El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa Prediction

Southwest University Park·G. Flores 26/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-9.6%
El Paso Locomotive Rest
5 days
FC Tulsa Rest
6 days

El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa: result, form and history

El Paso Locomotive and FC Tulsa drew 1-1 in the USL Championship on 26 Sep 2026. El Paso Locomotive had gone in with the better form, having won 5 of their previous five against 2 for FC Tulsa.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.85
X
29%3.45
2
26%3.60
Double Chance
1X
74%1.22
X2
55%1.81
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'L. DorseyAssist: J. Kocevski
12'J. KocevskiDelay of game
14'W. EisnerFoul
17'R. AvilaAssist: A. Mendez
36'IanFoul
49'D. PierreFoul
61'D. Borczak INO. Damm out
61'W. Wilson INR. Cabral out
62'Ian INJ. Sangwa out
64'R. Ruiz IND. Gomez out
66'O. DammFoul
69'Gabriel TorresFoul
72'A. Moreno INA. Quezada out
72'R. Coronado INO. Mora out
75'Tony AlfaroFoul
83'R. Avila ING. Diaz out
86'L. Dorsey INS. Lukic out
90+5'L. StaufferFoul

Team Comparison

El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive
FC TulsaFC Tulsa
1524Elo Rating 1513
1.24Attack 1.04
1.61Defense 1.59
37%Hit Rate 17%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FC TulsaFC Tulsa
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive3Wins · 34%
Draws333%
FC TulsaFC Tulsa3Wins · 33%
2.6Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored6 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

USL Championship19/07/2026
FC TulsaEl Paso Locomotive
10
USL Championship30/04/2026
El Paso LocomotiveFC Tulsa
14
USL Championship19/10/2025
El Paso LocomotiveFC Tulsa
11
USL Championship11/05/2025
FC TulsaEl Paso Locomotive
11
USL Championship06/10/2024
FC TulsaEl Paso Locomotive
01
USL Championship28/04/2024
El Paso LocomotiveFC Tulsa
01
USL Championship01/04/2023
FC TulsaEl Paso Locomotive
22
USL Championship05/05/2022
El Paso LocomotiveTulsa Roughnecks
31
USL Championship10/10/2021
Tulsa RoughnecksEl Paso Locomotive
12

Recent Form

El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive
9W0D1L
20/09/2026
Phoenix RisingEl Paso Locomotive
13
W
13/09/2026
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
12
W
30/08/2026
El Paso LocomotiveLoudoun United
41
W
27/08/2026
El Paso LocomotivePittsburgh Riverhounds
21
W
23/08/2026
Colorado SpringsEl Paso Locomotive
01
W
16/08/2026
San AntonioEl Paso Locomotive
03
W
09/08/2026
El Paso LocomotiveOakland Roots
10
W
06/08/2026
El Paso LocomotiveMonterey Bay
10
W
02/08/2026
Orange County SCEl Paso Locomotive
20
L
26/07/2026
El Paso LocomotiveSporting JAX
20
W
FC TulsaFC Tulsa
4W3D3L
20/09/2026
BrooklynFC Tulsa
22
D
13/09/2026
Phoenix RisingFC Tulsa
21
L
06/09/2026
San AntonioFC Tulsa
00
D
30/08/2026
FC TulsaRhode Island
10
W
23/08/2026
Orange County SCFC Tulsa
15
W
16/08/2026
New Mexico UnitedFC Tulsa
10
L
09/08/2026
FC TulsaDetroit City
01
L
06/08/2026
FC TulsaSacramento Republic
10
W
30/07/2026
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsFC Tulsa
01
W
26/07/2026
FC TulsaLexington
00
D

Referee Profile

G. Flores6 matches analysed

4.53Cards per match
4.10Yellow cards per match
0.43Red cards per match
25.6Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 37% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive29155948:37+1150LWLDW
2New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United29147844:34+1049LWWLL
3Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic291212539:26+1348WDDWW
4LexingtonLexington291451054:36+1847WDWWW
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs29128942:38+444WDDDD
6FC TulsaFC Tulsa291110834:29+543LDDWD
7San AntonioSan Antonio291012730:29+142WDLDD
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising291091042:43-139WWLLL
9Orange County SCOrange County SC291091038:47-939LLLWL
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots29911937:37038WDDWW
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights291061340:46-636LLWLD
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay29561830:51-2121LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive2948:3750
2New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United2944:3449
3Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic2939:2648
4LexingtonLexington2954:3647
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs2942:3844
6FC TulsaFC Tulsa2934:2943
7San AntonioSan Antonio2930:2942
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising2942:4339
9Orange County SCOrange County SC2938:4739
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots2937:3738
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights2940:4636
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay2930:5121

About the El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

El Paso Locomotive and FC Tulsa in the USL Championship table

In the USL Championship table, El Paso Locomotive are 1st and FC Tulsa 6th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: El Paso Locomotive 48-37, FC Tulsa 34-29. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.