Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray Prediction

Erzurumspor FK
0-4
Finished
HT 0-3
Galatasaray
Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum· Cagdas Altay, Türkiye 21/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.91
SignalGOODModel45%RiskMediumGap+9.2%
Erzurumspor FK Rest
5 days
Galatasaray Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%7.55
X
25%4.46
2
46%1.40
Double Chance
1X
54%2.85
X2
72%1.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.91
No
42%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 1.48 = 2.87
Over 1.5
82%1.22
Over 2.5
57%1.70
Over 3.5
31%2.75
Under 1.5
18%4.05
Under 2.5
43%2.10
Under 3.5
69%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 5.9 = 10.5
Over 8.5
64%1.70
Over 9.5
53%2.15
Over 10.5
43%2.80
Under 8.5
36%2.02
Under 9.5
47%1.60
Under 10.5
57%1.34
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.2 = 4.5
Over 3.5
63%1.47
Over 4.5
39%1.98
Under 3.5
37%2.35
Under 4.5
61%1.74

Match Events

12'R. Sallai
20'Y. AkgunAssist: V. Osimhen
45'V. Osimhen
55'G. Kerk INN. Akhundzade out
66'R. Sallai INW. Singo out
66'I. Jakobs INE. Elmali out
66'M. Lemina INL. Ugochukwu out
66'Y. Akgun INL. Sane out
70'O. Ovacikli INF. Ebosele out
70'E. Tozlu INFernando Andrade out
76'M. Fettahoglu INS. Akgun out
76'M. Rodriguez INM. Cardoso out
79'V. OsimhenAssist: Gabriel Sara
81'L. Torreira INR. Nhaga out
84'Nariman AkhundzadeFoul

Lineups

Erzurumspor FK
4-1-4-1Coach: Serkan Ozbalta
Galatasaray
4-2-3-1Coach: Okan Buruk
M. Orbanic31M. OrbanicM. Orbanic
O. Ovacikli53O. OvacikliO. Ovacikli
A. Gerxhaliu4A. GerxhaliuA. Gerxhaliu
Y. Kirtay3Y. KirtayY. Kirtay
N. Mujakic18N. MujakicN. Mujakic
B. Baiye6B. BaiyeB. Baiye
M. Fettahoglu99M. FettahogluM. Fettahoglu
E. Owusu42E. OwusuE. Owusu
M. Rodriguez65M. RodriguezM. Rodriguez
G. Kerk9G. KerkG. Kerk
E. Tozlu10E. TozluE. Tozlu
U. Cakir1U. CakirU. Cakir
R. Sallai7R. SallaiR. Sallai
D. Sanchez6D. SanchezD. Sanchez
A. Bardakci42A. BardakciA. Bardakci
I. Jakobs4I. JakobsI. Jakobs
L. Torreira34L. TorreiraL. Torreira
M. Lemina99M. LeminaM. Lemina
Y. Akgun11Y. AkgunY. Akgun
Gabriel Sara8G. SaraGabriel Sara
B. Yilmaz53B. YilmazB. Yilmaz
V. Osimhen45V. OsimhenV. Osimhen

Erzurumspor FK Substitutes

1E. TaskiranG
2F. EboseleD
22M. YumluD
15G. GiorbelidzeD
8S. AkgunM
5M. Akpinar
20M. CardosoF
90N. AkhundzadeF
7I. SeverF
11Fernando AndradeF

Galatasaray Substitutes

24J. YilmazG
90W. SingoD
17E. ElmaliD
23K. AyhanD
88K. KaratasD
91A. UnyayD
20I. GundoganM
18L. UgochukwuM
74R. NhagaM
10L. SaneF

Match Stats

Erzurumspor FKGalatasaray
48%Ball Possession52%
2Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards0
12Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal4
5Shots Inside Box9
7Shots Outside Box1
5Blocked Shots2
11Fouls12
2Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves4
505Total Passes537
442Passes Accurate483
88%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK
GalatasarayGalatasaray
1694Elo Rating 1825
0.42Attack 2.14
0.91Defense 1.59
23%Hit Rate 77%
9.9Shots per Game 19.4
3.4Shots on Target 6.4
3.8Corners per Game 7.5
1.3Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
GalatasarayGalatasaray
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 2 historical meetings

Erzurumspor FK 0%Draw 0%100% Galatasaray
2.46Avg Goals
46%BTTS Rate
46%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK
0W4D1L
16/08/2026
AmedErzurumspor FK
30
L
17/07/2026
Erzurumspor FKRizespor
00
D
02/05/2026
Çorum FKErzurumspor FK
11
D
26/04/2026
Erzurumspor FKBandırmaspor
11
D
19/04/2026
Bodrum FKErzurumspor FK
11
D
GalatasarayGalatasaray
0W2D3L
14/08/2026
GalatasarayÇorum FK
22
D
08/08/2026
GalatasarayVillarreal
12
L
02/08/2026
GalatasarayRennes
33
D
27/07/2026
GalatasarayVenezia
03
L
24/07/2026
GalatasarayMonza
02
L

Referee Profile

Cagdas Altay, Türkiye · 7 matches analysed

3.9Avg Yellows
4.1Avg Cards
24.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 23% of referees analysed

League Table

Süper Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GalatasarayGalatasaray641113:10+313LWWWW
2BeşiktaşBeşiktaş540112:4+812WWWLW
3KocaelisporKocaelispor64027:4+312WLWWW
4AlanyasporAlanyaspor63218:6+211WDWLW
5TrabzonsporTrabzonspor631213:5+810WLWLW
6AmedAmed531112:5+710WDWLW
7KasımpaşaKasımpaşa62407:5+210DWDDW
8RizesporRizespor53025:4+19WLWLW
9Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK62227:708LDWLW
10FenerbahçeFenerbahçe52128:6+27DLWWL
11Çorum FKÇorum FK621313:12+17LWWLL
12BaşakşehirBaşakşehir621310:11-17WLLDL
13Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.62135:13-87LLLDW
14KonyasporKonyaspor61144:8-44DWLLL
15SamsunsporSamsunspor51136:11-54LLLWD
16Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK51132:11-94LWDLL
17EyüpsporEyüpspor51042:8-63LLWLL
18GöztepeGöztepe50239:13-42DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1GalatasarayGalatasaray613:1013
2BeşiktaşBeşiktaş512:412
3KocaelisporKocaelispor67:412
4AlanyasporAlanyaspor68:611
5TrabzonsporTrabzonspor613:510
6AmedAmed512:510
7KasımpaşaKasımpaşa67:510
8RizesporRizespor55:49
9Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK67:78
10FenerbahçeFenerbahçe58:67
11Çorum FKÇorum FK613:127
12BaşakşehirBaşakşehir610:117
13Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.65:137
14KonyasporKonyaspor64:84
15SamsunsporSamsunspor56:114
16Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK52:114
17EyüpsporEyüpspor52:83
18GöztepeGöztepe59:132
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Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Süper Lig fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Erzurumspor FK and Galatasaray have met 2 times recently, averaging 2.46 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.