Egersund vs Stabaek Prediction

Egersund
0-4
Finished
HT 0-1
Stabaek
XL-BYGG Sorvest Arena·A. Al Hatem 16/08/2026
EgersundEgersund
0-4
Finished
StabaekStabaek

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.82
SignalSOLIDModel28%SurpriseHighGap+9.5%
Egersund Rest
7 days
Stabaek Rest
8 days

Egersund vs Stabaek: the result in context

Stabaek beat Egersund 4-0 in the 1. Division on 16 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Stabaek had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for Egersund.

Egersund have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 4.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.75
X
27%3.80
2
34%2.18
Double Chance
1X
66%1.62
X2
61%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.32
No
41%3.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 1.61 = 3.10
Over 1.5
83%1.10
Over 2.5
63%1.36
Over 3.5
39%1.93
Under 1.5
17%6.35
Under 2.5
37%2.88
Under 3.5
61%1.82
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'M. Dahlby
42'O. Solnordal
53'B. Maeland
59'S. Vatne
61'A. Aamodt ING. Rapp out
70'B. Maeland
71'H. Tadesse INJ. Lynum out
78'W. WendtAssist: M. Dahlby
81'M. Dahlby IND. dos Santos Jonker out
81'O. Solnordal INA. Sanyang out
81'J. Ekeland INH. Hardarson out
81'N. Tornvig INS. R. Michalsen out
81'J. Gregersen INA. Suljic out
82'O. Veum INE. Lereng out
82'F. Riise INA. Hoven out
83'A. Matic
84'
86'G. RappAssist: J. Hanstad
89'S. Vatne INK. Saetherbo out
90+4'

Team Comparison

EgersundEgersund
StabaekStabaek
1520Elo Rating 1605
2.12Attack 2.14
1.65Defense 2.28
50%Hit Rate 86%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.11 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

EgersundEgersund
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.6 in second half)
StabaekStabaek
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.8 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

EgersundEgersund3Wins · 60%
Draws120%
StabaekStabaek1Wins · 20%
4.4Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored5 of 5
80%3+ goals4 of 5

Previous meetings

1. Division14/06/2026
StabaekEgersund
31
1. Division13/09/2025
EgersundStabaek
11
1. Division18/06/2025
StabaekEgersund
13
1. Division25/09/2024
EgersundStabaek
21
1. Division27/05/2024
StabaekEgersund
45

Recent Form

EgersundEgersund
4W2D4L
09/08/2026
StromsgodsetEgersund
02
W
02/08/2026
EgersundSandnes ULF
20
W
26/07/2026
AsaneEgersund
33
D
04/07/2026
EgersundMoss
30
W
27/06/2026
SogndalEgersund
42
L
21/06/2026
EgersundHaugesund
52
W
14/06/2026
StabaekEgersund
31
L
31/05/2026
EgersundStromsgodset
05
L
25/05/2026
hoddEgersund
31
L
20/05/2026
EgersundLyn
00
D
StabaekStabaek
7W2D1L
08/08/2026
StabaekLyn
43
W
02/08/2026
RaufossStabaek
02
W
27/07/2026
Stabaekhodd
60
W
03/07/2026
RanheimStabaek
25
W
27/06/2026
StabaekBryne
20
W
21/06/2026
StrommenStabaek
10
L
14/06/2026
StabaekEgersund
31
W
30/05/2026
MossStabaek
22
D
25/05/2026
StabaekKongsvinger
20
W
20/05/2026
SogndalStabaek
22
D

League Table

1. Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1StromsgodsetStromsgodset30206482:36+4666WWLWW
2HaugesundHaugesund30212786:51+3565LWWLW
3KongsvingerKongsvinger30185784:50+3459LLLWL
4StabaekStabaek30184870:38+3258LWWWW
5ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb30147960:48+1249WDLLW
6BryneBryne301441246:42+446WWDLD
7RanheimRanheim301251374:72+241LWWWD
8EgersundEgersund301181150:57-741WWDDD
9StrommenStrommen301161352:62-1039WLWWW
10hoddhodd301161349:59-1039DLLWD
11LynLyn301041646:61-1534LWLWL
12Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF30961545:59-1433WDWLL
13MossMoss30951644:63-1932WLLLD
14SogndalSogndal30871548:63-1531DLWWD
15AsaneAsane30751842:68-2626LLWLL
16RaufossRaufoss30622231:80-4920LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1StromsgodsetStromsgodset3082:3666
2HaugesundHaugesund3086:5165
3KongsvingerKongsvinger3084:5059
4StabaekStabaek3070:3858
5ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3060:4849
6BryneBryne3046:4246
7RanheimRanheim3074:7241
8EgersundEgersund3050:5741
9StrommenStrommen3052:6239
10hoddhodd3049:5939
11LynLyn3046:6134
12Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3045:5933
13MossMoss3044:6332
14SogndalSogndal3048:6331
15AsaneAsane3042:6826
16RaufossRaufoss3031:8020
PromotionRelegation

About the Egersund vs Stabaek forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Egersund and Stabaek in the 1. Division table

In the 1. Division table, Stabaek are 4th and Egersund 8th, 17 points apart. League goal record so far: Egersund 50-57, Stabaek 70-38. The full standings are on the 1. Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Egersund have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Stabaek have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.