28136940:38+245DWWLW
7Malmo FFMalmo FF281251142:36+641DLWDL
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm28118946:49-341WLDWD
9GaisGais281171036:28+840WWWDL
10IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg28109936:46-1039DLDDD
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna28981139:44-535DLDWL
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF286101230:43-1328DDWLL
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF28751624:42-1826WDLLW
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF28551823:48-2520LLLLL
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS28481633:60-2720DLLDW
16HalmstadHalmstad28551820:52-3220WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Hammarby FFHammarby FF2860:2358
2SiriusSirius2858:3558
3Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF2856:2752
4BK HackenBK Hacken2850:3349
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg2842:3146
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK2840:3845
7Malmo FFMalmo FF2842:3641
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm2846:4941
9GaisGais2836:2840
10IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg2836:4639
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna2839:4435
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF2830:4328
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF2824:4226
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF2823:4820
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS2833:6020
16HalmstadHalmstad2820:5220
Relegation

About the Sirius vs Mjallby AIF forecast

The forecasts for this Allsvenskan match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sirius and Mjallby AIF in the Allsvenskan table

In the Allsvenskan table, Sirius are 2nd and Mjallby AIF 12th, 30 points apart. League goal record so far: Sirius 58-35, Mjallby AIF 30-43. The full standings are on the Allsvenskan Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.