Esenler Erokspor vs Kayserispor Prediction

Esenler Stadium, Istanbul 07/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel47%RiskMediumGap0.0%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalGOODModel73%RiskMediumGap+4.7%
Esenler Erokspor Rest
3 days
Kayserispor Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.46
X
27%3.35
2
28%2.52
Double Chance
1X
72%1.44
X2
55%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.62
No
49%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 0.89 = 2.44
Over 1.5
72%1.23
Over 2.5
49%1.78
Over 3.5
25%2.92
Under 1.5
28%3.67
Under 2.5
51%1.95
Under 3.5
75%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.4 = 9.2
Over 8.5
59%1.60
Over 9.5
49%2.00
Over 10.5
35%2.58
Under 8.5
41%2.17
Under 9.5
51%1.73
Under 10.5
65%1.43
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%-
Over 4.5
39%-
Under 3.5
41%-
Under 4.5
61%-

Match Events

12'Manadi CamaraFoul
17'Daniel MorenoAssist: Görkem Sağlam
33'Daniel MorenoAssist: Manadi Camara
45'Muhamed Buljubašić INNicolas Janvier out
45'Florent Hasani INEnsar Kemaloglu out
45'Hayrullah Bilazer INFurkan Orak out
45'Erkan Kaş INEnes Alıç out
57'Card upgrade confirmedMame Mor Faye
57'Mame Mor FayeSerious foul
65'Taulant SeferiFoul
66'Mikail Okyar INOnur Ulaş out
68'Taulant Seferi
70'Manadi Camara INMurat Cem Akpinar out
70'Görkem Sağlam INOğulcan Çağlayan out
71'Ensar KemalogluFoul
73'Semih GülerFoul
74'Yusuf Erdoğan INAltin Zeqiri out
75'Enes AlıçFoul
83'Taulant Seferi INAtaol Taylan Karapınar out
87'Furkan OrakArgument
87'Sinan Kurt INMarco Dulca out
90+1'Altin ZeqiriFoul

Lineups

Esenler Erokspor
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Gürsel
Kayserispor
4-1-4-1Coach: A. Gerin
E. Canpolat22E. CanpolatE. Canpolat
H. Bilazer77H. BilazerH. Bilazer
B. Öztürk21B. ÖztürkB. Öztürk
Luccas Claro4L. ClaroLuccas Claro
E. Kaş39E. KaşE. Kaş
G. Kanga8G. KangaG. Kanga
M. Okyar5M. OkyarM. Okyar
M. Faye11M. FayeM. Faye
M. Buljubašić20M. BuljubašićM. Buljubašić
Y. Erdoğan53Y. ErdoğanY. Erdoğan
B. Samudio18B. SamudioB. Samudio
G. Değirmenci35G. DeğirmenciG. Değirmenci
M. Uçar7M. UçarM. Uçar
S. Güler4S. GülerS. Güler
J. Tabidze3J. TabidzeJ. Tabidze
C. Şen77C. ŞenC. Şen
S. Kurt8S. KurtS. Kurt
Mamadi Camará28M. CamaráMamadi Camará
F. Hasani9F. HasaniF. Hasani
G. Sağlam61G. SağlamG. Sağlam
T. Seferi97T. SeferiT. Seferi
D. Moreno27D. MorenoD. Moreno

Esenler Erokspor Substitutes

33E. AlıçD
67Dogukan·DemirG
7N. JanvierM
70F. OrakD
14O. UlaşD
27F. YazganM
88A. ZeqiriM
34E. ÇetinG
17B. ÇobanF
52Y. Arda OzyurtF

Kayserispor Substitutes

71O. ÇağlayanF
99T. SarıarslanF
11E. KemaloğluM
38Ataol KarapinarM
17M. GöçkanD
16Deniz Eren DonmezerG
88M. DulcaM
5K. CihanD
20J. BrenetD
6C. AkpınarM

Match Stats

Esenler EroksporKayserispor
52%Ball Possession48%
6Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
10Total Shots9
2Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal3
7Shots Inside Box7
3Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots1
10Fouls19
2Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
418Total Passes386
351Passes Accurate322
19Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor
KayserisporKayserispor
1650Elo Rating 1662
0.68Attack 2.27
1.47Defense 2.47
0%Hit Rate 64%
10.7Shots per Game 13.6
3.3Shots on Target 4.5
4.1Corners per Game 5.0
2.6Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
KayserisporKayserispor
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor
0W4D1L
03/09/2026
Bodrum FKEsenler Erokspor
00
D
30/08/2026
Esenler EroksporIğdır FK
01
L
22/08/2026
ÜmraniyesporEsenler Erokspor
11
D
14/08/2026
Esenler EroksporSarıyer
11
D
08/08/2026
SivassporEsenler Erokspor
00
D
KayserisporKayserispor
3W1D1L
02/09/2026
Fatih KaragümrükKayserispor
11
D
29/08/2026
KayserisporBursaspor
12
L
22/08/2026
Iğdır FKKayserispor
01
W
16/08/2026
KayserisporSivasspor
20
W
09/08/2026
Vanspor FKKayserispor
02
W

League Table

1. Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KayserisporKayserispor751114:3+1116WWDLW
2BursasporBursaspor751114:6+816DWWWL
3Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor751114:11+316LWWWW
4Iğdır FKIğdır FK750210:5+515WWWWL
5KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü733116:9+712DWWDD
6Mardin 1969Mardin 196973319:4+512LWDDW
7SarıyerSarıyer73229:8+111DLWWL
8BandırmasporBandırmaspor724112:4+810DWLDD
9MuğlasporMuğlaspor72416:5+110DDWWD
10Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.723212:11+19DLLDD
11Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük723210:11-19DLDDW
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor730411:13-29WLWLL
13PendiksporPendikspor72329:12-39DWLDW
14Bodrum FKBodrum FK71426:5+17WLDDD
15SivassporSivasspor71428:10-27DWDLD
16Vanspor FKVanspor FK71338:14-66DDLDW
17Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor70524:8-45DLDLD
18ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor70345:9-43LLLDD
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor70256:19-132LLLDL
20BolusporBoluspor70162:18-161DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1KayserisporKayserispor714:316
2BursasporBursaspor714:616
3Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor714:1116
4Iğdır FKIğdır FK710:515
5KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü716:912
6Mardin 1969Mardin 196979:412
7SarıyerSarıyer79:811
8BandırmasporBandırmaspor712:410
9MuğlasporMuğlaspor76:510
10Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.712:119
11Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük710:119
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor711:139
13PendiksporPendikspor79:129
14Bodrum FKBodrum FK76:57
15SivassporSivasspor78:107
16Vanspor FKVanspor FK78:146
17Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor74:85
18ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor75:93
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor76:192
20BolusporBoluspor72:181
PromotionRelegation

Esenler Erokspor vs Kayserispor Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this 1. Lig fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About 1. Lig

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Key Factors for This Match

Kayserispor have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Esenler Erokspor and Kayserispor have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.