FC Tulsa vs Lexington Prediction

FC Tulsa
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Lexington
ONEOK Field·J. Scheer 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.31
SignalSTRONGModel47%SurpriseHighGap+5.1%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalGOODModel34%SurpriseHighGap+8.8%
FC Tulsa Rest
7 days
Lexington Rest
3 days

FC Tulsa vs Lexington: the result in context

FC Tulsa and Lexington drew 0-0 in the USL Championship on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.60
X
26%3.25
2
29%2.49
Double Chance
1X
71%1.44
X2
55%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.68
No
56%2.04
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.27
Over 2.5
38%1.87
Over 3.5
19%3.08
Under 1.5
36%3.38
Under 2.5
62%1.85
Under 3.5
81%1.31
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'P. GoodrumUnsportsmanlike conduct
5'A. CissokoUnsportsmanlike conduct
11'L. DorseyFoul
16'Nick FirminoFoul
30'L. BatistaFoul
30'L. StaufferUnsportsmanlike conduct
36'X. ZengueFoul
53'L. SpencerUnsportsmanlike conduct
57'Nick Firmino INT. Scott out
63'M. Epps INJ. Hafferty out
63'P. Goodrum INM. Henry-Scott out
64'K. Elmedkhar INA. Ordonez out
64'J. Sangwa IND. Pierre out
67'T. ScottFoul
75'B. Ferri INA. Ordonez out
75'X. Zengue INM. Yosef out
77'L. Dorsey INS. Lukic out
82'Ian INA. Clarke out
82'B. Sparks ING. Colli out
84'M. Henry-ScottFoul
90+3'A. MolloyFoul

Team Comparison

FC TulsaFC Tulsa
LexingtonLexington
1491Elo Rating 1539
0.53Attack 2.35
1.35Defense 1.32
0%Hit Rate 34%

Game State Tendencies

FC TulsaFC Tulsa
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LexingtonLexington
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

FC TulsaFC Tulsa2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
LexingtonLexington0Wins · 0%
2.5Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

USL Championship05/10/2025
FC TulsaLexington
30
USL Championship19/05/2025
LexingtonFC Tulsa
02

Recent Form

FC TulsaFC Tulsa
5W1D4L
19/07/2026
FC TulsaEl Paso Locomotive
10
W
12/07/2026
Birmingham LegionFC Tulsa
31
L
21/06/2026
FC TulsaColorado Springs
12
L
18/06/2026
FC TulsaMonterey Bay
20
W
14/06/2026
Charleston BatteryFC Tulsa
51
L
07/06/2026
FC TulsaSan Antonio
12
L
31/05/2026
Las Vegas LightsFC Tulsa
00
D
23/05/2026
FC TulsaHartford Athletic
20
W
17/05/2026
Corpus ChristiFC Tulsa
01
W
04/05/2026
Monterey BayFC Tulsa
12
W
LexingtonLexington
6W0D4L
23/07/2026
LexingtonOakland Roots
20
W
16/07/2026
LexingtonNew Mexico United
14
L
12/07/2026
Louisville CityLexington
42
L
05/07/2026
Tampa Bay RowdiesLexington
14
W
21/06/2026
LexingtonIndy Eleven
6070
L
14/06/2026
LexingtonSan Antonio
20
W
07/06/2026
Detroit CityLexington
1131
W
31/05/2026
El Paso LocomotiveLexington
14
W
24/05/2026
Indy ElevenLexington
31
L
09/05/2026
LexingtonMonterey Bay
31
W

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United30157845:34+1152WLWWL
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic301312542:28+1451WWDDW
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive301551048:38+1050LLWLD
4LexingtonLexington301461057:39+1848DWDWW
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs30138944:38+647WWDDD
6San AntonioSan Antonio301112732:30+245WWDLD
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa301110934:31+343LLDDW
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3010101045:46-140DWWLL
9Orange County SCOrange County SC301091139:49-1039LLLLW
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots309111039:40-138LWDDW
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights301061441:48-736LLLWL
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay30661832:52-2024WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United3045:3452
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic3042:2851
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive3048:3850
4LexingtonLexington3057:3948
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs3044:3847
6San AntonioSan Antonio3032:3045
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa3034:3143
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3045:4640
9Orange County SCOrange County SC3039:4939
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots3039:4038
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights3041:4836
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay3032:5224

About the FC Tulsa vs Lexington forecast

The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Tulsa and Lexington in the USL Championship table

In the USL Championship table, Lexington are 4th and FC Tulsa 7th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Tulsa 34-31, Lexington 57-39. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Tulsa and Lexington have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.