Ebbsfleet United vs Chesham United Prediction

Stonebridge Road Stadium, Northfleet 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.30
SignalSOLIDModel72%SurpriseHighGap-7.7%
Value Analysis
79%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.30
SignalSTRONGModel79%SurpriseHighGap+3.0%
Ebbsfleet United Rest
3 days
Chesham United Rest
7 days

Ebbsfleet United vs Chesham United: result, form and history

Ebbsfleet United beat Chesham United 1-0 in the National League - South on 7 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Ebbsfleet United had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Chesham United.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.30
X
18%4.95
2
14%7.50
Double Chance
1X
86%1.05
X2
32%3.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.75
No
44%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.32 + 1.05 = 3.37
Over 1.5
84%1.12
Over 2.5
67%1.46
Over 3.5
47%2.12
Under 1.5
16%5.00
Under 2.5
33%2.46
Under 3.5
53%1.62
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

82'H. Walker
87'

Team Comparison

Ebbsfleet UnitedEbbsfleet United
Chesham UnitedChesham United
1648Elo Rating 1467
3.15Attack 1.00
1.84Defense 0.33
63%Hit Rate 0%
-Shots per Game 6.5
-Shots on Target 2.2
-Corners per Game 1.5
-Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+181 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.37 goals
⚠️Home Rotation Risk90%

Game State Tendencies

Ebbsfleet UnitedEbbsfleet United
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 1.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Chesham UnitedChesham United
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Ebbsfleet UnitedEbbsfleet United1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
Chesham UnitedChesham United1Wins · 50%
4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

National League - South21/02/2026
Chesham UnitedEbbsfleet United
41
National League - South22/11/2025
Ebbsfleet UnitedChesham United
21

League Table

National League - South 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Ebbsfleet UnitedEbbsfleet United16105138:12+2635DWWLW
2Maidstone UtdMaidstone Utd16102428:19+932WWLDW
3SalisburySalisbury1594227:10+1731WWWDW
4Truro CityTruro City1493227:12+1530WWWWD
5Farnham TownFarnham Town1692532:20+1229WWLWW
6Dorking WanderersDorking Wanderers1576234:23+1127WWDWD
7Billericay TownBillericay Town1475234:18+1626WDDWW
8Chelmsford CityChelmsford City16510125:17+825DWLWW
9Dagenham & RedbridgeDagenham & Redbridge1674515:13+225DDLWL
10Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels1673628:19+924LLWDW
11TorquayTorquay1565424:17+723WWLDW
12HorshamHorsham1657423:19+422LWDWD
13DoverDover1464420:19+122WLDDW
14Weston-super-MareWeston-super-Mare1563625:22+321LLDLD
15Folkestone InvictaFolkestone Invicta1555522:18+420DLWWD
16AFC TottonAFC Totton1661917:29-1219WLWWL
17FarnboroughFarnborough1652913:33-2017LLLWL
18MaidenheadMaidenhead1637615:20-516DDDLL
19BraintreeBraintree16511022:40-1816LLWWL
20Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead Town1736815:26-1115LLLDL
21Chesham UnitedChesham United15321020:33-1311LDLLL
22Hampton & RichmondHampton & Richmond16241019:37-1810DLLDL
23Walton & HershamWalton & Hersham15221111:36-258LLLLW
24Slough TownSlough Town16211318:40-227WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Ebbsfleet UnitedEbbsfleet United1638:1235
2Maidstone UtdMaidstone Utd1628:1932
3SalisburySalisbury1527:1031
4Truro CityTruro City1427:1230
5Farnham TownFarnham Town1632:2029
6Dorking WanderersDorking Wanderers1534:2327
7Billericay TownBillericay Town1434:1826
8Chelmsford CityChelmsford City1625:1725
9Dagenham & RedbridgeDagenham & Redbridge1615:1325
10Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels1628:1924
11TorquayTorquay1524:1723
12HorshamHorsham1623:1922
13DoverDover1420:1922
14Weston-super-MareWeston-super-Mare1525:2221
15Folkestone InvictaFolkestone Invicta1522:1820
16AFC TottonAFC Totton1617:2919
17FarnboroughFarnborough1613:3317
18MaidenheadMaidenhead1615:2016
19BraintreeBraintree1622:4016
20Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead Town1715:2615
21Chesham UnitedChesham United1520:3311
22Hampton & RichmondHampton & Richmond1619:3710
23Walton & HershamWalton & Hersham1511:368
24Slough TownSlough Town1618:407
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About the Ebbsfleet United vs Chesham United forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Ebbsfleet United and Chesham United in the National League - South table

The table shows a wide gap: Ebbsfleet United are 1st in the National League - South, while Chesham United sit 21st, 24 points behind. League goal record so far: Ebbsfleet United 38-12, Chesham United 20-33. The full standings are on the National League - South Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ebbsfleet United have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Ebbsfleet United and Chesham United have met only 2 times recently, averaging 4.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.