Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb Prediction

Steponas Darius and Stasys Girenas, Kaunas·Davide Massa, Italy 11/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-2.3%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.44
SignalGOODModel56%SurpriseMediumGap+5.9%
Kauno Žalgiris Rest
3 days
Dinamo Zagreb Rest
6 days

Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb: result, form and history

Dinamo Zagreb beat Kauno Žalgiris 2-1 in the UEFA Champions League on 11 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Dinamo Zagreb tend to win more corners, 3.9 a game to 0.6 for Kauno Žalgiris.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
14%7.20
X
17%4.70
2
69%1.40
Double Chance
1X
31%2.88
X2
86%1.09
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.90
No
52%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.83 + 2.15 = 2.98
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
54%1.68
Over 3.5
31%2.63
Under 1.5
23%4.20
Under 2.5
46%2.15
Under 3.5
69%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'A. TolordavaRoughing
11'J. MoutachyHolding
19'L. KacavendaAssist: D. Beljo
30'J. Misic
32'I. FilipovicRoughing
34'M. Lisica INI. Nevistic out
46'L. Stojkovic ING. Vidovic out
46'M. Perez Vinlof INB. Goda out
46'Renan Oliveira ING. Debeljuh out
54'D. BeljoRoughing
56'G. Debeljuh
58'M. Burba INI. Fiolic out
58'L. Krekovic INLeo Ribeiro out
61'D. Beljo INF. Topic out
66'F. Baldassarra INA. Kalik out
72'L. Kacavenda INN. Galesic out
80'A. Benchaib INF. Ourega out

Lineups

Kauno Žalgiris
4-1-4-1Coach: Eivinas Cerniauskas
Dinamo Zagreb
4-3-3Coach: Mario Kovacevic
Deividas Mikelionis22D. Mikelionis
Joris Moutachy45J. Moutachy
Anton Tolordava3A. Tolordava
Rokas Lekiatas77R. Lekiatas
Marko Konatar33M. Konatar
Franco Baldassarra32F. Baldassarra
Motiejus Burba24M. Burba
Amine Benchaib7A. Benchaib
Vykintas Slivka14V. Slivka
Leon Kreković9L. Kreković
Renan Oliveira19R. Oliveira
Ivan Filipović44I. Filipović
Moris Valinčić25M. Valinčić
Sergi Domínguez36S. Domínguez
Scott McKenna26S. McKenna
Matteo Pérez Vinlöf22M. Pérez Vinlöf
Lukas Kačavenda80L. Kačavenda
Josip Mišić27J. Mišić
Luka Stojković7L. Stojković
Mateo Lisica21M. Lisica
Dion Drena Beljo9D. Drena Beljo
Mislav Oršić99M. Oršić

Kauno Žalgiris Substitutes

27Gabriel Debeljuh46'for Renan Oliveira56'
55Tomas Švedkauskas
23Aldayr Hernández
37Nosa Iyobosa Edokpolor
8Yukiyoshi Karashima
17Ivan Fiolić58'for M. Burba
20Anthony Kalik66'for F. Baldassarra
10Gratas Sirgėdas
15Léo Ribeiro58'for L. Krekovic
70Fabien Ourega80'for A. Benchaib

Dinamo Zagreb Substitutes

33Ivan Nevistić34'for M. Lisica
3Bruno Goda46'for M. Perez Vinlof
10Gabriel Vidović46'for L. Stojkovic
1Danijel Zagorac
6Stjepan Radeljić
13Paul Bismarck Tabinas
15Niko Galešić72'for L. Kacavenda
8Miha Zajc
41Sven Šunta
11Arber Hoxha
14Smail Prevljak
30Fran Topić61'for D. Beljo

Match Stats

Kauno ŽalgirisDinamo Zagreb
61%Ball Possession39%
8Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
7Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal3
4Blocked Shots4
14Fouls8
3Offsides0

Team Comparison

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris
Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
1690Elo Rating 1767
0.85Attack 2.28
1.42Defense 1.34
34%Hit Rate 63%
8.6Shots per Game 16.0
1.6Shots on Target 6.8
0.6Corners per Game 3.9
3.3Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.98 goals

Game State Tendencies

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.8 in second half)

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb1Wins · 100%
5.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Recent Form

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris
6W3D1L
Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
7W3D0L
04/08/2026
Dinamo ZagrebKauno Žalgiris
50
W
31/07/2026
Dinamo ZagrebNK Slaven Belupo
20
W
28/07/2026
Dinamo ZagrebFC Thun
3222
W
21/07/2026
FC ThunDinamo Zagreb
11
D
14/07/2026
Dinamo ZagrebLNZ Cherkasy
00
D
02/07/2026
Brinje-GrosupljeDinamo Zagreb
09
W
23/05/2026
Dinamo ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
00
D
17/05/2026
NK Slaven BelupoDinamo Zagreb
14
W
13/05/2026
Dinamo ZagrebHNK Rijeka
20
W
09/05/2026
Dinamo ZagrebHNK Hajduk Split
20
W

Referee Profile

Davide Massa222 matches

4.77Cards per match
4.56Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
25.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Davide Massa4.77
Other referees4.42

4.77 cards a match, 0.35 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.42).

Cards come from 212 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Slovan Bratislava
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
Fenerbahçe
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Dinamo Zagreb
Seeded
Sturm Graz
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Celje
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded

About the Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb forecast

This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Champions League

More UEFA Champions League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Champions League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Kauno Žalgiris and Dinamo Zagreb have met only 1 time recently, with 5.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.