Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica Prediction

Dinamo Zagreb
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
HNK Gorica
Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
51%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.93
SignalHIGHModel72%RiskMediumGap+3.5%
Dinamo Zagreb Rest
6 days
HNK Gorica Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
82%1.15
X
16%7.00
2
2%13.00
Double Chance
1X
98%1.03
X2
18%4.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.93
No
49%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.43 + 0.79 = 3.22
Over 1.5
87%1.10
Over 2.5
69%1.35
Over 3.5
48%1.89
Under 1.5
13%6.50
Under 2.5
31%3.04
Under 3.5
52%1.83
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.7 + 2.9 = 10.6
Over 8.5
66%1.44
Over 9.5
54%1.78
Over 10.5
48%2.14
Under 8.5
34%2.59
Under 9.5
46%1.93
Under 10.5
52%1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 1.8 = 3
Over 3.5
35%-
Over 4.5
19%-
Under 3.5
65%-
Under 4.5
81%-

Match Events

14'stjepan kucis INfrigan juraj out
18'Patrik MijicFoul
25'Stefan Perić INFilip Braut out
28'Dion Drena Beljo
45'Kevin Custovic INDomagoj Pavičić out
49'Kirill KravtsovFoul
64'Matteo Perez VinlöfFoul
65'Arber Hoxha INMislav Oršić out
65'Miha Zajc INLukas Kacavenda out
71'Luka Stojkovic INLuka Ivanušec out
71'Jakov Pranjić INFran Brodić out
71'Tom Lacoux INLuka Vrzic out
79'Dušan StevanovićFoul
81'Dion Drena Beljo INNiko Galesic out
81'Mateo Lisica INSmail Prevljak out

Lineups

Dinamo Zagreb
4-3-3Coach: Mario Kovacevic
HNK Gorica
3-4-2-1Coach: M. Carević
D. Kotarski24D. KotarskiD. Kotarski
M. Valinčić25M. ValinčićM. Valinčić
Sergi Domínguez36S. DomínguezSergi Domínguez
S. McKenna26S. McKennaS. McKenna
Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf22O. Matteo Perez VinlöfOlof Matteo Perez Vinlöf
L. Stojković10L. StojkovićL. Stojković
K. Kravtsov5K. KravtsovK. Kravtsov
M. Zajc8M. ZajcM. Zajc
M. Lisica21M. LisicaM. Lisica
D. Beljo9D. BeljoD. Beljo
A. Hoxha11A. HoxhaA. Hoxha
R. Josipović1R. JosipovićR. Josipović
S. Perić45S. PerićS. Perić
J. Filipović32J. FilipovićJ. Filipović
D. Stevanović15D. StevanovićD. Stevanović
K. Čustović4K. ČustovićK. Čustović
S. Kučiš14S. KučišS. Kučiš
T. Lacoux6T. LacouxT. Lacoux
I. Cvijanović34I. CvijanovićI. Cvijanović
J. Pranjić8J. PranjićJ. Pranjić
B. Bogojević25B. BogojevićB. Bogojević
P. Mijić9P. MijićP. Mijić

Dinamo Zagreb Substitutes

13Paul Bismarck TabinasD
14S. PrevljakF
77N. NsokiM
27J. MišićM
6S. RadeljićD
23Iker AlmenaF
44I. FilipovićG
15N. GalešićD
3B. GodaD
17L. IvanušecM
80L. KačavendaM
99M. OršićF

HNK Gorica Substitutes

30D. ŽarkovG
24D. PavičićM
71D. MatijašG
18B. KardumF
99M. GashiF
66Juraj FriganM
10F. BrodićF
2F. BrautD
7O. BakićM
20L. VrzićF

Match Stats

Dinamo ZagrebHNK Gorica
68%Ball Possession32%
6Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots9
7Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots3
20Fouls9
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
585Total Passes283
506Passes Accurate206
9Free Kicks20

Team Comparison

Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
HNK GoricaHNK Gorica
1769Elo Rating 1470
2.12Attack 0.77
1.17Defense 1.76
42%Hit Rate 0%
15.3Shots per Game 8.1
4.5Shots on Target 2.1
6.2Corners per Game 2.0
2.6Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+299 Elo
High Goal Expectancy3.22 goals
📈BTTS Trend83% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
HNK GoricaHNK Gorica
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Dinamo Zagreb 86%Draw 0%14% HNK Gorica
4.79Avg Goals
83%BTTS Rate
83%Over 2.5

League Table

HNL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split751116:5+1116WWWWW
2NK OsijekNK Osijek851217:11+616DWLWL
3NK VarazdinNK Varazdin843113:7+615DDDWL
4Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb641114:7+713LWDWW
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka632110:7+311DWDWL
6Istra 1961Istra 1961723214:12+29WDDLW
7NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb72149:13-47DLLLL
8NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo82157:16-97DLWLW
9RudesRudes811610:24-144DLLLW
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica70254:12-82DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split716:516
2NK OsijekNK Osijek817:1116
3NK VarazdinNK Varazdin813:715
4Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb614:713
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka610:711
6Istra 1961Istra 1961714:129
7NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb79:137
8NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo87:167
9RudesRudes810:244
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica74:122
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Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this HNL fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About HNL

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Key Factors for This Match

Dinamo Zagreb and HNK Gorica have met 5 times recently, averaging 4.79 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.