Elche vs Barcelona Prediction

Elche
0-5
Finished
HT 0-2
Barcelona
Estadio Martínez Valero, Elche· Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez, Spain 23/08/2026
ElcheElche
0-5
Finished
BarcelonaBarcelona

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.53
SignalHIGHModel63%RiskMediumGap+5.6%
Elche Rest
6 days
Barcelona Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
18%7.95
X
20%5.50
2
62%1.36
Double Chance
1X
38%3.20
X2
82%1.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.71
No
50%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.95 + 1.71 = 2.66
Over 1.5
74%1.14
Over 2.5
55%1.45
Over 3.5
30%2.17
Under 1.5
26%5.65
Under 2.5
45%2.70
Under 3.5
70%1.69
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 4.7 = 8.9
Over 8.5
58%1.52
Over 9.5
46%1.91
Over 10.5
34%2.35
Under 8.5
42%2.42
Under 9.5
54%1.86
Under 10.5
66%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 1.5 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%1.65
Over 4.5
30%2.30
Under 3.5
48%2.17
Under 4.5
70%1.55

Match Events

14'Raphinha(Penalty)
33'Ali HouaryFoul
45'Gavi INPedri out
45'K. AdeyemiAssist: Raphinha
64'M. Aguado INM. Neto out
64'A. Houary INF. Buonanotte out
64'Tete Morente INL. Cepeda out
65'K. Adeyemi IND. Olmo out
65'Lamine Yamal INA. Gordon out
67'RaphinhaAssist: A. Gordon
69'F. Nino INE. Ponce out
71'FerminAssist: A. Gordon
79'FerminAssist: X. Espart
80'M. Bernal INJ. Kounde out
80'Raphinha INJ. Cancelo out
81'F. Redondo Solari INP. Bigas out

Lineups

Elche
5-4-1Coach: Martin Anselmi
Barcelona
4-2-3-1Coach: Hansi Flick
M. Dituro1M. DituroM. Dituro
Buba Sangare2B. SangareBuba Sangare
D. Affengruber22D. AffengruberD. Affengruber
F. Redondo Solari5F. Redondo SolariF. Redondo Solari
V. Chust23V. ChustV. Chust
G. Valera11G. ValeraG. Valera
Tete Morente20T. MorenteTete Morente
G. Villar12G. VillarG. Villar
M. Aguado8M. AguadoM. Aguado
A. Houary29A. HouaryA. Houary
F. Nino14F. NinoF. Nino
J. Garcia1J. GarciaJ. Garcia
E. Garcia24E. GarciaE. Garcia
A. Christensen15A. ChristensenA. Christensen
G. Martin18G. MartinG. Martin
X. Espart36X. EspartX. Espart
M. Bernal22M. BernalM. Bernal
Gavi6GaviGavi
Lamine Yamal10L. YamalLamine Yamal
Fermín7FermínFermín
K. Adeyemi14K. AdeyemiK. Adeyemi
Raphinha11RaphinhaRaphinha

Elche Substitutes

43A. IturbeG
26M. BarzicD
6P. BigasD
19G. DianganaF
16M. NetoM
47J. MorcilloM
10F. BuonanotteM
9E. PonceF
17JosanM
21L. CepedaF
36U. KonareF
30A. PadillaF

Barcelona Substitutes

13W. SzczesnyG
31E. AllerG
23J. KoundeD
26A. CortesD
2J. CanceloD
5P. CubarsiD
33Jordi PesquerD
8PedriM
28Brian FarinasM
20D. OlmoM
17A. GordonF
29H. AbdelkarimF

Match Stats

ElcheBarcelona
46%Ball Possession54%
3Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards0
7Total Shots11
2Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal4
5Shots Inside Box10
2Shots Outside Box1
0Blocked Shots0
13Fouls12
3Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves2
435Total Passes533
349Passes Accurate466
80%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

ElcheElche
BarcelonaBarcelona
1692Elo Rating 2042
1.26Attack 4.31
0.49Defense 1.90
0%Hit Rate 100%
11.4Shots per Game 21.0
4.9Shots on Target 8.5
4.9Corners per Game 6.2
2.4Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend64% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ElcheElche
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
BarcelonaBarcelona
  • Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.4 vs 1.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Elche 0%Draw 0%100% Barcelona
3.69Avg Goals
64%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Recent Form

ElcheElche
1W4D0L
17/08/2026
Deportivo La CorunaElche
11
D
31/07/2026
ElcheCordoba
22
D
28/07/2026
ElcheAl Ain
22
D
18/07/2026
ElcheKaizer Chiefs
21
W
23/05/2026
GironaElche
11
D
BarcelonaBarcelona
3W0D2L
19/08/2026
BarcelonaAl Ahly
21
W
16/08/2026
FC Basel 1893Barcelona
25
W
08/08/2026
UdineseBarcelona
10
L
08/08/2026
BarcelonaNottingham Forest
10
W
31/07/2026
BirminghamBarcelona
3222
L

Referee Profile

Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez, Spain · 21 matches analysed

4.9Avg Yellows
5.3Avg Cards
25.7Avg Fouls
Stricter than 91% of referees analysed

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona660028:6+2218WWWWW
2Real MadridReal Madrid650117:6+1115WWLWW
3Real BetisReal Betis65018:6+215WWWLW
4Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid641114:6+813WWLWD
5SevillaSevilla64119:6+313WWDLW
6AlavesAlaves631211:6+510LLWWD
7Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna62319:7+29LDWWD
8EspanyolEspanyol62139:7+27LWDLL
9Athletic ClubAthletic Club52127:6+17DWWLL
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander621311:16-57LWLWL
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano621310:15-57WLWLD
12Real SociedadReal Sociedad62136:11-57LWDWL
13OsasunaOsasuna62135:12-77LLLWW
14LevanteLevante51227:9-25LDWDL
15GetafeGetafe61233:7-45LDDLW
16Celta VigoCelta Vigo60423:6-34DDDLL
17ValenciaValencia61142:10-84WLLLL
18MalagaMalaga50322:8-63DDLDL
19VillarrealVillarreal50237:10-32LLLDD
20ElcheElche60248:16-82LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona628:618
2Real MadridReal Madrid617:615
3Real BetisReal Betis68:615
4Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid614:613
5SevillaSevilla69:613
6AlavesAlaves611:610
7Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna69:79
8EspanyolEspanyol69:77
9Athletic ClubAthletic Club57:67
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander611:167
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano610:157
12Real SociedadReal Sociedad66:117
13OsasunaOsasuna65:127
14LevanteLevante57:95
15GetafeGetafe63:75
16Celta VigoCelta Vigo63:64
17ValenciaValencia62:104
18MalagaMalaga52:83
19VillarrealVillarreal57:102
20ElcheElche68:162
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Elche vs Barcelona Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this La Liga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Barcelona have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. Elche and Barcelona have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.69 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.