Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica Prediction

Dinamo Zagreb
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
HNK Gorica
Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
51%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.93
SignalNEUTRALModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+3.5%
Dinamo Zagreb Rest
6 days
HNK Gorica Rest
4 days

Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica: the result in context

Dinamo Zagreb beat HNK Gorica 1-0 in the HNL on 5 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Dinamo Zagreb had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for HNK Gorica.

Dinamo Zagreb have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.7 goals a game. HNK Gorica tend to win more corners, 6.6 a game to 4.6 for Dinamo Zagreb.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
82%1.15
X
16%7.00
2
2%13.00
Double Chance
1X
98%1.03
X2
18%4.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.93
No
49%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.43 + 0.79 = 3.22
Over 1.5
87%1.10
Over 2.5
69%1.35
Over 3.5
48%1.89
Under 1.5
13%6.50
Under 2.5
31%3.04
Under 3.5
52%1.83
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.7 + 2.9 = 10.6
Over 8.5
66%1.44
Over 9.5
54%1.78
Over 10.5
48%2.14
Under 8.5
34%2.59
Under 9.5
46%1.93
Under 10.5
52%1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 1.8 = 3
Over 3.5
35%-
Over 4.5
19%-
Under 3.5
65%-
Under 4.5
81%-

Match Events

14'stjepan kucis INfrigan juraj out
18'Patrik MijicFoul
25'Stefan Perić INFilip Braut out
28'Dion Drena Beljo
45'Kevin Custovic INDomagoj Pavičić out
49'Kirill KravtsovFoul
64'Matteo Perez VinlöfFoul
65'Arber Hoxha INMislav Oršić out
65'Miha Zajc INLukas Kacavenda out
71'Luka Stojkovic INLuka Ivanušec out
71'Jakov Pranjić INFran Brodić out
71'Tom Lacoux INLuka Vrzic out
79'Dušan StevanovićFoul
81'Dion Drena Beljo INNiko Galesic out
81'Mateo Lisica INSmail Prevljak out

Lineups

Dinamo Zagreb
4-3-3Coach: Mario Kovacevic
HNK Gorica
3-4-2-1Coach: M. Carević
Avg rating6.73
Avg rating6.38
D. Kotarski7.124D. Kotarski
M. Valinčić7.225M. Valinčić
Sergi Domínguez7.436S. Domínguez
S. McKenna6.926S. McKenna
Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf6.222O. Matteo Perez Vinlöf
L. Stojković6.610L. Stojković
K. Kravtsov6.55K. Kravtsov
M. Zajc6.88M. Zajc
M. Lisica6.321M. Lisica
D. Beljo8.09D. Beljo
A. Hoxha6.511A. Hoxha
R. Josipović7.21R. Josipović
S. Perić6.345S. Perić
J. Filipović6.932J. Filipović
D. Stevanović5.915D. Stevanović
K. Čustović6.44K. Čustović
S. Kučiš6.914S. Kučiš
T. Lacoux6.36T. Lacoux
I. Cvijanović5.534I. Cvijanović
J. Pranjić6.18J. Pranjić
B. Bogojević6.625B. Bogojević
P. Mijić6.09P. Mijić

Dinamo Zagreb Substitutes

13Paul Bismarck Tabinas
14S. Prevljak81'for Mateo Lisica6.4
77N. Nsoki
27J. Mišić
6S. Radeljić
23Iker Almena
44I. Filipović
15N. Galešić81'for Dion Drena Beljo6.1
3B. Goda
17L. Ivanušec71'for Luka Stojkovic6.6
80L. Kačavenda65'for Miha Zajc6.7
99M. Oršić65'for Arber Hoxha6.4

HNK Gorica Substitutes

30D. Žarkov
24D. Pavičić45'for Kevin Custovic6.7
71D. Matijaš
18B. Kardum
99M. Gashi
66Juraj Frigan14'for stjepan kucis6.5
10F. Brodić71'for Jakov Pranjić6.2
2F. Braut25'for Stefan Perić6.2
7O. Bakić
20L. Vrzić71'for Tom Lacoux6.5

Match Stats

Dinamo ZagrebHNK Gorica
68%Ball Possession32%
6Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots9
7Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots3
20Fouls9
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
585Total Passes283
506Passes Accurate206
9Free Kicks20

Team Comparison

Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
HNK GoricaHNK Gorica
1771Elo Rating 1473
1.96Attack 0.50
1.77Defense 1.13
61%Hit Rate 14%
16.5Shots per Game 9.6
5.9Shots on Target 3.2
4.6Corners per Game 6.6
1.4Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+297 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.22 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.5 in second half)
HNK GoricaHNK Gorica
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb7Wins · 70%
Draws110%
HNK GoricaHNK Gorica2Wins · 20%
3.7Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

HNL02/05/2026
HNK GoricaDinamo Zagreb
12
Cup08/04/2026
HNK GoricaDinamo Zagreb
36
HNL01/03/2026
Dinamo ZagrebHNK Gorica
42
HNL01/12/2025
HNK GoricaDinamo Zagreb
02
HNL14/09/2025
Dinamo ZagrebHNK Gorica
12
HNL23/04/2025
HNK GoricaDinamo Zagreb
10
HNL15/02/2025
Dinamo ZagrebHNK Gorica
31
HNL09/11/2024
HNK GoricaDinamo Zagreb
22
HNL24/08/2024
Dinamo ZagrebHNK Gorica
21
HNL13/04/2024
HNK GoricaDinamo Zagreb
02

Recent Form

HNK GoricaHNK Gorica
2W1D7L
31/08/2026
HNK GoricaHNK Rijeka
00
D
22/08/2026
NK Slaven BelupoHNK Gorica
20
L
16/08/2026
HNK GoricaHNK Hajduk Split
12
L
08/08/2026
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Gorica
31
L
01/08/2026
HNK GoricaNK Osijek
02
L
23/07/2026
HNK GoricaShakhtar Donetsk
02
L
19/07/2026
FC St. PauliHNK Gorica
21
L
16/07/2026
HNK GoricaEpitsentr Dunayivtsi
10
W
13/07/2026
HNK GoricaGöztepe
02
L
04/07/2026
HNK GoricaZorya Luhansk
21
W

League Table

HNL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1392227:11+1629WWDWW
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb1281328:15+1325WLWWL
3NK OsijekNK Osijek1362522:18+420LWLDL
4Istra 1961Istra 19611354424:19+519WWDLW
5NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1354417:14+319LDLLW
6HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka1253419:18+118LDLWL
7NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1351719:28-916WLWLW
8RudesRudes1351716:27-1116WWWLW
9NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1332814:21-711LLDWL
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica1314810:25-157LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1327:1129
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb1228:1525
3NK OsijekNK Osijek1322:1820
4Istra 1961Istra 19611324:1919
5NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1317:1419
6HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka1219:1818
7NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1319:2816
8RudesRudes1316:2716
9NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1314:2111
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica1310:257
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About the Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica forecast

The forecasts for this HNL match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Dinamo Zagreb and HNK Gorica in the HNL table

The table shows a wide gap: Dinamo Zagreb are 2nd in the HNL, while HNK Gorica sit 10th, 18 points behind. League goal record so far: Dinamo Zagreb 28-15, HNK Gorica 10-25. The full standings are on the HNL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Dinamo Zagreb have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.