Erbil vs Diyala Prediction

Erbil
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Diyala
Franso Hariri Stadium, Arbil 08/09/2026
ErbilErbil
2-0
Finished
DiyalaDiyala

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
85%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel69%SurpriseMediumGap-0.7%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
1.83
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+7.4%
Erbil Rest
3 days
Diyala Rest
5 days

Erbil vs Diyala: the result in context

Erbil beat Diyala 2-0 in the Iraqi League on 8 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Erbil had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Diyala.

Their history points to a close game: 4 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.78
X
22%3.40
2
12%3.91
Double Chance
1X
88%1.17
X2
34%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%1.85
No
61%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 0.68 = 2.27
Over 1.5
66%1.29
Over 2.5
39%1.93
Over 3.5
19%3.29
Under 1.5
34%3.00
Under 2.5
61%1.75
Under 3.5
81%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

15'A. Shebar
27'A. Al Matari
90+7'I. Bayesh(Penalty)

Team Comparison

ErbilErbil
DiyalaDiyala
1601Elo Rating 1463
2.60Attack 0.33
1.51Defense 2.26
27%Hit Rate 17%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+138 Elo

Game State Tendencies

ErbilErbil
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
DiyalaDiyala
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

ErbilErbil2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
DiyalaDiyala1Wins · 25%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Iraqi League23/03/2026
ErbilDiyala
20
Iraqi League22/12/2025
DiyalaErbil
11
Iraqi League12/05/2025
DiyalaErbil
10
Iraqi League20/09/2024
ErbilDiyala
21

Recent Form

ErbilErbil
7W2D1L
04/09/2026
Al ShortaErbil
00
D
31/08/2026
ErbilAl Minaa Basra
20
W
25/08/2026
Al KarkhErbil
01
W
21/08/2026
ErbilAl Quwa Al Jawiya
11
D
16/08/2026
ErbilAl Kahrabaa
20
W
02/06/2026
ErbilBaghdad
31
W
28/05/2026
ZakhoErbil
12
W
20/05/2026
Al ShortaErbil
02
W
16/05/2026
ErbilNewroz
01
L
11/05/2026
Al NajafErbil
14
W
DiyalaDiyala
3W2D5L
03/09/2026
DiyalaAl-Karma
12
L
29/08/2026
DiyalaAl-Jolan SC
33
D
25/08/2026
ZakhoDiyala
22
D
21/08/2026
MosulDiyala
21
L
15/08/2026
DiyalaAl Talaba
21
W
01/06/2026
DiyalaDuhok
10
W
27/05/2026
Al-KarmaDiyala
10
L
19/05/2026
DiyalaBaghdad
14
L
15/05/2026
DiyalaAl Shorta
02
L
11/05/2026
ZakhoDiyala
12
W

League Table

Iraqi League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-KarmaAl-Karma1393123:10+1330WWLDW
2NewrozNewroz1375118:5+1326WDDWW
3NaftNaft1374215:7+825LWDWW
4Al ShortaAl Shorta1366115:7+824WDW
5Al-Jolan SCAl-Jolan SC1365219:12+723WWWWD
6Al Zawra'aAl Zawra'a1363417:12+521LWLLL
7ErbilErbil1355316:9+720DDLLD
8DuhokDuhok1346320:16+418WLWLW
9Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra1345412:13-117DDWLW
10Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal133739:10-116DDWWL
11Al TalabaAl Talaba1337315:18-316DDWWD
12DiyalaDiyala1335515:18-314DLDWL
13GharrafGharraf133559:15-614DWDWD
14Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya1327414:14013LDLDW
15ZakhoZakho1334610:17-713LDWLL
16Al KarkhAl Karkh1333716:21-512WLDDL
17MosulMosul1333713:21-812LLDWL
18Al KahrabaaAl Kahrabaa132569:15-611WLLLD
19Naft MaysanNaft Maysan131668:19-119LDLLD
20KarbalaKarbala1314811:25-147LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-KarmaAl-Karma1323:1030
2NewrozNewroz1318:526
3NaftNaft1315:725
4Al ShortaAl Shorta1315:724
5Al-Jolan SCAl-Jolan SC1319:1223
6Al Zawra'aAl Zawra'a1317:1221
7ErbilErbil1316:920
8DuhokDuhok1320:1618
9Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra1312:1317
10Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal139:1016
11Al TalabaAl Talaba1315:1816
12DiyalaDiyala1315:1814
13GharrafGharraf139:1514
14Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya1314:1413
15ZakhoZakho1310:1713
16Al KarkhAl Karkh1316:2112
17MosulMosul1313:2112
18Al KahrabaaAl Kahrabaa139:1511
19Naft MaysanNaft Maysan138:199
20KarbalaKarbala1311:257
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Erbil vs Diyala forecast

The forecasts for this Iraqi League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Erbil and Diyala in the Iraqi League table

In the Iraqi League table, Erbil are 7th and Diyala 12th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Erbil 16-9, Diyala 15-18. The full standings are on the Iraqi League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.