Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes Prediction

Deportivo Maipu
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Quilmes
Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti, Maipu 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel34%SurpriseHighGap+7.0%
Deportivo Maipu Rest
7 days
Quilmes Rest
7 days

Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes: the result in context

Deportivo Maipu beat Quilmes 1-0 in the Primera Nacional on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%2.34
X
30%2.88
2
21%3.25
Double Chance
1X
79%1.28
X2
51%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%2.05
No
59%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.24 + 0.79 = 2.03
Over 1.5
59%1.47
Over 2.5
31%2.44
Over 3.5
16%4.67
Under 1.5
41%2.50
Under 2.5
69%1.50
Under 3.5
84%1.17
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'A. Kippes
42'L. Romeo
44'R. Martinez
50'L. CabreraAssist: F. Saccone
53'A. Ortega
55'L. Romeo INJ. Novillo out
55'R. Martinez INA. Lavezzi out
63'J. Gobetto
65'L. Cabrera INJ. Giacone out
66'G. Vega INT. Ortega out
76'U. Vera INN. Colazo out
76'A. Spetale INP. Bonacci out
80'N. Colazo
82'M. Bonfigli INA. Vera out
82'T. Silva INN. Fernandez out
87'P. Bonacci
89'J. Gobetto INT. Ferreyra out

Team Comparison

Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu
QuilmesQuilmes
1582Elo Rating 1508
0.73Attack 0.33
2.36Defense 2.08
36%Hit Rate 17%

Game State Tendencies

Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
QuilmesQuilmes
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
QuilmesQuilmes4Wins · 40%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera Nacional05/04/2026
QuilmesDeportivo Maipu
21
Primera Nacional21/06/2025
QuilmesDeportivo Maipu
22
Primera Nacional16/02/2025
Deportivo MaipuQuilmes
20
Primera Nacional13/10/2024
QuilmesDeportivo Maipu
30
Primera Nacional26/05/2024
Deportivo MaipuQuilmes
11
Primera Nacional27/08/2023
Deportivo MaipuQuilmes
10
Primera Nacional16/04/2023
QuilmesDeportivo Maipu
02
Primera Nacional08/10/2022
QuilmesDeportivo Maipu
10
Primera Nacional22/08/2021
QuilmesDeportivo Maipu
10
Primera Nacional11/04/2021
Deportivo MaipuQuilmes
21

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez351615434:16+1863DWDDW
2TemperleyTemperley341612641:28+1360DWWLW
3Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy341610851:42+958WDLDD
4AtlantaAtlanta341841240:33+758LWWWD
5Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3414101037:31+652WDLWL
6MidlandMidland341491140:29+1151LWDLW
7ColegialesColegiales341481235:31+450WDWWL
8Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu341391240:33+748LDWWD
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3412111136:34+247DDLLW
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3511131139:37+246LWLWD
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela341291328:34-645WLLLW
12QuilmesQuilmes351191532:30+242WLLDW
13AlmagroAlmagro351191532:42-1042DLWWL
14AgropecuarioAgropecuario3410101427:38-1140LWDLW
15PatronatoPatronato347161129:33-437LWLWD
16Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors341061826:35-936WLWLW
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago34991624:33-936LLLWD
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes34682025:57-3226WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez3534:1663
2TemperleyTemperley3441:2860
3Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy3451:4258
4AtlantaAtlanta3440:3358
5Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3437:3152
6MidlandMidland3440:2951
7ColegialesColegiales3435:3150
8Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu3440:3348
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3436:3447
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3539:3746
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3428:3445
12QuilmesQuilmes3532:3042
13AlmagroAlmagro3532:4242
14AgropecuarioAgropecuario3427:3840
15PatronatoPatronato3429:3337
16Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors3426:3536
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago3424:3336
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes3425:5726
PromotionRelegation

About the Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes forecast

The forecasts for this Primera Nacional match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Deportivo Maipu and Quilmes in the Primera Nacional table

In the Primera Nacional table, Deportivo Maipu are 8th and Quilmes 12th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Deportivo Maipu 40-33, Quilmes 32-30. The full standings are on the Primera Nacional Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.